cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Harrison Wallace III /Ole Miss

Harrison Wallace III

WR · Ole Miss · Sr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

934 REC YDS · 61 REC · 4 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Ole Miss for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Ole Miss for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Ole Miss

Returning around him

  • 18% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 2 Ole Miss players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (28 in / 25 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Ole Miss · Last season: 13-2 (AP #6) · Talent rank #21 · 2026 recruiting class #16

WR · OLE MISS · SEC

Harrison Wallace III

  • 4
  • #2
  • 6-1 | 195 lb
  • Montgomery, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

70

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 94th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1606

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
2732022
2282023
9342025

+242%

Up 242% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#465 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements6-1 | 195 lb
HometownMontgomery, AL
Primary teamOle Miss

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 465 recruit
Composite rating 0.8841 HighSchool
Signed with Penn State 2021
Origin Pike Road Pike Road, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8841 No. 465 recruit | HighSchool | Penn State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Ole Miss 2025
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 19, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Penn State -> Ole Miss 4-star | 0.9200 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1606Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1238Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 934 receiving yards — clears the 900-WR volume bar.
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (934).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Penn State

Composite

0.8841

#465 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Harrison Wallace III

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Harrison Wallace III

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

15.3

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #96 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 82nd

Why it matters

#96 of 531 All FBS WRs at 15.3 yards per reception (61 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 15.3 (82th)

HIGH · n=61 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#30 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#161 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 1 at Georgia — 156 ypr

Result W 39-34

The week the volume broke through — put up 156 yds at Georgia.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 14g
934Rec yards
61Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
66.7Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
934Rec yards
61Receptions
4Rec TDs

✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 934.

✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 61.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Harrison Wallace III's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Ole Miss, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1606 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 61 4 rec TD | #55/1110 (95th pct)
Receiving yards 934 15.3 per catch | #32/1107 (97th pct)
Scrimmage yards 935 Total offensive yardage | #32/1107 (97th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetAll-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
61 95th
YDS
934 97th
YPR
15.3 78th
TD
4 86th

Rushing

CAR
3 64th
YDS
1 20th
YPC
0.3 18th
TD
0 81st

Returns

PR YDS
113 78th
PR AVG
8.1 53rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 63-7vs Georgia State513026.0147Season-high 156 yds
Wk 2W 30-23@ Kentucky411729.3055
Wk 3W 41-35vs Arkansas69215.3140
Wk 4W 45-10vs Tulane144.004
Wk 5W 24-19vs LSU11818.0018
Wk 8L 35-43@ Georgia4399.8012
Wk 9W 34-26@ Oklahoma56412.8025
Wk 10W 30-14vs South Carolina22814.0020
Wk 11W 49-0vs The Citadel88710.9025
Wk 12W 34-24vs Florida66811.3022
Wk 14W 38-19@ Mississippi State47218.0134
BowlW 41-10vs Tulane2199.5016
BowlW 39-34@ Georgia915617.3144
BowlL 27-31vs Miami44010.0020
Total6193414.7455
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Penn State11-2HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
2023Penn State10-3HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
2025Ole Miss13-2HC: Lane Kiffin · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Ole Miss6193415.34--
2023Penn State1922812.01--
2022Penn State1927314.41--
Career3 loaded seasons991,43514.56--
SeasonTeam
2025Ole Miss31--113--
2023Penn State----------
2022Penn State----------
Career3 loaded seasons31--113--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.9% 17.6% pass-game share | #144/1137 (87th pct)
Return yards 113 0 return TD
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #152/1111 (86th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 61 #55/1110 95th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 934 #32/1107 97th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #152/1111 86th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 15.3 #248/1106 78th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 113 #51/224 78th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 17.6% #144/1137 87th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 6 #238/346 32nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 3 #146/407 64th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 1 #317/397 20th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 0.3 #324/393 18th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 55 #215/1105 81st pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 14 #42/237 83rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 8.1 #106/222 53rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 13.1% #93/1137 92nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 9.0% #164/1137 86th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.9% #307/1137 73rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.9% #149/1137 87th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 8.1% #180/1137 84th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 7.3% #197/1137 83rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.6% #259/1137 77th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home9g3.954.013.20.2
Road5g5.289.617.40.4

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins12g4.471.215.50.3
Losses2g4.039.59.90.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-78g4.072.016.20.4
Weeks 8+6g4.859.712.80.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

70Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec yards (94th). Strength: receptions (89th). Concern: rush yards (20th).

Rec yards#32 / 558 · 94th pct
934rece
Receptions#55 / 558 · 90th pct
61rece
Yards / catch#122 / 558 · 78th pct
15.3rece
Rec TDs#152 / 558 · 68th pct
4rece
Long catch#189 / 558 · 65th pct
55rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Rush yards#226 / 287 · 20th pct
1rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Harrison Wallace IIIOle MissNik McMillanBuffalo· 94% simChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 89% simQue'Sean BrownDuke· 87% sim
Rec yards
94
III
96
McMillan
96
Jr.
91
Brown
Receptions
90
III
90
McMillan
93
Jr.
92
Brown
Yards / catch
78
III
84
McMillan
80
Jr.
56
Brown
Rec TDs
68
III
57
McMillan
68
Jr.
78
Brown
Long catch
65
III
65
McMillan
96
Jr.
83
Brown
Rush TDs
39
III
39
Jr.
39
Brown
Fumbles lost
36
III
36
Jr.
36
Brown
Rush yards
20
III
12
Jr.
1
Brown

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cooper Barkate’s 2025 season.

Cooper Barkate

83%match

Duke · 2025

All-ACC
#2

Gunner Romney

BYU · 2020

73%
#3

Jaivon Heiligh

Coastal Carolina · 2021

All-Sun Belt
75%
#4

Ali Jennings

Old Dominion · 2021

75%
#5

Germie Bernard

Alabama · 2025

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 15
75%

Matches Cooper on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
TD rate

Differs from Cooper on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)
Reception volume (lower)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jalen Smith’s path through Minnesota.

Jalen Smith

98%match

Minnesota · 2025

#2

Joshua Derry

Monmouth · 2025

96%
#3

Chris Olave

Ohio State · 2021

1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 11
94%
#4

Dillon Stoner

Oklahoma State · 2020

94%
#5

Nic Trujillo

UL Monroe · 2025

94%

Matches Jalen on

Height
Weight
Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jeshaun Jones's senior season at Maryland (2023).

Jeshaun Jones

81%match

Maryland · 2023

#2

Germie Bernard

Alabama · 2025

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 15
78%
#3

Ricky Pearsall

Florida · 2023

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 31
78%
#4

Casey Washington

Illinois · 2023

NFL Rd 6
77%
#5

Bryce Kirtz

Northwestern · 2023

73%

Matches Jeshaun on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Yards / reception

Differs from Jeshaun on

Recruiting rating (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Lane Kiffin

Pass share

48.2%

521 pass / 560 run

Plays / game

72.1

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

330 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss
2023
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss
2025
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss

Played his entire career under Lane Kiffin.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMontgomery, AL
Height6'1"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Penn State WR4 #1606 #1238 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Penn State WR4 #949 #726 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Penn State WR4 #784 #616 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Penn State WR4 #2818 #2511 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Ole Miss SEC WR 4 No. 2 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Montgomery, AL
2024 Penn State Big Ten WR 4 No. 2 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Montgomery, AL
2023 Penn State Big Ten WR 4 No. 2 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Montgomery, AL
2022 Penn State Big Ten WR 4 No. 2 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Montgomery, AL
2021 Penn State Big Ten WR 4 No. 2 | 6-1 | 195 lb | Montgomery, AL