CFB Zeitgeist Score
30
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 92nd percentile.
Elijah Brown
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
829 PASS YDS · 4 PASS TD · -96 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Stanford for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Stanford
Returning around him
- 19% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 2 Stanford players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -6 net (6 in / 12 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Stanford · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #46 · 2026 recruiting class #56
QB · STANFORD · ACC
Elijah Brown
- 1
- #2
- 6-2 | 205 lb
- Huntington Beach, CA
Heisman Heat
#919
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2024–2025+203%
Up 203% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Stanford
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#20 in market ▼ from #17 · 6 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4-star | 0.9133 | No. 247 recruit | HighSchool | Stanford |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Stanford
Composite
0.9133
#247 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Elijah Brown
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Elijah Brown
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
ESPN QBR (season average)
49.3
QBR
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 2 games
National rank #78 of 92
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 2 games 15th
Why it matters
#78 of 92 P4 + Notre Dame QBs by ESPN QBR — 49.3 across 6 games.
Vs cohort
This player 49.3 (15th)
HIGH · n=6 cohort 92
- Also strong
- Third-down snap share#68 / 93
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 6g
829Pass yards
4Pass TDs
2INT
Per game
138.2Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
1,796Pass yards
9Pass TDs
4INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 829): needs 310.1/game over remaining 7.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 829): needs 453/game over remaining 7.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 3/game over remaining 7.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 3.7/game over remaining 7.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 4.4/game over remaining 7.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Elijah Brown's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Stanford, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
74 61st
ATT
127 64th
CMP%
58.3% 37th
Y/A
6.5 41st
Passing Production
YDS
829 61st
TD
4 61st
INT
2 52nd
Rushing
CAR
17 49th
YDS
-96 1st
YPC
-5.6 2nd
TD
0 44th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 6 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 8 | W 20-13vs Florida State | 6/12 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 | 43.1 | |
| Wk 9 | L 7-42@ Miami | 3/5 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 7.8 | 84.2 | |
| Wk 10 | L 20-35vs Pittsburgh | 10/14 | 108 | 1 | 0 | 7.7 | 33.1 | |
| Wk 11 | L 15-20@ North Carolina | 27/39 | 284 | 1 | 1 | 7.3 | 41.2 | Season-high 284 yds |
| Wk 13 | W 31-10vs California | 10/20 | 123 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 | 46.1 | |
| Wk 14 | L 20-49vs Notre Dame | 18/37 | 204 | 1 | 1 | 5.5 | 48.2 | |
| Total | 74/127 | 829 | 4 | 2 | 6.7 | 49.3 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Stanford3-9HC: Troy Taylor · Run-leaning
2025Stanford4-8HC: Frank Reich · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 829 | #150/382 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 4 | #159/407 | 61st pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 74 | #150/383 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 58.3% | #243/383 | 37th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.5 | #226/382 | 41st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | -96 | #404/408 | 1st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.28 | #92/200 | 55th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 136 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 38.6% | #150/428 | 65th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 127 | #149/407 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 2 | #195/407 | 52nd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 17 | #211/408 | 49th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 10 | #298/391 | 24th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #230/408 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | -5.6 | #400/407 | 2nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 71.7% | #139/428 | 68th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 56.9% | #121/428 | 72nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 54.2% | #132/428 | 69th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 37.0% | #155/428 | 64th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 29.4% | #164/428 | 62nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 29.3% | #165/428 | 62nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 2.0% | #366/428 | 15th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 6 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 126 | 0.8 | 6.3 | 0.2 |
| Road2g | 162 | 0.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 97.0 | 0.5 | 6.1 | 0.0 |
| Losses4g | 159 | 0.8 | 7.1 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 8+6g | 138 | 0.7 | 6.7 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
30Below cohort
Elite: interceptions (92nd). Concern: rush yards (2nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.28Low (p25–p50) (n=94)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Elijah BrownStanfordNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 68% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 63% simLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 59% sim
Interceptions
Fumbles lost
Yards / att
Completion %
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Max Cutforth’s 2025 season.
Max Cutforth
69%match
#2
AJ Swann
66%
#3
Ben Finley
60%
#4
Gunnar Watson
57%
#5
Jake Garcia
54%
Matches Max on
Yards / attempt
Completion %
Rush yards / carry
Differs from Max on
INT rate (lower)
Class year (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Max Cutforth’s path through Boise State.
Max Cutforth
96%match
#2
DJ Williams
87%
#3
Logan Smothers
86%
#4
Tyriq Starks
86%
#5
AJ Swann
84%
Matches Max on
Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Max Cutforth's sophomore season at Boise State (2025).
Max Cutforth
69%match
#2
Alessio Milivojevic
56%
#3
Gunnar Watson
All-Sun Belt
51%
#4
Jake Garcia
47%
#5
Carter Bradley
All-Sun Belt
46%
Matches Max on
Yards / attempt
Completion %
Rush yards / carry
Differs from Max on
Class year (lower)
INT rate (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Frank Reich
Pass share
50.4%
391 pass / 385 run
Plays / game
64.7
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
12.5%
337 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
2 coaches2024
Troy Taylor
Stanford
2025era →
Frank Reich
Stanford
Coaching transition mid-career: Troy Taylor → Frank Reich. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownHuntington Beach, CA
Height6'2"
Weight205 lb
Class1
PositionQB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamStanford
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Stanford | QB1 | #919 | #1124 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.