CFB Zeitgeist Score
16
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 24th percentile.
Fatafehi Vailea
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
15 TACKLES · 0 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to North Texas for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Defensive line · North Texas
Returning around him
- 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: +11 net (49 in / 38 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
North Texas · Last season: 12-2 (AP #23) · Talent rank #96 · 2026 recruiting class #112
DL · NORTH TEXAS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Fatafehi Vailea
- 4
- #15
- 6-1 | 292 lb
- Las Vegas, NV
Heisman Heat
#12083
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DEFENSE AWARD
Nagurski
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR03 · Backup
Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
North Texas
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8237 | No. 1919 recruit | HighSchool | North Texas |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to North Texas
Composite
0.8237
#1919 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Fatafehi Vailea
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Fatafehi Vailea
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 3g
15Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
65Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 15): needs 6.5/game over remaining 10.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 15): needs 8.5/game over remaining 10.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 0.6/game over remaining 10.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 10.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Fatafehi Vailea is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on North Texas's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
15 52nd
SOLO
4 34th
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 33-30@ Western Michigan | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 3 | W 59-10vs Washington State | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 45-38@ Army | 10 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 10 tackles |
| Total | 15 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022North Texas7-7HC: Seth Littrell · Run-leaning
2023North Texas5-7HC: Eric Morris · Balanced, fast tempo
2025North Texas12-2HC: Eric Morris · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | North Texas | 15 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | North Texas | 25 | 12 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | North Texas | 37 | 12 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 77 | 28 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 15 | #2386/4942 | 52nd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 0.0 | #3020/4972 | 39th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #1762/4972 | 65th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 4 | #3005/4584 | 34th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home1g | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Road2g | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort
16Below cohort
Concern: solo tackles (4th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · DL · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Fatafehi VaileaNorth TexasTyler MartinMassachusetts· 44% simBlake FletcherAir Force· 40% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 38% sim
Sacks
QB hurries
Tackles
Passes defended
Tackles for loss
Solo tackles
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Two-Gap Base
Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.
IDL
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Marcus Moore’s 2023 season.
Marcus Moore
93%match
#2
Mackavelli Malotumau
91%
#3
Fatafehi Vailea
88%
#4
Dion Bergan
87%
#5
Markus Clark
87%
Matches Marcus on
Weight
TFL rate
Sack rate
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Kyon Barrs's senior season at USC (2023).
Kyon Barrs
90%match
#2
Keenan Stewart
85%
#3
Jason Moore
81%
#4
Kennedy Roberts
81%
#5
Alonzo Ford
80%
Matches Kyon on
Class year
Sack rate
TFL rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Eric Morris
Pass share
48.5%
475 pass / 504 run
Plays / game
69.9
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.9%
321 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Seth Littrell
North Texas
2023era →
Eric Morris
North Texas
2025
Eric Morris
North Texas
Coaching transition mid-career: Seth Littrell → Eric Morris. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLas Vegas, NV
Height6'1"
Weight292 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey15
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamNorth Texas
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | North Texas | DL4 | #12083 | #11881 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2023 | North Texas | DL4 | #14980 | #15031 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2022 | North Texas | DL4 | #13839 | #13825 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2021 | North Texas | DL4 | #12984 | #13031 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | North Texas | American Athletic | DL | 4 | No. 15 | 6-1 | 292 lb | Las Vegas, NV |
| 2024 | North Texas | American Athletic | DL | 4 | No. 15 | 6-1 | 292 lb | Las Vegas, NV |
| 2023 | North Texas | American Athletic | DL | 4 | No. 15 | 6-1 | 292 lb | Las Vegas, NV |
| 2022 | North Texas | Conference USA | DL | 4 | No. 15 | 6-1 | 292 lb | Las Vegas, NV |
| 2021 | North Texas | Conference USA | DL | 4 | No. 15 | 6-1 | 292 lb | Las Vegas, NV |