cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Eli Finley /Louisiana Tech

Eli Finley

TE · Louisiana Tech · Jr · #84

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

445 REC YDS · 38 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Louisiana Tech for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Louisiana Tech for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Louisiana Tech

Returning around him

  • 54% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (11 in / 24 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Louisiana Tech · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #116 · 2026 recruiting class #111

TE · LOUISIANA TECH · CONFERENCE USA

Eli Finley

  • 3
  • #84
  • 6-6 | 244 lb
  • Heath, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

66

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 85th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4979

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

2 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2023

Louisiana Tech · TE

2025

Louisiana Tech · TE

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
10.02023
4452025

+4350%

Up 4350% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1367 national
CFB
College
Louisiana Tech
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class3
Jersey84
Measurements6-6 | 244 lb
HometownHeath, TX
Primary teamLouisiana Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1367 recruit
Composite rating 0.8511 HighSchool
Signed with Louisiana Tech 2023
Origin Rockwall-Heath Rockwall, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8511 No. 1367 recruit | HighSchool | Louisiana Tech

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4979Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5492Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (445).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Louisiana Tech

Composite

0.8511

#1367 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Eli Finley

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Eli Finley

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

11.7

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #306 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 42nd

Why it matters

#306 of 531 All FBS WRs at 11.7 yards per reception (38 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 11.7 (42th)

HIGH · n=38 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#264 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#476 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 4 vs Southern Miss — 155 ypr

Result W 30-20

The week the volume broke through — put up 155 yds vs Southern Miss.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
445Rec yards
38Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
40.5Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
525.9Rec yards
45Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 445): needs 127.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 445): needs 277.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 38): needs 11/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 38): needs 21/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 4/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Eli Finley already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #4979 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 38 0 rec TD | #20/475 (96th pct)
Receiving yards 445 11.7 per catch | #27/475 (95th pct)
Scrimmage yards 445 Total offensive yardage | #27/475 (95th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
38 96th
YDS
445 95th
YPR
11.7 70th
TD
0 46th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 24-0vs SE Louisiana45914.8023
Wk 2L 7-23@ LSU4184.506
Wk 4W 30-20vs Southern Miss615525.8073Season-high 155 yds
Wk 7L 7-35@ Kennesaw State3217.009
Wk 9L 27-28vs Western Kentucky5367.2013
Wk 10W 55-14vs Sam Houston34515.0023
Wk 11L 24-25@ Delaware3113.706
Wk 12L 3-28@ Washington State3217.0014
Wk 13W 34-28vs Liberty55811.6021
Wk 14W 42-30@ Missouri State11717.0017
BowlW 23-14vs Coastal Carolina144.004
Total3844510.7073
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Louisiana Tech3-9HC: Sonny Cumbie · Balanced
2025Louisiana Tech8-5HC: Sonny Cumbie · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Louisiana Tech3844511.70--
2023Louisiana Tech2105.00--
Career2 loaded seasons4045511.40--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.1% 16.1% pass-game share | #16/468 (97th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #257/475 (46th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 38 #20/475 96th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 445 #27/475 95th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #257/475 46th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 11.7 #142/475 70th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 16.1% #16/468 97th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 73 #6/475 99th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.7% #12/468 98th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 11.2% #12/468 98th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage Role share 6.1% #47/468 90th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.8% #125/468 74th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 4.3% #112/468 76th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 4.0% #120/468 75th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g4.059.513.10.0
Road5g2.817.67.80.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins6g3.356.314.70.0
Losses5g3.621.45.90.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.651.411.20.0
Weeks 8+6g3.331.310.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

66Solid starter
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: long catch (96th). Strength: receptions (88th). Concern: rec tds (6th).

Long catch#6 / 175 · 97th pct
73rece
Receptions#20 / 175 · 88th pct
38rece
Rec yards#27 / 175 · 85th pct
445rece
Yards / catch#58 / 175 · 67th pct
11.7rece
Rec TDs#152 / 175 · 7th pct
0rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Eli FinleyLouisiana TechJaren KanakOklahoma· 90% simEli RaridonNotre Dame· 86% simSam RoushStanford· 83% sim
Long catch
97
Finley
78
Kanak
93
Raridon
95
Roush
Receptions
88
Finley
93
Kanak
75
Raridon
96
Roush
Rec yards
85
Finley
94
Kanak
89
Raridon
95
Roush
Yards / catch
67
Finley
71
Kanak
96
Raridon
59
Roush
Rec TDs
7
Finley
7
Kanak
7
Raridon
43
Roush

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Luke Schoonmaker’s 2022 season.

Luke Schoonmaker

71%match

Michigan · 2022

All-Big TenNFL Rd 2 · Pk 27
#2

Mason Taylor

LSU · 2024

66%
#3

Keleki Latu

Washington · 2024

63%
#4

Mason Taylor

LSU · 2022

62%
#5

Tanner McLachlan

Arizona · 2022

NFL Rd 6
61%

Matches Luke on

Height
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight

Differs from Luke on

TD rate (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Gabe Burkle's junior season at Iowa State (2025).

Gabe Burkle

74%match

Iowa State · 2025

#2

Max Klare

Ohio State · 2025

All-Big TenNFL Rd 2 · Pk 29
74%
#3

Gunnar Oakes

Eastern Michigan · 2022

73%
#4

Mason Taylor

LSU · 2024

70%
#5

Ben Yurosek

Stanford · 2022

66%

Matches Gabe on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight

Differs from Gabe on

Reception volume (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sonny Cumbie

Pass share

37.1%

311 pass / 527 run

Plays / game

64.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

234 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Sonny Cumbie
Louisiana Tech
2025
Sonny Cumbie
Louisiana Tech

Played his entire career under Sonny Cumbie.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHeath, TX
Height6'6"
Weight244 lb
Class3
PositionTE
Jersey84

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Conference USA

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Conference USA all_conference Louisiana Tech | Conference USA TE

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Louisiana Tech TE3 #4979 #5492 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Louisiana Tech TE3 #5414 #6004 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Louisiana Tech Conference USA TE 3 No. 84 | 6-6 | 244 lb | Heath, TX
2024 Louisiana Tech Conference USA TE 3 No. 84 | 6-6 | 244 lb | Heath, TX
2023 Louisiana Tech Conference USA TE 3 No. 84 | 6-6 | 244 lb | Heath, TX