cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Hunter Summers /Arkansas State

Hunter Summers

WR · Arkansas State · So · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

505 REC YDS · 44 REC · 4 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Arkansas State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Arkansas State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Arkansas State

Returning around him

  • 59% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (24 in / 37 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Arkansas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #88 · 2026 recruiting class #75

WR · ARKANSAS STATE · SUN BELT

Hunter Summers

  • 2
  • #3
  • 6-3 | 161 lb
  • Prosper, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

56

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 68th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#5199

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1714 national
CFB
College
Arkansas State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey3
Measurements6-3 | 161 lb
HometownProsper, TX
Primary teamArkansas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1714 recruit
Composite rating 0.8378 HighSchool
Signed with Tulane 2023
Origin Prosper Prosper, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8378 No. 1714 recruit | HighSchool | Tulane

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Arkansas State 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 22, 2024
Season Move Context
2024 Tulane -> Arkansas State 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5199Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5610Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Tulane

Composite

0.8378

#1714 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Hunter Summers

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Hunter Summers

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving yards (total)

505

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #216 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 59th

Why it matters

#216 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 505 yards on 44 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 505 (59th)

HIGH · n=44 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#161 / 531
  • Yards per reception#320 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 4 at Kennesaw State — 114 receiving_yards_total

Result L 21-28

The week the volume broke through — put up 114 yds at Kennesaw State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
505Rec yards
44Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
38.8Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
505Rec yards
44Receptions
4Rec TDs

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Hunter Summers's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Arkansas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #5199 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 44 4 rec TD | #153/1110 (86th pct)
Receiving yards 505 11.5 per catch | #220/1107 (80th pct)
Scrimmage yards 505 Total offensive yardage | #220/1107 (80th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
44 86th
YDS
505 80th
YPR
11.5 47th
TD
4 86th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 42-24vs Southeast Missouri State25427.0039
Wk 2L 14-56@ Arkansas155.005
Wk 3L 16-24vs Iowa State33712.3016
Wk 4L 21-28@ Kennesaw State811414.3143Season-high 114 yds
Wk 5L 16-28@ UL Monroe155.005
Wk 6W 31-30vs Texas State5285.619
Wk 8W 15-14@ South Alabama4215.316
Wk 9W 34-24vs Georgia Southern33612.0016
Wk 10W 23-10@ Troy47017.5121
Wk 11L 21-27vs Southern Miss4338.3012
Wk 13L 30-34vs Louisiana5438.6011
Wk 14W 30-29@ App State3206.7010
BowlW 34-28vs Missouri State13939.0039
Total4450512.8443
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Arkansas State7-6HC: Butch Jones · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Arkansas State4450511.54--
Career1 loaded season4450511.54--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.3% 14.7% pass-game share | #257/1137 (77th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #152/1111 (86th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 44 #153/1110 86th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 505 #220/1107 80th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #152/1111 86th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.5 #588/1106 47th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 14.7% #257/1137 77th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 43 #385/1105 65th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 11.0% #80/1137 93rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 10.4% #213/1137 81st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.3% #194/1137 83rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.1% #366/1137 68th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 7.4% #187/1137 84th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 6.4% #286/1137 75th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g3.338.616.10.1
Road6g3.539.29.00.5

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g3.138.316.20.4
Losses6g3.739.58.90.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.040.315.50.3
Weeks 8+6g3.837.29.70.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

56Solid starter
5 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Receptions#153 / 558 · 72nd pct
44rece
Rec TDs#152 / 558 · 68th pct
4rece
Rec yards#220 / 558 · 61st pct
505rece
Long catch#332 / 558 · 39th pct
43rece
Yards / catch#370 / 558 · 34th pct
11.5rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Hunter SummersArkansas StateAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 83% simRyan DavisUtah· 82% simDonovan FaupelNew Mexico State· 80% sim
Receptions
72
Summers
96
Waseem
91
Davis
90
Faupel
Rec TDs
68
Summers
78
Waseem
68
Davis
92
Faupel
Rec yards
61
Summers
84
Waseem
83
Davis
79
Faupel
Long catch
39
Summers
42
Waseem
67
Davis
65
Faupel
Yards / catch
34
Summers
21
Waseem
36
Davis
24
Faupel

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Zae Baines’s 2023 season.

Zae Baines

73%match

Temple · 2023

#2

Zae Baines

Temple · 2022

63%
#3

Robert Williams

Louisiana · 2023

63%
#4

Jonathan Bibbs

UL Monroe · 2025

62%
#5

Joshua Moore

Texas · 2021

62%

Matches Zae on

Reception volume
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Zae on

TD rate (higher)
Weight (lower)
Class year (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Elijah Steward’s path through Lafayette.

Elijah Steward

93%match

Lafayette · 2025

#2

Landon Ruggieri

Bryant · 2023

93%
#3

Derick Eugene

Long Island University · 2021

93%
#4

Noah Gray

Duke · 2020

NFL Rd 5
93%
#5

Nate Stewart

Akron · 2020

93%

Matches Elijah on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Zae Baines's sophomore season at Temple (2022).

Zae Baines

70%match

Temple · 2022

#2

Jonathan Bibbs

UL Monroe · 2025

69%
#3

Kwazi Gilmer

UCLA · 2025

67%
#4

Keenan Jackson

NC State · 2025

65%
#5

Joshua Moore

Texas · 2021

65%

Matches Zae on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Weight

Differs from Zae on

Reception volume (higher)
Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Butch Jones

Pass share

53.7%

506 pass / 437 run

Plays / game

72.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

367 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Butch Jones
Arkansas State

Played his entire career under Butch Jones.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownProsper, TX
Height6'3"
Weight161 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arkansas State WR2 #5199 #5610 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Tulane WR2 #4102 #3672 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Arkansas State Sun Belt WR 2 No. 3 | 6-3 | 161 lb | Prosper, TX
2024 Arkansas State Sun Belt WR 2 No. 3 | 6-3 | 161 lb | Prosper, TX
2023 Tulane American Athletic WR 2 No. 3 | 6-3 | 161 lb | Prosper, TX