cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ethan Conner /Troy

Ethan Conner

TE · Troy · Sr · #14

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

397 REC YDS · 31 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Troy for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Troy for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Troy

Returning around him

  • 33% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (14 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Troy · Last season: 8-6 · Talent rank #99 · 2026 recruiting class #82

TE · TROY · SUN BELT

Ethan Conner

  • 4
  • #14
  • 6-4 | 245 lb
  • Columbus, MS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

66

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 79th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2637

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2023

Troy · TE

2024

Troy · TE

2025

Troy · TE

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
1682023
1152024
3972025

+136%

Up 136% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Troy
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey14
Measurements6-4 | 245 lb
HometownColumbus, MS
Primary teamTroy

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2637Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3365Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (397).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ethan Conner

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ethan Conner

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

12.8

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #240 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 55th

Why it matters

#240 of 531 All FBS WRs at 12.8 yards per reception (31 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 12.8 (55th)

HIGH · n=31 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#222 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#304 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 13 vs Georgia State — 85 ypr

Result W 31-19

The week the volume broke through — put up 85 yds vs Georgia State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
397Rec yards
31Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
36.1Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
469.2Rec yards
37Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 397): needs 151.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 397): needs 301.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 31): needs 14.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 31): needs 24.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Ethan Conner already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #2637 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 31 3 rec TD | #48/475 (90th pct)
Receiving yards 397 12.8 per catch | #37/475 (92nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 398 Total offensive yardage | #37/475 (92nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetBig-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
31 90th
YDS
397 92nd
YPR
12.8 80th
TD
3 91st

Rushing

CAR
2 68th
YDS
1 30th
YPC
0.5 19th
TD
0 69th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 38-20vs Nicholls4205.017
Wk 2L 16-27@ Clemson35317.7024
Wk 6W 31-24vs South Alabama2115.507
Wk 7W 48-41@ Texas State45313.3020
Wk 8W 37-14@ UL Monroe24020.0027
Wk 9W 35-23vs Louisiana36822.7028
Wk 10L 10-23vs Arkansas State133.003
Wk 12L 0-33@ Old Dominion4297.3010
Wk 13W 31-19vs Georgia State38528.3239Season-high 85 yds
Wk 15L 14-31@ James Madison3196.3014
BowlL 13-17@ Jacksonville State2168.0011
Total3139712.5339
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Troy11-3HC: Jon Sumrall · Balanced
2024Troy4-8HC: Gerad Parker · Run-leaning
2025Troy8-6HC: Gerad Parker · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Troy3139712.83--
2024Troy121159.60--
2023Troy1616810.54--
Career3 loaded seasons5968011.57--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.7% 12.6% pass-game share | #47/468 (90th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #45/475 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 31 #48/475 90th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 397 #37/475 92nd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #45/475 91st pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 12.8 #96/475 80th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 12.6% #47/468 90th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Rushing Carries 2 #20/59 68th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Rushing Rushing LONG 1 #39/50 24th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Rushing Rushing yards 1 #38/53 30th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Rushing Yards / carry 0.5 #44/53 19th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Rushing Rush TD 0 #20/62 69th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 39 #77/475 84th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.9% #27/468 94th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 8.4% #45/468 91st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.3% #36/468 93rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 6.7% #30/468 94th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 5.8% #45/468 91st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 4.5% #103/468 78th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.6% #29/468 94th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g2.637.412.90.6
Road6g3.035.012.10.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins6g3.046.215.80.5
Losses5g2.624.08.50.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.030.69.90.2
Weeks 8+6g2.740.714.60.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

66Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (81st). Concern: rush yards (27th).

Yards / catch#33 / 175 · 81st pct
12.8rece
Rec yards#37 / 175 · 79th pct
397rece
Receptions#48 / 175 · 72nd pct
31rece
Rec TDs#45 / 175 · 66th pct
3rece
Long catch#67 / 175 · 61st pct
39rece
Rush TDs#14 / 33 · 30th pct
0rush
Rush yards#22 / 33 · 27th pct
1rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Ethan ConnerTroyJyrin JohnsonBowling Green· 87% simBoden GroenKansas· 86% simCarsen RyanBYU· 86% sim
Yards / catch
81
Conner
79
Johnson
77
Groen
89
Ryan
Rec yards
79
Conner
88
Johnson
87
Groen
97
Ryan
Receptions
72
Conner
86
Johnson
83
Groen
94
Ryan
Rec TDs
66
Conner
43
Johnson
89
Groen
66
Ryan
Long catch
61
Conner
59
Johnson
76
Groen
69
Ryan
Rush TDs
30
Conner
Rush yards
27
Conner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ben Yurosek’s 2021 season.

Ben Yurosek

79%match

Stanford · 2021

#2

Lance Mason

Wisconsin · 2025

All-Big Ten
75%
#3

Shane Calhoun

East Carolina · 2021

79%
#4

Cade Stover

Ohio State · 2022

All-Big TenNFL Rd 4
78%
#5

Keyan Burnett

Arizona · 2024

72%

Matches Ben on

Weight
Class year
Yards / reception

Differs from Ben on

Reception volume (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jacob Petersen's junior season at Toledo (2025).

Jacob Petersen

82%match

Toledo · 2025

#2

Johnny Pascuzzi

Tulane · 2025

80%
#3

Cade Stover

Ohio State · 2022

All-Big TenNFL Rd 4
78%
#4

John Samuel Shenker

Auburn · 2022

78%
#5

Christopher Toudle

NC State · 2022

77%

Matches Jacob on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Reception volume

Differs from Jacob on

Yards / reception (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Gerad Parker

Pass share

47.1%

431 pass / 484 run

Plays / game

65.4

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

17.0%

342 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Jon Sumrall
Troy
2024
Gerad Parker
Troy
era →
2025
Gerad Parker
Troy

Coaching transition mid-career: Jon Sumrall → Gerad Parker. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownColumbus, MS
Height6'4"
Weight245 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey14

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Sun Belt all_conference Sun Belt TE

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Troy TE4 #2637 #3365 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Troy TE4 #661 #613 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Troy Sun Belt TE 4 No. 14 | 6-4 | 245 lb | Columbus, MS
2024 Troy Sun Belt TE 4 No. 14 | 6-4 | 245 lb | Columbus, MS
2023 Troy Sun Belt TE 4 No. 14 | 6-4 | 245 lb | Columbus, MS