cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Grayson Tempest /Tulsa

Grayson Tempest

WR · Tulsa · Jr · #19

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

272 REC YDS · 22 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Tulsa for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Tulsa for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Tulsa

Returning around him

  • 99% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (21 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Tulsa · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #85 · 2026 recruiting class #109

WR · TULSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Grayson Tempest

  • 3
  • #19
  • 5-10 | 180 lb
  • Tulsa, OK

CFB Zeitgeist Score

35

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 44th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2652

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
1382024
2722025

+97%

Up 97% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Tulsa
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey19
Measurements5-10 | 180 lb
HometownTulsa, OK
Primary teamTulsa

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2652Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3347Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Grayson Tempest

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Grayson Tempest

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

12.4

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #265 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 50th

Why it matters

#265 of 531 All FBS WRs at 12.4 yards per reception (22 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 12.4 (50th)

MODERATE · n=22 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#422 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#402 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 5 vs Tulane — 84 ypr

Result L 14-31

The week the volume broke through — put up 84 yds vs Tulane.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
272Rec yards
22Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
38.9Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
505.1Rec yards
41Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 272): needs 71.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 272): needs 121.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 22): needs 6.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 22): needs 9.7/game over remaining 6.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.2/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.5/game over remaining 6.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Grayson Tempest's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Tulsa, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2652 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 52 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 22 1 rec TD | #383/1110 (66th pct)
Receiving yards 272 12.4 per catch | #386/1107 (65th pct)
Scrimmage yards 272 Total offensive yardage | #386/1107 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
22 66th
YDS
272 65th
YPR
12.4 55th
TD
1 64th

Returns

PR YDS
52 54th
PR AVG
17.3 92nd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 5L 14-31vs Tulane28442.0051Season-high 84 yds
Wk 8L 27-41@ East Carolina177.007
Wk 9L 37-38vs Temple24321.5138
Wk 11L 21-40@ Florida Atlantic7659.3031
Wk 12W 31-14vs Oregon State200.001
Wk 13W 26-25@ Army5367.2013
Wk 14L 24-31vs UAB33712.3026
Total2227214.2151
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Tulsa4-8HC: Kevin Wilson · Run-heavy
2024Tulsa3-9HC: Kevin Wilson · Balanced
2025Tulsa4-8HC: Tre Lamb · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Tulsa2227212.41--
2024Tulsa161388.60--
2023Tulsa----------
Career3 loaded seasons3841010.81--
SeasonTeam
2025Tulsa------52--
2024Tulsa4171291--
2023Tulsa----------
Career3 loaded seasons41712953--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.6% 14.3% pass-game share | #269/1137 (76th pct)
Return yards 52 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 22 #383/1110 66th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 272 #386/1107 65th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.4 #504/1106 55th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 52 #103/224 54th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 14.3% #269/1137 76th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 51 #260/1105 77th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 17.3 #19/222 92nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 3 #141/237 41st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 10.6% #93/1137 92nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 9.5% #264/1137 77th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.3% #432/1137 62nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.6% #307/1137 73rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 5.2% #369/1137 68th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.0% #715/1137 37th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g2.241.018.90.2
Road3g4.336.07.80.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g3.518.03.60.0
Losses5g3.047.218.40.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g2.084.042.00.0
Weeks 8+6g3.331.39.60.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

35Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec tds (23rd).

Long catch#230 / 558 · 58th pct
51rece
Yards / catch#309 / 558 · 44th pct
12.4rece
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Rec yards#386 / 558 · 31st pct
272rece
Receptions#383 / 558 · 30th pct
22rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Grayson TempestTulsaJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 63% simRyan DavisUtah· 62% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 62% sim
Long catch
58
Tempest
56
Gibson
67
Davis
56
Jr.
Yards / catch
44
Tempest
15
Gibson
36
Davis
28
Jr.
Fumbles lost
36
Tempest
36
Davis
Rec yards
31
Tempest
74
Gibson
83
Davis
84
Jr.
Receptions
30
Tempest
92
Gibson
91
Davis
94
Jr.
Rec TDs
24
Tempest
7
Gibson
68
Davis
24
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jeremiah Knight’s 2022 season.

Jeremiah Knight

90%match

UL Monroe · 2022

#2

Jamaal Bell

Nevada · 2021

89%
#3

Jordan Smart

North Texas · 2023

87%
#4

Chandler Speights

Texas State · 2020

83%
#5

Jordan Brown

Texas Tech · 2023

All-AACNFL Rd 7
86%

Matches Jeremiah on

Height
Reception volume
Total EPA (college ability)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Demariyon Houston’s path through Old Dominion.

Demariyon Houston

97%match

Old Dominion · 2024

#2

Rodney Gallagher

West Virginia · 2025

97%
#3

Ryan Miller

Furman · 2022

94%
#4

Rondale Moore

Purdue · 2020

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 17
94%
#5

Jaden Nixon

UCF · 2025

All-MAC
94%

Matches Demariyon on

Height
Yards per reception
Weight

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Anthony Woods's junior season at UCLA (2025).

Anthony Woods

82%match

UCLA · 2025

#2

Semaj Morgan

Michigan · 2025

82%
#3

Jeremiah Knight

UL Monroe · 2022

81%
#4

Rodney Gallagher

West Virginia · 2025

81%
#5

Quincy Craig

Arizona · 2025

80%

Matches Anthony on

Reception volume
Weight
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Anthony on

TD rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tre Lamb

Pass share

45.9%

407 pass / 480 run

Plays / game

73.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.2%

357 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa
2024
Kevin Wilson
Tulsa
2025
Tre Lamb
Tulsa
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Kevin Wilson → Tre Lamb. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownTulsa, OK
Height5'10"
Weight180 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey19

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Tulsa WR3 #2652 #3347 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Tulsa WR3 #5397 #5820 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Tulsa American Athletic WR 3 No. 19 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Tulsa, OK
2024 Tulsa American Athletic WR 3 No. 19 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Tulsa, OK
2023 Tulsa American Athletic WR 3 No. 19 | 5-10 | 180 lb | Tulsa, OK