CFB Zeitgeist Score
63
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 87th percentile.
Elijah Palmer
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
51 TACKLES · 0 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Hawai'i for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Defensive back · Hawai'i
Returning around him
- 46% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- Transfer portal: +7 net (16 in / 9 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Hawai'i · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #120 · 2026 recruiting class #124
DB · HAWAI'I · MOUNTAIN WEST
Elijah Palmer
- 3
- #4
- 5-8 | 180 lb
- Las Vegas, NV
Heisman Heat
#13486
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DB AWARD
Jim Thorpe
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Hawai'i
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8436 | No. 1604 recruit | HighSchool | Hawai'i |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Hawai'i
Composite
0.8436
#1604 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Elijah Palmer
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Elijah Palmer
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 13g
51Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
51Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Elijah Palmer is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Hawai'i's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 6.5 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
51 88th
SOLO
28 87th
TFL
6.5 93rd
SACK
0.0 65th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
10 99th
INT
2 87th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 23-20vs Stanford | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 1 | L 6-40@ Arizona | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 2 | W 37-20vs Sam Houston | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 3 | W 23-3vs Portland State | 7 | 4 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | Season-high 7 tackles |
| Wk 4 | L 21-23vs Fresno State | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | W 44-35@ Air Force | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | W 44-26vs Utah State | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 2 | |
| Wk 8 | W 31-19@ Colorado State | 5 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 10 | L 38-45@ San José State | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 11 | W 38-6vs San Diego State | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Wk 13 | L 10-38@ UNLV | 5 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | W 27-7vs Wyoming | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 3 | |
| Bowl | W 35-31vs California | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 51 | 28 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 10 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Hawai'i5-8HC: Timmy Chang · Pass-heavy
2025Hawai'i9-4HC: Timmy Chang · Pass-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 51 | #579/4942 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 6.5 | #340/4972 | 93rd pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #1762/4972 | 65th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 2 | #114/869 | 87th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 10 | #20/2184 | 99th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return yards | 57 | #87/578 | 85th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return avg | 28.5 | #111/578 | 81st pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 28 | #608/4584 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Fumbles recovered | 1 | #103/736 | 86th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pick-six TD | 1 | #13/119 | 90th pct | Scoringvs FBS DEF |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/773 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home8g | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Road5g | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 3.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 |
| Losses4g | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-78g | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 3.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort
63Solid starter
Elite: passes defended (99th). Strength: tackles for loss (87th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · DB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Elijah PalmerHawai'iTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 84% simTy BenefieldBoise State· 83% simAhmaad MosesSMU· 80% sim
Passes defended
Tackles for loss
Tackles
Solo tackles
Interceptions
Forced fumbles
Sacks
QB hurries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Hybrid Nickel
Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.
S
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kam Pedescleaux’s 2023 season.
Kam Pedescleaux
81%match
All-AAC
#2
Ronald Kent Jr.
70%
#3
Jordan Clark
66%
#4
D'Angelo Ponds
All-Big TenNFL Rd 2 · Pk 18
69%
#5
Derek Carter
All-Conference USA
64%
Matches Kam on
Interceptions
Weight
Tackle volume
Differs from Kam on
Height (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to D'Angelo Ponds's junior season at Indiana (2025).
D'Angelo Ponds
77%match
All-Big TenNFL Rd 2 · Pk 18
#2
Ronald Kent Jr.
68%
#3
Tank Pearson
All-MAC
68%
#4
Chau Smith-Wade
NFL Rd 5
66%
#5
Avieon Terrell
All-ACCNFL Rd 2 · Pk 16
61%
Matches D'Angelo on
Class year
Weight
PD rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Timmy Chang
Pass share
60.2%
540 pass / 357 run
Plays / game
69.0
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
427 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Timmy Chang
Hawai'i
2025
Timmy Chang
Hawai'i
Played his entire career under Timmy Chang.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLas Vegas, NV
Height5'8"
Weight180 lb
Class3
PositionDB
Jersey4
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamHawai'i
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.