CFB Zeitgeist Score
85
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 96th percentile.
Ezra Christensen
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
41 TACKLES · 5 SACKS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Colorado
2025New Mexico State
2026Colorado
DL · NEW MEXICO STATE · CONFERENCE USA
Ezra Christensen
- 4
- #90
- 6-2 | 260 lb
- San Diego, CA
Heisman Heat
#12016
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DEFENSE AWARD
Nagurski
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8256 | No. 141 recruit | JUCO | Fresno State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | New Mexico State -> Colorado | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
| 2025 | Fresno State -> New Mexico State | 3-star | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Fresno State
Composite
0.8256
#141 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Ezra Christensen
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Ezra Christensen
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 11g
41Tackles
11Tackles for loss
5Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Projected (13g)
48Tackles
13Tackles for loss
5.9Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 41): needs 19.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 41): needs 29.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 5): needs 0.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 5): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Ezra Christensen is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on New Mexico State's defense, with 5.0 sacks, 11.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
41 82nd
SOLO
21 79th
TFL
11.0 99th
SACK
5.0 98th
QBH
10 99th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
2 64th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 19-3vs Bryant | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 2 | W 21-14vs Tulsa | 5 | 5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | — | 1 | 3.0 TFL |
| Wk 3 | L 14-49@ Louisiana Tech | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | L 20-38@ New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | W 37-10vs Sam Houston | 6 | 2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 6 tackles |
| Wk 8 | L 27-30@ Liberty | 5 | 4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | 0 | 2 sacks |
| Wk 9 | L 17-24vs Missouri State | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | L 21-24vs Kennesaw State | 5 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 9-42@ Tennessee | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | W 34-31@ UTEP | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | L 24-31vs Middle Tennessee | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 41 | 21 | 11.0 | 5.0 | — | 2 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Fresno State9-4HC: Jeff Tedford · Pass-leaning
2025New Mexico State4-8HC: Tony Sanchez · Pass-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | New Mexico State | 41 | 21 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 2 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Fresno State | 10 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 51 | 24 | 12.0 | 5.5 | 2 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 41 | #872/4942 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 11.0 | #74/4972 | 99th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 5.0 | #102/4972 | 98th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 2 | #792/2184 | 64th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 10 | #19/1878 | 99th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 21 | #959/4584 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Road5g | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Losses7g | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort
85All-Conference
Elite: qb hurries (99th). Strength: tackles for loss (97th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · DL · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Ezra ChristensenNew Mexico StateJohn MillerUtah State· 83% simMac HarrisSouth Florida· 82% simRasheem BilesPittsburgh· 82% sim
QB hurries
Tackles for loss
Sacks
Tackles
Passes defended
Solo tackles
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The 3-Tech Penetrator
Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.
IDL
His 2025 production profile sits closest to John Morgan’s 2023 season.
John Morgan
87%match
#2
Tylon Dunlap
All-Conference USA
84%
#3
Ronald Triplette
84%
#4
C.J. Nunnally
84%
#5
John Morgan
83%
Matches John on
Sack rate
Height
TFL rate
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kydran Jenkins's junior season at Purdue (2023).
Kydran Jenkins
87%match
All-Big Ten
#2
C.J. Nunnally
87%
#3
Jordan Ferguson
All-Conference USA
85%
#4
NaNa Osafo-Mensah
84%
#5
Ezra Evaimalo
82%
Matches Kydran on
Class year
TFL rate
Weight
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tony Sanchez
Pass share
57.4%
472 pass / 350 run
Plays / game
68.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.7%
359 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Jerry Kill
New Mexico State
2025era →
Tony Sanchez
New Mexico State
Coaching transition mid-career: Jerry Kill → Tony Sanchez. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSan Diego, CA
Height6'2"
Weight260 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey90
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamNew Mexico State
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Fresno State | DL4 | #12016 | #11894 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Fresno State | DL4 | #12662 | #12525 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | DL | 4 | No. 90 | 6-2 | 260 lb | San Diego, CA |
| 2024 | Fresno State | Mountain West | DL | 4 | No. 90 | 6-2 | 260 lb | San Diego, CA |
| 2023 | Fresno State | Mountain West | DL | 4 | No. 90 | 6-2 | 260 lb | San Diego, CA |