cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Harry Stewart III /Kansas

Harry Stewart III

RB · Kansas · Fr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

98 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 21 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Kansas → Boise State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Boise State

2025Kansas
2026Boise State

RB · KANSAS · BIG 12

Harry Stewart III

  • 1
  • 5-10 | 215 lb
  • Frisco, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

14

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 41st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1996

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2024–2025
24.02024
98.02025

+308%

Up 308% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#680 national
CFB
College
Kansas
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class1
Jersey--
Measurements5-10 | 215 lb
HometownFrisco, TX
Primary teamKansas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 680 recruit
Composite rating 0.8786 HighSchool
Signed with Kansas 2024
Origin Centennial Frisco, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8786 No. 680 recruit | HighSchool | Kansas

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Boise State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 8, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Kansas -> Boise State 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1996Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2528Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Kansas

Composite

0.8786

#680 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Harry Stewart III

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

55

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 10 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 10 mentions · belief +10 · "RESURGENCE is here. Kansas State and Baylor are the programs that can flip the s"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=10

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Harry Stewart III

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
98Rush yards
21Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
19.6Rush yards
4Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
254.8Rush yards
55Carries
3Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 98): needs 81.5/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 98): needs 112.8/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 98): needs 175.2/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 8.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.4/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Harry Stewart III's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kansas, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1996 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 127 98 rush | 29 rec | #436/735 (41st pct)
Rush TD 1 21 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 4.7 Per-rush efficiency | #343/735 (53rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
21 40th
YDS
98 41st
YPC
4.7 53rd
TD
1 56th

Receiving

REC
5 43rd
YDS
29 37th
YPR
5.8 35th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 31-7vs Fresno StateSeason-high 33 yds
Wk 1W 46-7vs Wagner6335.5114Season-high 33 yds
Wk 4W 41-10vs West Virginia5204.007
Wk 6W 27-20@ UCF5265.2015
Wk 7L 17-42@ Texas Tech5193.809
Total21984.6115
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Kansas5-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning
2025Kansas5-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Kansas21984.71--
2024Kansas7243.40--
Career2 loaded seasons281224.41--
SeasonTeam
2025Kansas5295.80--
2024Kansas----------
Career2 loaded seasons5295.80--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 5 29 rec yds | #315/552 (43rd pct)
Usage 7.6% 10.7% rush share | #400/738 (46th pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 98 #436/735 41st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.7 #343/735 53rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 5 #315/552 43rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 29 #347/548 37th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Role share 7.6% #400/738 46th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 21 #442/739 40th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 15 #465/733 37th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 10 #415/540 23rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 5.8 #357/548 35th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 10.7% #471/738 36th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 10.2% #353/738 52nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 9.2% #370/738 50th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.4% #501/738 32nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 3.9% #237/738 68th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.2% #535/738 28th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 2.5% #595/738 20th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home3g17.74.80.3
Road2g22.54.50.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins4g19.84.90.2
Losses1g19.03.80.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-75g19.64.60.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

14Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Yards / carry#200 / 349 · 41st pct
4.7rush
Receptions#269 / 338 · 18th pct
5rece
Rec yards#282 / 338 · 17th pct
29rece
Rush TDs#284 / 349 · 13th pct
1rush
Long run#332 / 349 · 4th pct
15rush
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
98rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
21rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Harry Stewart IIIKansasTae MeadowsTroy· 47% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 46% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 46% sim
Yards / carry
41
III
29
Meadows
41
Brunson
33
Wright
Receptions
18
III
45
Meadows
2
Brunson
32
Wright
Rec yards
17
III
38
Meadows
3
Brunson
10
Wright
Rush TDs
13
III
72
Meadows
50
Brunson
62
Wright
Long run
4
III
53
Meadows
73
Brunson
49
Wright
Rush yards
0
III
74
Meadows
80
Brunson
84
Wright
Carries
0
III
84
Meadows
85
Brunson
92
Wright

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Lance Leipold

Pass share

45.1%

344 pass / 419 run

Plays / game

63.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.1%

293 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Lance Leipold
Kansas
2025
Lance Leipold
Kansas

Played his entire career under Lance Leipold.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFrisco, TX
Height5'10"
Weight215 lb
Class1
PositionRB

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kansas RB1 #1996 #2528 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kansas Big 12 RB 1 5-10 | 215 lb | Frisco, TX
2024 Kansas Big 12 RB 1 5-10 | 215 lb | Frisco, TX