cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Fred Robertson /Louisiana Tech

Fred Robertson

RB · Louisiana Tech · So · #24

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

0 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 2 CARRIES

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Louisiana Tech)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Louisiana Tech
DestinationTBD

RB · LOUISIANA TECH · CONFERENCE USA

Fred Robertson

  • 2
  • #24
  • 5-7 | 185 lb
  • New Orleans, LA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

2

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 3rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4206

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2035 national
CFB
College
Louisiana Tech
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey24
Measurements5-7 | 185 lb
HometownNew Orleans, LA
Primary teamLouisiana Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2035 recruit
Composite rating 0.8319 HighSchool
Signed with Louisiana Tech 2024
Origin Warren Easton New Orleans, LA, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8319 No. 2035 recruit | HighSchool | Louisiana Tech

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 2, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Louisiana Tech -> -- 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4206Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4491Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Louisiana Tech

Composite

0.8319

#2035 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Fred Robertson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Fred Robertson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 4g
0Rush yards
2Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
0Rush yards
0Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
0Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 0): needs 83.3/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 0): needs 111.1/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 0): needs 166.7/game over remaining 9.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.1/game over remaining 9.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.7/game over remaining 9.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.2/game over remaining 9.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Fred Robertson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Louisiana Tech, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4206 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 81 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 8 0 rush | 8 rec
Rush TD 0 2 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)
Yards/carry 0.0 Per-rush efficiency
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
2 10th
TD
0 40th

Receiving

REC
2 25th
YDS
8 15th
YPR
4.0 17th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 4 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 24-0vs SE Louisiana1-2-2.000
Wk 2L 7-23@ LSU122.002Season-high 2 yds
Wk 3W 49-14vs New Mexico State
Wk 7L 7-35@ Kennesaw State
Total200.002
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Louisiana Tech8-5HC: Sonny Cumbie · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Louisiana Tech2--0.00--
Career1 loaded season2--0.00--
SeasonTeam
2025Louisiana Tech284.00--
Career1 loaded season284.00--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 2 8 rec yds | #414/552 (25th pct)
Usage 2.8% 2.2% rush share | #651/738 (12th pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rush TD 0 #447/739 40th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 2 #414/552 25th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 8 #469/548 15th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Role share 2.8% #651/738 12th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 2 #667/739 10th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 2 #710/733 3rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 5 #482/540 11th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 4.0 #456/548 17th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 81 #72/200 64th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 20.3 #75/199 63rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 4 #69/206 67th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 5.5% #429/738 42nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 3.4% #273/738 63rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.3% #643/738 13th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 2.6% #667/738 10th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.5% #575/738 22nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 2.2% #722/738 2nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 1.6% #708/738 4th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 4 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home2g-1.0-2.00.0
Road2g1.02.00.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins2g-1.0-2.00.0
Losses2g1.02.00.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-74g0.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

2Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Rec yards#321 / 338 · 5th pct
8rece
Receptions#318 / 338 · 5th pct
2rece
Rush TDs#326 / 349 · 3rd pct
0rush
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
0rush
Yards / carry#350 / 349 · 0th pct
0.0rush
Long run#350 / 349 · 0th pct
2rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
2rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Fred RobertsonLouisiana TechJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 43% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 43% simTae MeadowsTroy· 42% sim
Rec yards
5
Robertson
3
Brunson
10
Wright
38
Meadows
Receptions
5
Robertson
2
Brunson
32
Wright
45
Meadows
Rush TDs
3
Robertson
50
Brunson
62
Wright
72
Meadows
Rush yards
0
Robertson
80
Brunson
84
Wright
74
Meadows
Yards / carry
0
Robertson
41
Brunson
33
Wright
29
Meadows
Long run
0
Robertson
73
Brunson
49
Wright
53
Meadows
Carries
0
Robertson
85
Brunson
92
Wright
84
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sonny Cumbie

Pass share

37.1%

311 pass / 527 run

Plays / game

64.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

234 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Sonny Cumbie
Louisiana Tech

Played his entire career under Sonny Cumbie.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownNew Orleans, LA
Height5'7"
Weight185 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey24

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Louisiana Tech RB2 #4206 #4491 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Louisiana Tech Conference USA RB 2 No. 24 | 5-7 | 185 lb | New Orleans, LA
2024 Louisiana Tech Conference USA RB 2 No. 24 | 5-7 | 185 lb | New Orleans, LA