cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Garrett Oakley /Kansas State

Garrett Oakley

TE · Kansas State · Jr · #86

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

389 REC YDS · 38 REC · 6 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Kansas State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Kansas State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Kansas State

Returning around him

  • 69% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 2 Kansas State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (26 in / 33 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Kansas State · Last season: 6-6 (AP #17) · Talent rank #47 · 2026 recruiting class #35

TE · KANSAS STATE · BIG 12

Garrett Oakley

  • 3
  • #86
  • 6-5 | 248 lb
  • Columbus, NE

CFB Zeitgeist Score

70

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 95th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2373

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
1542023
3892025

+153%

Up 153% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1557 national
CFB
College
Kansas State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class3
Jersey86
Measurements6-5 | 248 lb
HometownColumbus, NE
Primary teamKansas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1557 recruit
Composite rating 0.8374 HighSchool
Signed with Kansas State 2022
Origin Scotus Central Catholic Columbus, NE, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8374 No. 1557 recruit | HighSchool | Kansas State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2373Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2103Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (389).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Kansas State

Composite

0.8374

#1557 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Garrett Oakley

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Garrett Oakley

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
389Rec yards
38Receptions
6Rec TDs
Per game
38.9Rec yards
4Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
505.7Rec yards
49Receptions
8Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 389): needs 103.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 389): needs 203.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 38): needs 7.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 38): needs 14/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 0.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 1.3/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Garrett Oakley's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kansas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2373 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 38 6 rec TD | #20/475 (96th pct)
Receiving yards 389 10.2 per catch | #38/475 (92nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 389 Total offensive yardage | #38/475 (92nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
38 96th
YDS
389 92nd
YPR
10.2 56th
TD
6 99th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 21-24vs Iowa State56212.4024
Wk 1W 38-35vs North Dakota22110.5012
Wk 2L 21-24vs Army12121.0021
Wk 3L 17-23@ Arizona461.504
Wk 5W 34-20vs UCF23618.0135
Wk 6L 34-35@ Baylor7547.7113
Wk 7W 41-28vs TCU47117.8232Season-high 71 yds
Wk 10L 20-43vs Texas Tech56212.4128
Wk 12W 14-6@ Oklahoma State4235.8011
Wk 13L 47-51@ Utah4338.3115
Total3838911.5635
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Kansas State9-4HC: Chris Klieman · Run-leaning
2025Kansas State6-6HC: Chris Klieman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Kansas State3838910.26--
2023Kansas State1115414.02--
Career2 loaded seasons4954311.18--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.8% 17.9% pass-game share | #11/468 (98th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 6 Across offense and returns | #6/475 (99th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 38 #20/475 96th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 389 #38/475 92nd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 6 #6/475 99th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 10.2 #212/475 56th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 17.9% #11/468 98th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 35 #97/475 80th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.7% #12/468 98th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 11.3% #10/468 98th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 9.1% #18/468 96th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 8.8% #10/468 98th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 7.5% #17/468 97th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 6.7% #31/468 94th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #34/55 40th pct Turnoversvs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g3.245.515.30.7
Road4g4.829.05.80.5

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g3.037.813.00.8
Losses6g4.339.710.60.5

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.638.712.70.6
Weeks 8+3g4.339.38.80.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

70Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec tds (94th). Strength: receptions (88th). Concern: fumbles lost (27th).

Rec TDs#6 / 175 · 95th pct
6rece
Receptions#20 / 175 · 88th pct
38rece
Rec yards#38 / 175 · 79th pct
389rece
Long catch#81 / 175 · 53rd pct
35rece
Yards / catch#100 / 175 · 42nd pct
10.2rece
Fumbles lost#18 / 33 · 27th pct
1fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Garrett OakleyKansas StateJosh CuevasAlabama· 89% simDorian ThomasNew Mexico· 86% simSeydou TraoreMississippi State· 84% sim
Rec TDs
95
Oakley
80
Cuevas
80
Thomas
89
Traore
Receptions
88
Oakley
86
Cuevas
99
Thomas
80
Traore
Rec yards
79
Oakley
81
Cuevas
95
Thomas
73
Traore
Long catch
53
Oakley
42
Cuevas
49
Thomas
87
Traore
Yards / catch
42
Oakley
59
Cuevas
39
Thomas
49
Traore
Fumbles lost
27
Oakley
3
Thomas

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Joe Royer’s 2025 season.

Joe Royer

76%match

Cincinnati · 2025

All-Big 12NFL Rd 5
#2

Anthony Landphere

Memphis · 2024

All-AAC
73%
#3

Payne Durham

Purdue · 2022

All-Big TenNFL Rd 5
73%
#4

Payne Durham

Purdue · 2021

NFL Rd 5
73%
#5

Brady Hunt

Ball State · 2022

All-MAC
72%

Matches Joe on

Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Joe on

Recruiting rating (lower)
Class year (lower)
Reception volume (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Luke Schoonmaker’s path through Michigan.

Luke Schoonmaker

79%match

Michigan · 2022

All-Big TenNFL Rd 2 · Pk 27
#2

Niko Hea

Missouri · 2021

78%
#3

Shelton Zeon III

UNLV · 2022

77%
#4

Noah Meyers

Western Kentucky · 2025

76%
#5

Austin Hence

Western Michigan · 2023

76%

Matches Luke on

Yards per reception
Weight
Recruiting rating

Differs from Luke on

Height (lower)

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Davis Allen's junior season at Clemson (2022).

Davis Allen

77%match

Clemson · 2022

All-ACCNFL Rd 5
#2

Tre Watson

Fresno State · 2023

76%
#3

Jameson Geers

Minnesota · 2024

75%
#4

Terrance Ferguson

Oregon · 2023

All-Big TenNFL Rd 2 · Pk 14
75%
#5

Joel Wilson

Central Michigan · 2022

All-MAC
74%

Matches Davis on

Weight
Height
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Davis on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Chris Klieman

Pass share

46.4%

342 pass / 395 run

Plays / game

61.4

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

288 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Chris Klieman
Kansas State
2025
Chris Klieman
Kansas State

Played his entire career under Chris Klieman.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownColumbus, NE
Height6'5"
Weight248 lb
Class3
PositionTE
Jersey86

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kansas State TE3 #2373 #2103 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Kansas State TE3 #944 #880 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Kansas State TE3 #2493 #2014 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kansas State Big 12 TE 3 No. 86 | 6-5 | 248 lb | Columbus, NE
2024 Kansas State Big 12 TE 3 No. 86 | 6-5 | 248 lb | Columbus, NE
2023 Kansas State Big 12 TE 3 No. 86 | 6-5 | 248 lb | Columbus, NE
2022 Kansas State Big 12 TE 3 No. 86 | 6-5 | 248 lb | Columbus, NE