cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Eli Wood /Virginia

Eli Wood

WR · Virginia · Sr · #82

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

205 REC YDS · 16 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Virginia → Utah State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Utah State

2025Virginia
2026Utah State

WR · VIRGINIA · ACC

Eli Wood

  • 4
  • #82
  • 6-1 | 209 lb
  • Lynchburg, VA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

34

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 42nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2276

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
15.02024
2052025

+1267%

Up 1267% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Virginia
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey82
Measurements6-1 | 209 lb
HometownLynchburg, VA
Primary teamVirginia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Utah State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 21, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Virginia -> Utah State 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2276Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2323Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Eli Wood

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 4 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 4 mentions · belief +0 · "Penn State football recruiting is starting to reveal a clear Matt Campbell strat"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Eli Wood

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
205Rec yards
16Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
20.5Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
266.5Rec yards
21Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 205): needs 165/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 205): needs 265/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 16): needs 14.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 16): needs 21.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Eli Wood is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place #2276 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 16 2 rec TD | #465/1110 (58th pct)
Receiving yards 205 12.8 per catch | #457/1107 (59th pct)
Scrimmage yards 208 Total offensive yardage | #457/1107 (59th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
16 58th
YDS
205 59th
YPR
12.8 57th
TD
2 75th

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
3 26th
YPC
3.0 36th
TD
1 96th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2L 31-35@ NC State11010.0010
Wk 4W 48-20vs Stanford144.014
Wk 5W 46-38vs Florida State22914.5021
Wk 6W 30-27@ Louisville
Wk 10W 31-21@ California24623.0038
Wk 11L 9-16vs Wake Forest155.005
Wk 12W 34-17@ Duke133.003
Wk 14W 27-7vs Virginia Tech177.007
Wk 15L 20-27vs Duke33010.0118
BowlW 13-7@ Missouri47117.8035
Total1620510.5238
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Virginia3-7HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced
2023Virginia3-9HC: Tony Elliott · Run-leaning
2024Virginia5-7HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced
2025Virginia11-3HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Virginia1620512.82--
2024Virginia3155.00--
2023Virginia----------
2022Virginia----------
Career4 loaded seasons1922011.62--
SeasonTeam
2025Virginia13------
2024Virginia----------
2023Virginia----------
2022Virginia----------
Career4 loaded seasons13------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.3% 7.0% pass-game share | #693/1137 (39th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 16 #465/1110 58th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 205 #457/1107 59th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.8 #474/1106 57th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 7.0% #693/1137 39th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 3 #299/346 14th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 3 #293/397 26th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 3.0 #254/393 36th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 1 #19/411 96th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 38 #486/1105 56th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.6% #497/1137 56th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 4.9% #719/1137 37th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.3% #712/1137 37th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 2.8% #768/1137 33rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.6% #751/1137 34th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 1.8% #936/1137 18th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g1.615.08.10.4
Road5g1.626.013.40.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g1.622.911.50.1
Losses3g1.715.08.30.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g1.622.811.60.2
Weeks 8+5g1.618.29.60.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

34Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush tds (85th). Concern: receptions (15th).

Rush TDs#19 / 287 · 85th pct
1rush
Yards / catch#287 / 558 · 48th pct
12.8rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Long catch#404 / 558 · 27th pct
38rece
Rush yards#212 / 287 · 25th pct
3rush
Rec yards#456 / 558 · 18th pct
205rece
Receptions#465 / 558 · 15th pct
16rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Eli WoodVirginiaMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 57% simJordyn TysonArizona State· 55% simAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 53% sim
Rush TDs
85
Wood
39
III
85
Tyson
39
Waseem
Yards / catch
48
Wood
9
III
36
Tyson
21
Waseem
Rec TDs
42
Wood
24
III
95
Tyson
78
Waseem
Long catch
27
Wood
16
III
68
Tyson
42
Waseem
Rush yards
25
Wood
6
III
28
Tyson
4
Waseem
Rec yards
18
Wood
70
III
81
Tyson
84
Waseem
Receptions
15
Wood
92
III
90
Tyson
96
Waseem

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jalen Preston’s 2021 season.

Jalen Preston

83%match

Texas A&M · 2021

#2

Tim Jones

Southern Miss · 2020

All-Conference USA
78%
#3

CJ Williams

Wisconsin · 2024

82%
#4

Bub Means

Louisiana Tech · 2021

NFL Rd 5
76%
#5

Quincy Skinner Jr.

Vanderbilt · 2022

79%

Matches Jalen on

Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Height

Differs from Jalen on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jimmy Holiday's senior season at Western Kentucky (2023).

Jimmy Holiday

80%match

Western Kentucky · 2023

#2

Titus Mokiao-Atimalala

UCLA · 2025

80%
#3

Keontra Smith

SMU · 2023

80%
#4

Stephon Johnson Jr.

Houston · 2025

78%
#5

Mudia Reuben

South Florida · 2025

75%

Matches Jimmy on

Weight
Total EPA (college ability)
Height

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Elliott

Pass share

48.0%

492 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

73.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

337 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Tony Elliott
Virginia
2023
Tony Elliott
Virginia
2024
Tony Elliott
Virginia
2025
Tony Elliott
Virginia

Played his entire career under Tony Elliott.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLynchburg, VA
Height6'1"
Weight209 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey82

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Virginia WR4 #2276 #2323 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Virginia WR4 #4369 #4703 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Virginia WR4 #4118 #4411 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Virginia ACC WR 4 No. 82 | 6-1 | 209 lb | Lynchburg, VA
2024 Virginia ACC WR 4 No. 82 | 6-1 | 209 lb | Lynchburg, VA
2023 Virginia ACC WR 4 No. 82 | 6-1 | 209 lb | Lynchburg, VA
2022 Virginia ACC WR 4 No. 82 | 6-1 | 209 lb | Lynchburg, VA