cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ger-Cari Caldwell /Memphis

Ger-Cari Caldwell

WR · Memphis · Sr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

12 REC YDS · 2 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Memphis for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Memphis for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Memphis

Returning around him

  • 12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 Memphis player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +4 net (51 in / 47 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Memphis · Last season: 8-5 (AP #22) · Talent rank #59 · 2026 recruiting class #60

WR · MEMPHIS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Ger-Cari Caldwell

  • 4
  • #11
  • 6-4 | 195 lb
  • Rock Hill, SC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

2

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 7th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3821

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#579 national
CFB
College
Memphis
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey11
Measurements6-4 | 195 lb
HometownRock Hill, SC
Primary teamMemphis

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 579 recruit
Composite rating 0.8763 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin Northwestern Rock Hill, SC, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8763 No. 579 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Memphis 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 North Carolina A&T -> Memphis 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate
2022 South Carolina -> -- 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2021 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#3821Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3846Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8763

#579 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ger-Cari Caldwell

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ger-Cari Caldwell

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
12Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
6Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
78Rec yards
13Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 12): needs 62.5/game over remaining 11.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 12): needs 89.8/game over remaining 11.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 2): needs 5.3/game over remaining 11.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 2): needs 7.1/game over remaining 11.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.9/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ger-Cari Caldwell's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Memphis, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3821 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 2 0 rec TD | #886/1110 (20th pct)
Receiving yards 12 6.0 per catch | #979/1107 (12th pct)
Scrimmage yards 12 Total offensive yardage | #979/1107 (12th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
2 20th
YDS
12 12th
YPR
6.0 10th
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 45-10vs Chattanooga199.009Season-high 9 yds
Wk 6W 45-7vs Tulsa133.003
Total2126.009
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Memphis8-5HC: Ryan Silverfield · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Memphis2126.00--
Career1 loaded season2126.00--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 2.9% 6.9% pass-game share | #696/1137 (39th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 2 #886/1110 20th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 12 #979/1107 12th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 6.0 #995/1106 10th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 6.9% #696/1137 39th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 9 #980/1105 11th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 6.5% #524/1137 54th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.5% #684/1137 40th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.2% #612/1137 46th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 2.9% #789/1137 31st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 1.9% #911/1137 20th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 1.6% #938/1137 18th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g1.06.06.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g1.06.06.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-72g1.06.06.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

2Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long catch (0th).

Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Yards / catch#555 / 558 · 1st pct
6.0rece
Rec yards#559 / 558 · 0th pct
12rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
2rece
Long catch#559 / 558 · 0th pct
9rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2021

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Ger-Cari CaldwellMemphisMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 47% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 41% simAaron TurnerRice· 39% sim
Rec TDs
7
Caldwell
24
III
7
Gibson
68
Turner
Yards / catch
1
Caldwell
9
III
15
Gibson
1
Turner
Rec yards
0
Caldwell
70
III
74
Gibson
48
Turner
Receptions
0
Caldwell
92
III
92
Gibson
92
Turner
Long catch
0
Caldwell
16
III
56
Gibson
65
Turner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Silverfield

Pass share

46.9%

412 pass / 466 run

Plays / game

67.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.2%

285 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis

Played his entire career under Ryan Silverfield.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRock Hill, SC
Height6'4"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2021 South Carolina WR4 #3821 #3846 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Memphis American Athletic WR 4 No. 11 | 6-4 | 195 lb | Rock Hill, SC
2021 South Carolina SEC WR 4 No. 11 | 6-4 | 195 lb | Rock Hill, SC