CFB Zeitgeist Score
66
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 81st percentile.
Elijah Metcalf
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
683 REC YDS · 54 REC · 2 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Southern Miss for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Wide receiver · Southern Miss
Returning around him
- 52% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: +9 net (37 in / 28 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Southern Miss · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #83 · 2026 recruiting class #105
WR · SOUTHERN MISS · SUN BELT
Elijah Metcalf
- 4
- #9
- 5-9 | 170 lb
- Charlotte, NC
Heisman Heat
#1155
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
5 seasons on the ladder
2021
Middle Tennessee · WR
—
2022
Middle Tennessee · WR
—
★
2023
Middle Tennessee · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2024
Marshall · WR
—
2025
Southern Miss · WR
—
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2025+1213%
Up 1213% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8333 | No. 1654 recruit | HighSchool | Middle Tennessee |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Marshall -> Southern Miss | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Middle Tennessee -> Marshall | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (683).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Middle Tennessee
Composite
0.8333
#1654 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Elijah Metcalf
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Elijah Metcalf
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving yards (total)
683
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #103 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 81st
Why it matters
#103 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 683 yards on 54 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 683 (81th)
HIGH · n=54 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Yards per reception#249 / 531
- Receiving TDs#302 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 11 at Arkansas State — 143 receiving_yards_total
Result W 27-21
The week the volume broke through — put up 143 yds at Arkansas State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 13g
683Rec yards
54Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
52.5Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
683Rec yards
54Receptions
2Rec TDs
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Elijah Metcalf already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
54 92nd
YDS
683 90th
YPR
12.6 56th
TD
2 75th
Rushing
CAR
4 74th
YDS
26 73rd
YPC
6.5 72nd
TD
0 81st
Returns
PR YDS
93 72nd
PR AVG
9.3 63rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 17-34vs Mississippi State | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 2 | W 38-20vs Jackson State | 5 | 45 | 9.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 3 | W 38-22vs App State | 3 | 66 | 22.0 | 0 | 48 | |
| Wk 4 | L 20-30@ Louisiana Tech | 2 | 29 | 14.5 | 0 | 24 | |
| Wk 5 | W 42-25vs Jacksonville State | 2 | -9 | -4.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | W 38-35@ Georgia Southern | 4 | 62 | 15.5 | 0 | 30 | |
| Wk 8 | W 22-10@ Louisiana | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 9 | W 49-21vs UL Monroe | 7 | 76 | 10.9 | 0 | 30 | |
| Wk 11 | W 27-21@ Arkansas State | 5 | 143 | 28.6 | 1 | 76 | Season-high 143 yds |
| Wk 12 | L 14-41vs Texas State | 10 | 116 | 11.6 | 1 | 34 | |
| Wk 13 | L 35-42@ South Alabama | 6 | 74 | 12.3 | 0 | 32 | |
| Wk 14 | L 18-28vs Troy | 6 | 62 | 10.3 | 0 | 26 | |
| Bowl | L 16-27vs Western Kentucky | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Total | 54 | 683 | 11.6 | 2 | 76 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Middle Tennessee6-6HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Middle Tennessee8-5HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2023Middle Tennessee4-8HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2024Marshall10-3HC: Charles Huff · Run-leaning
2025Southern Miss7-6HC: Charles Huff · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Southern Miss | 54 | 683 | 12.6 | 2 | -- |
| 2024 | Marshall | 20 | 194 | 9.7 | 3 | -- |
| 2023 | Middle Tennessee | 54 | 634 | 11.7 | 6 | -- |
| 2022 | Middle Tennessee | 26 | 309 | 11.9 | 2 | -- |
| 2021 | Middle Tennessee | 4 | 52 | 13.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 158 | 1,872 | 11.8 | 13 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Southern Miss | 4 | 26 | -- | 93 | -- |
| 2024 | Marshall | 2 | -3 | -- | 92 | -- |
| 2023 | Middle Tennessee | 1 | 5 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Middle Tennessee | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Middle Tennessee | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 7 | 28 | -- | 185 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 54 | #94/1110 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 683 | #109/1107 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #281/1111 | 75th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 12.6 | #486/1106 | 56th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 93 | #63/224 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 17.0% | #169/1137 | 85th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 26 | #110/397 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 17 | #88/346 | 75th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.5 | #110/393 | 72nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 4 | #108/407 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 76 | #44/1105 | 96th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 10 | #65/237 | 73rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 9.3 | #83/222 | 63rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 10.4% | #204/1137 | 82nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 9.5% | #82/1137 | 93rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.4% | #278/1137 | 76th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 9.4% | #124/1137 | 89th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 9.3% | #118/1137 | 90th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.9% | #175/1137 | 85th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 1.1% | #179/1137 | 84th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home8g | 4.6 | 46.9 | 8.6 | 0.1 |
| Road5g | 3.4 | 61.6 | 17.7 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 3.7 | 54.7 | 13.6 | 0.1 |
| Losses6g | 4.7 | 50.0 | 9.7 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 2.9 | 30.3 | 9.4 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 5.7 | 78.5 | 14.7 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
66Solid starter
Elite: long catch (92nd). Strength: receptions (82nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Elijah MetcalfSouthern MissDevin VoisinSouth Alabama· 86% simCorey RuckerArkansas State· 84% simKyre DuplessisDelaware· 84% sim
Long catch
Receptions
Rec yards
Fumbles lost
Rush yards
Yards / catch
Rec TDs
Rush TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Slot Technician
Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Stephon Robinson’s 2021 season.
Stephon Robinson
80%match
#2
Dante Wright
79%
#3
Dalen Cobb
78%
#4
Derius Davis
NFL Rd 4
77%
#5
Yusuf Ali
71%
Matches Stephon on
Height
Reception volume
Weight
Differs from Stephon on
Class year (higher)
Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ian Duarte’s path through Idaho State.
Ian Duarte
100%match
#2
Ryan Flournoy
NFL Rd 6
96%
#3
Tailique Williams
95%
#4
Anthony Lowe
95%
#5
Whop Philyor
94%
Matches Ian on
Yards per reception
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Ashtyn Hawkins's graduate season at Baylor (2025).
Ashtyn Hawkins
78%match
#2
Malik Rutherford
78%
#3
Cam Ross
72%
#4
Bryce Bohanon
72%
#5
Trayvon Rudolph
All-MAC
71%
Matches Ashtyn on
Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)
Total EPA (college ability)
Differs from Ashtyn on
TD rate (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Charles Huff
Pass share
49.9%
454 pass / 456 run
Plays / game
70.0
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.3%
315 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
3 coaches2021
Will Hall
Southern Miss
2022
Will Hall
Southern Miss
2023
Will Hall
Southern Miss
2024era →
Reed Stringer
Southern Miss
2025era →
Charles Huff
Southern Miss
Played under 3 different head coaches: Will Hall, Reed Stringer, and Charles Huff. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownCharlotte, NC
Height5'9"
Weight170 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey9
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamSouthern Miss
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2023)
All-Conference USA
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | All-Conference USA | all_conference | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | WR |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Marshall | WR4 | #1155 | #1692 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | Middle Tennessee | WR4 | #1007 | #1386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2022 | Middle Tennessee | WR4 | #1745 | #2134 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2021 | Middle Tennessee | WR4 | #3308 | #3698 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 9 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Charlotte, NC |
| 2024 | Marshall | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 9 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Charlotte, NC |
| 2023 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | WR | 4 | No. 9 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Charlotte, NC |
| 2022 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | WR | 4 | No. 9 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Charlotte, NC |
| 2021 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | WR | 4 | No. 9 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Charlotte, NC |