CFB Zeitgeist Score
55
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 74th percentile.
Ethan Davis
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
257 REC YDS · 21 REC · 2 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Tennessee for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · Tennessee
Returning around him
- 22% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 5 Tennessee players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -8 net (21 in / 29 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Tennessee · Last season: 8-5 (AP #18) · Talent rank #16 · 2026 recruiting class #11
TE · TENNESSEE · SEC
Ethan Davis
- 2
- 6-5 | 245 lb
- Atlanta, GA
Heisman Heat
#740
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025+679%
Up 679% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Tennessee
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4-star | 0.9383 | No. 147 recruit | HighSchool | Tennessee |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Tennessee
Composite
0.9383
#147 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Ethan Davis
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=4
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Ethan Davis
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
12.2
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #281 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 47th
Why it matters
#281 of 531 All FBS WRs at 12.2 yards per reception (21 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 12.2 (47th)
MODERATE · n=21 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving TDs#302 / 531
- Receiving yards (total)#435 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 14 vs Vanderbilt — 85 ypr
Result L 24-45
The week the volume broke through — put up 85 yds vs Vanderbilt.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 6g
257Rec yards
21Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
42.8Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
556.8Rec yards
46Receptions
4Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 257): needs 63.3/game over remaining 7.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 257): needs 106.1/game over remaining 7.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 21): needs 5.6/game over remaining 7.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 21): needs 8.4/game over remaining 7.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 0.9/game over remaining 7.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1.1/game over remaining 7.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Ethan Davis's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Tennessee, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
21 81st
YDS
257 84th
YPR
12.2 76th
TD
2 84th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 6 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 72-17vs East Tennessee State | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wk 9 | W 56-34@ Kentucky | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | 1 | 13 | |
| Wk 10 | L 27-33vs Oklahoma | 5 | 62 | 12.4 | 0 | 40 | |
| Wk 12 | W 42-9vs New Mexico State | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 13 | W 31-11@ Florida | 5 | 72 | 14.4 | 1 | 23 | |
| Wk 14 | L 24-45vs Vanderbilt | 7 | 85 | 12.1 | 0 | 20 | Season-high 85 yds |
| Total | 21 | 257 | 10.9 | 2 | 40 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Tennessee9-4HC: Josh Heupel · Run-leaning
2024Tennessee10-3HC: Josh Heupel · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2025Tennessee8-5HC: Josh Heupel · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 21 | #93/475 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 257 | #79/475 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #79/475 | 84th pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 12.2 | #114/475 | 76th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 11.2% | #65/468 | 86th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 40 | #70/475 | 85th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.4% | #45/468 | 91st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.9% | #44/468 | 91st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 5.5% | #66/468 | 86th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 5.3% | #138/468 | 71st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 4.4% | #159/468 | 66th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 4.4% | #94/468 | 80th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 6 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 3.5 | 40.5 | 9.9 | 0.0 |
| Road2g | 3.5 | 47.5 | 12.9 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 2.2 | 27.5 | 10.2 | 0.5 |
| Losses2g | 6.0 | 73.5 | 12.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-71g | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 4.0 | 51.2 | 12.9 | 0.4 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
55Solid starter
Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Ethan DavisTennesseeRiley NowakowskiIndiana· 83% simEthan ConnerTroy· 80% simDecker DeGraafWashington· 80% sim
Yards / catch
Long catch
Rec yards
Receptions
Rec TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Move TE
Lined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield.
TE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Erick All’s 2023 season.
Erick All
72%match
NFL Rd 4
#2
Oscar Delp
All-SECNFL Rd 3 · Pk 9
72%
#3
Keyan Burnett
66%
#4
Gavin Bartholomew
NFL Rd 6
71%
#5
Samuel Wheeler
65%
Matches Erick on
Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Differs from Erick on
Class year (lower)
Recruiting rating (higher)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Mason Williams's junior season at Ohio (2025).
Mason Williams
82%match
#2
Jaden Platt
81%
#3
Blake Whiteheart
73%
#4
Luke Musgrave
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 11
70%
#5
Kamrean Johnson
67%
Matches Mason on
TD rate
Reception volume
Yards / reception
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Josh Heupel
Pass share
47.3%
437 pass / 486 run
Plays / game
71.0
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.4%
334 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
2024
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
2025
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
Played his entire career under Josh Heupel.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownAtlanta, GA
Height6'5"
Weight245 lb
Class2
PositionTE
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTennessee
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.