CFB Zeitgeist Score
58
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 94th percentile.
Elijah Green
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
391 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 58 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Sam Houston for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Sam Houston
Returning around him
- 90% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: +5 net (20 in / 15 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Sam Houston · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #123 · 2026 recruiting class #122
RB · SAM HOUSTON · CONFERENCE USA
Elijah Green
- 4
- #21
- 5-11 | 210 lb
- Roswell, GA
Heisman Heat
#203
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2021–2025+903%
Up 903% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8648 | No. 822 recruit | HighSchool | North Carolina |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to North Carolina
Composite
0.8648
#822 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Elijah Green
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Elijah Green
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 8g
391Rush yards
58Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
48.9Rush yards
7Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
635.4Rush yards
94Carries
3Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 391): needs 71.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 391): needs 121.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 391): needs 221.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 1.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 2.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 3.6/game over remaining 5.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Elijah Green's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Sam Houston, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
58 61st
YDS
391 71st
YPC
6.7 91st
TD
2 67th
Receiving
REC
15 75th
YDS
133 79th
YPR
8.9 69th
TD
1 89th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 24-41@ Western Kentucky | 6 | 10 | 1.7 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 1 | L 21-38vs UNLV | 8 | 36 | 4.5 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 2 | L 20-37@ Hawai'i | 10 | 30 | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 4 | L 0-55@ Texas | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 8 | L 17-35vs UTEP | 5 | 6 | 1.2 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 10 | L 14-55@ Louisiana Tech | 10 | 191 | 19.1 | 2 | 80 | Season-high 191 yds |
| Wk 11 | W 21-17@ Oregon State | 6 | 22 | 3.7 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 14 | L 16-56vs Florida International | 11 | 98 | 8.9 | 0 | 34 | |
| Total | 58 | 391 | 5.1 | 2 | 80 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021North Carolina6-6HC: Mack Brown · Run-leaning
2022North Carolina9-5HC: Mack Brown · Balanced
2023North Carolina8-5HC: Mack Brown · Balanced
2024Indiana11-2HC: Curt Cignetti · Run-leaning
2025Sam Houston2-10HC: Phil Longo · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Sam Houston | 58 | 391 | 6.7 | 2 | -- |
| 2024 | Indiana | 29 | 201 | 6.9 | 5 | -- |
| 2023 | North Carolina | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | North Carolina | 131 | 558 | 4.3 | 8 | -- |
| 2021 | North Carolina | 11 | 39 | 3.5 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 233 | 1,201 | 5.2 | 15 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Sam Houston | 15 | 133 | 8.9 | 1 | -- |
| 2024 | Indiana | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | North Carolina | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | North Carolina | 17 | 107 | 6.3 | 1 | -- |
| 2021 | North Carolina | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 32 | 240 | 7.5 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 391 | #212/735 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #247/739 | 67th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.7 | #67/735 | 91st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 15 | #140/552 | 75th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 133 | #114/548 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.08 | #247/362 | 32nd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 51 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 15.7% | #164/738 | 78th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 80 | #23/733 | 97th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 58 | #286/739 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 35 | #95/540 | 83rd pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 8.9 | #173/548 | 69th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #60/552 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 26.7% | #160/738 | 78th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 20.9% | #123/738 | 83rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 19.9% | #131/738 | 82nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 17.4% | #135/738 | 82nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.6% | #263/738 | 64th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 7.3% | #72/738 | 90th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.6% | #361/738 | 51st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 46.7 | 4.9 | 0.0 |
| Road5g | 50.2 | 5.3 | 0.4 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 22.0 | 3.7 | 0.0 |
| Losses7g | 52.7 | 5.3 | 0.3 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 18.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 79.2 | 8.2 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
58Solid starter
Elite: yards / carry (94th). Strength: long run (93rd). Concern: carries (18th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.08Low (p25–p50) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Elijah GreenSam HoustonJevon JacksonUAB· 63% simNate FrazierGeorgia· 62% simRaleek BrownArizona State· 61% sim
Yards / carry
Long run
Rec yards
Receptions
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Complete Back
Threatens defenses in every dimension — rushing, receiving, third-down.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to C'Bo Flemister’s 2022 season.
C'Bo Flemister
75%match
#2
Emmanuel Michel
73%
#3
Ryan Montgomery
75%
#4
Elijah Tau-Tolliver
69%
#5
Dylan Carson
65%
Matches C'Bo on
Weight
Yards / carry
EPA / carry (adj)
Differs from C'Bo on
Class year (higher)
Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Asim Rose’s path through Kentucky.
Asim Rose
99%match
#2
Calvin Turner
All-Mountain West
98%
#3
Bryant Koback
All-MAC
88%
#4
Chase Belcher
88%
#5
Mekhi Sargent
88%
Matches Asim on
Yards per carry
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Phil Longo
Pass share
51.3%
388 pass / 368 run
Plays / game
63.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
11.1%
324 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
—
Sam Houston
2022
—
Sam Houston
2023era →
K.C. Keeler
Sam Houston
2024
K.C. Keeler
Sam Houston
2025era →
Phil Longo
Sam Houston
Coaching transition mid-career: K.C. Keeler → Phil Longo. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownRoswell, GA
Height5'11"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey21
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamSam Houston
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Indiana | RB4 | #203 | #145 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2023 | North Carolina | RB4 | #1885 | #1716 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
| 2022 | North Carolina | RB4 | #229 | #274 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
| 2021 | North Carolina | RB4 | #1726 | #1643 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Sam Houston | Conference USA | RB | 4 | No. 21 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Roswell, GA |
| 2024 | Indiana | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 21 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Roswell, GA |
| 2023 | North Carolina | ACC | RB | 4 | No. 21 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Roswell, GA |
| 2022 | North Carolina | ACC | RB | 4 | No. 21 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Roswell, GA |
| 2021 | North Carolina | ACC | RB | 4 | No. 21 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Roswell, GA |