CFB Zeitgeist Score
65
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 94th percentile.
Greg Burrell
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
671 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 100 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Texas State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Texas State
Returning around him
- 93% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: -4 net (17 in / 21 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Texas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #76 · 2026 recruiting class #101
RB · TEXAS STATE · SUN BELT
Greg Burrell
- 2
- #9
- 6-1 | 205 lb
- Las Vegas, NV
Heisman Heat
#244
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2024–2025+81%
Up 81% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8314 | No. 2044 recruit | HighSchool | UNLV |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State -> -- | 3-star | 0.8500 | Withdrawn |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to UNLV
Composite
0.8314
#2044 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Greg Burrell
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Greg Burrell
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
671Rush yards
100Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
55.9Rush yards
8Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
726.9Rush yards
108Carries
3Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 671): needs 79/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 671): needs 329/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 671): needs 829/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 12/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 17/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Greg Burrell's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse | Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
100 78th
YDS
671 87th
YPC
6.7 91st
TD
3 73rd
Receiving
REC
13 71st
YDS
125 78th
YPR
9.6 74th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 52-27vs Eastern Michigan | 7 | 79 | 11.3 | 1 | 20 | |
| Wk 3 | L 15-34@ Arizona State | 5 | 19 | 3.8 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 4 | W 35-3vs Nicholls | 6 | 39 | 6.5 | 1 | 9 | |
| Wk 6 | L 30-31@ Arkansas State | 10 | 30 | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 7 | L 41-48vs Troy | 13 | 136 | 10.5 | 1 | 59 | Season-high 136 yds |
| Wk 8 | L 37-40@ Marshall | 8 | 27 | 3.4 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 10 | L 20-52vs James Madison | 10 | 29 | 2.9 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 11 | L 39-42@ Louisiana | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 12 | W 41-14@ Southern Miss | 11 | 95 | 8.6 | 0 | 61 | |
| Wk 13 | W 31-14vs UL Monroe | 8 | 61 | 7.6 | 0 | 42 | |
| Wk 14 | W 49-26vs South Alabama | 10 | 60 | 6.0 | 0 | 15 | |
| Bowl | W 41-10vs Rice | 9 | 81 | 9.0 | 0 | 28 | |
| Total | 100 | 671 | 6.5 | 3 | 61 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024UNLV11-3HC: Barry Odom · Run-heavy
2025Texas State7-6HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | 100 | 671 | 6.7 | 3 | -- |
| 2024 | UNLV | 66 | 370 | 5.6 | 3 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 166 | 1,041 | 6.3 | 6 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | 13 | 125 | 9.6 | 0 | -- |
| 2024 | UNLV | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 15 | 137 | 9.1 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 671 | #97/735 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #204/739 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.7 | #67/735 | 91st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 13 | #160/552 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 125 | #123/548 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.20 | #58/362 | 84th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 95 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 12.9% | #227/738 | 69th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 100 | #163/739 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 61 | #101/733 | 86th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 23 | #190/540 | 65th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 9.6 | #143/548 | 74th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 20.0% | #263/738 | 64th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 15.9% | #209/738 | 72nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 14.2% | #234/738 | 68th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 12.0% | #266/738 | 64th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.8% | #213/738 | 71st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 9.1% | #232/738 | 69th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 3.6% | #258/738 | 65th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #78/256 | 70th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 69.3 | 7.7 | 0.4 |
| Road5g | 37.2 | 4.8 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 69.2 | 8.2 | 0.3 |
| Losses6g | 42.7 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 64.0 | 7.4 | 0.5 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 47.8 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
65Solid starter
Elite: yards / carry (94th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.2High (p75–p90) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Greg BurrellTexas StateJevon JacksonUAB· 79% simBo JacksonOhio State· 79% simJeremiah CobbAuburn· 78% sim
Yards / carry
Long run
Rush yards
Rec yards
Receptions
Carries
Fumbles lost
Rush TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Speed Merchant
Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Darius Taylor’s 2023 season.
Darius Taylor
70%match
#2
Chase Brown
69%
#3
Jonathon Brooks
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 14
68%
#4
Zaquandre White
63%
#5
DJ Giddens
NFL Rd 5
63%
Matches Darius on
Yards / carry
Receiving share
Weight
Differs from Darius on
Recruiting rating (lower)
Height (higher)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jonathon Brooks’s path through Texas.
Jonathon Brooks
92%match
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 14
#2
King Miller
87%
#3
Khobie Martin
83%
#4
Abram Smith
All-Big 12
82%
#5
Elijah Tau-Tolliver
81%
Matches Jonathon on
Yards per carry
Weight
Height
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Zaquandre White's sophomore season at South Carolina (2021).
Zaquandre White
68%match
#2
Owen Allen
63%
#3
Star Thomas
All-Conference USA
66%
#4
Kanye Roberts
All-Sun Belt
66%
#5
Evan Hull
NFL Rd 5
66%
Matches Zaquandre on
Rush TD rate
Weight
Differs from Zaquandre on
Recruiting rating (lower)
Class year (lower)
Receiving share (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
G.J. Kinne
Pass share
39.5%
358 pass / 549 run
Plays / game
69.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.4%
267 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
2025
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
Played his entire career under G.J. Kinne.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLas Vegas, NV
Height6'1"
Weight205 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey9
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTexas State
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | UNLV | RB2 | #244 | #229 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | Sun Belt | RB | 2 | No. 9 | 6-1 | 205 lb | Las Vegas, NV |
| 2024 | UNLV | Mountain West | RB | 2 | No. 9 | 6-1 | 205 lb | Las Vegas, NV |