cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Elijah Canion /Liberty

Elijah Canion

WR · Liberty · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

57 REC YDS · 4 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Liberty for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Liberty for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Liberty

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +7 net (26 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Liberty · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #84 · 2026 recruiting class #86

WR · LIBERTY · CONFERENCE USA

Elijah Canion

  • 4
  • #5
  • 6-4 | 225 lb
  • Hollywood, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

16

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 68th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#586

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
46.02021
4.02023
3542024
57.02025

+24%

Modest growth (24%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#515 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements6-4 | 225 lb
HometownHollywood, FL
Primary teamLiberty

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 515 recruit
Composite rating 0.8804 HighSchool
Signed with Auburn 2020
Origin Chaminade-Madonna Hollywood, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8804 No. 515 recruit | HighSchool | Auburn

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Liberty 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 3, 2024
Season Move Context
2024 Purdue -> Liberty 3-star | Immediate
2022 Auburn -> Purdue 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#586Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#643Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Auburn

Composite

0.8804

#515 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Elijah Canion

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Elijah Canion

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 3g
57Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
19Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
247Rec yards
17Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 57): needs 64.3/game over remaining 10.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 57): needs 94.3/game over remaining 10.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 4): needs 5.6/game over remaining 10.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 4): needs 7.6/game over remaining 10.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.8/game over remaining 10.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 10.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Elijah Canion's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Liberty, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #586 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 4 0 rec TD | #767/1110 (31st pct)
Receiving yards 57 14.3 per catch | #756/1107 (32nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 57 Total offensive yardage | #756/1107 (32nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
4 31st
YDS
57 32nd
YPR
14.3 71st
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 3 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 28-7vs Maine22110.5015
Wk 2L 24-34@ Jacksonville State12222.0022Season-high 22 yds
Wk 10W 59-30vs Delaware11414.0014
Total45715.5022
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Auburn6-6HC: Bryan Harsin · Balanced
2023Purdue4-8HC: Ryan Walters · Run-leaning
2024Liberty8-4HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
2025Liberty4-8HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Liberty45714.20--
2024Liberty2535414.23--
2023Purdue144.00--
2021Auburn44611.50--
Career4 loaded seasons3446113.63--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.4% 8.0% pass-game share | #614/1137 (46th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 4 #767/1110 31st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 57 #756/1107 32nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.3 #318/1106 71st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 8.0% #614/1137 46th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 22 #722/1105 35th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 5.4% #661/1137 42nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.7% #665/1137 42nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.5% #575/1137 50th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.4% #696/1137 39th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.7% #734/1137 36th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 2.2% #856/1137 25th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 3 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g1.517.512.20.0
Road1g1.022.022.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g1.517.512.20.0
Losses1g1.022.022.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-72g1.521.516.20.0
Weeks 8+1g1.014.014.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

16Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#175 / 558 · 68th pct
14.3rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Long catch#524 / 558 · 6th pct
22rece
Rec yards#558 / 558 · 0th pct
57rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
4rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Elijah CanionLibertyMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 41% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 38% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 37% sim
Yards / catch
68
Canion
9
III
15
Gibson
40
Walker
Rec TDs
7
Canion
24
III
7
Gibson
42
Walker
Long catch
6
Canion
16
III
56
Gibson
39
Walker
Rec yards
0
Canion
70
III
74
Gibson
89
Walker
Receptions
0
Canion
92
III
92
Gibson
95
Walker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jamey Chadwell

Pass share

38.7%

314 pass / 498 run

Plays / game

67.7

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

249 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Hugh Freeze
Liberty
2023
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty
era →
2024
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty
2025
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty

Coaching transition mid-career: Hugh Freeze → Jamey Chadwell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHollywood, FL
Height6'4"
Weight225 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Liberty WR4 #586 #643 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Purdue WR4 #4001 #4143 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Purdue WR4 #3251 #3063 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Auburn WR4 #2062 #2038 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Liberty Conference USA WR 4 No. 5 | 6-4 | 225 lb | Hollywood, FL
2024 Liberty Conference USA WR 4 No. 5 | 6-4 | 225 lb | Hollywood, FL
2023 Purdue Big Ten WR 4 No. 5 | 6-4 | 225 lb | Hollywood, FL
2022 Purdue Big Ten WR 4 No. 5 | 6-4 | 225 lb | Hollywood, FL
2021 Auburn SEC WR 4 No. 5 | 6-4 | 225 lb | Hollywood, FL