cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dylan Wade /UCF

Dylan Wade

TE · UCF · Jr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

523 REC YDS · 43 REC · 5 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UCF for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UCF for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · UCF

Returning around him

  • 31% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 UCF player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (31 in / 35 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UCF · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #43 · 2026 recruiting class #79

TE · UCF · BIG 12

Dylan Wade

  • 3
  • 6-2 | 240 lb
  • Orlando, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

89

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#581

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
21.02023
3742024
5232025

+2390%

Up 2390% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#980 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class3
Jersey--
Measurements6-2 | 240 lb
HometownOrlando, FL
Primary teamUCF

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 980 recruit
Composite rating 0.8650 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin Jones Orlando, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8650 No. 980 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#581Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#652Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (523).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8650

#980 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dylan Wade

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

75

Grounded Optimism

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 3 mentions · belief +75 · "Sweet Victory. The football team won its first game of the season against Jackso"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=3

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dylan Wade

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

12.2

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #281 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 47th

Why it matters

#281 of 531 All FBS WRs at 12.2 yards per reception (43 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 12.2 (47th)

HIGH · n=43 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#98 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#195 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 13 vs Oklahoma State — 145 ypr

Result W 17-14

The week the volume broke through — put up 145 yds vs Oklahoma State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
523Rec yards
43Receptions
5Rec TDs
Per game
52.3Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
679.9Rec yards
56Receptions
6Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 523): needs 59/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 523): needs 159/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 43): needs 5.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 43): needs 12.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 1/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 1.7/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dylan Wade's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UCF, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #581 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 43 5 rec TD | #13/475 (97th pct)
Receiving yards 523 12.2 per catch | #12/475 (98th pct)
Scrimmage yards 523 Total offensive yardage | #12/475 (98th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
43 97th
YDS
523 98th
YPR
12.2 76th
TD
5 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 17-10vs Jacksonville State45413.5139
Wk 4W 34-9vs North Carolina5479.4018
Wk 6L 20-27vs Kansas1-1-1.000
Wk 7L 11-20@ Cincinnati55511.0030
Wk 8W 45-13vs West Virginia33311.0014
Wk 10L 3-30@ Baylor5346.8012
Wk 11L 27-30vs Houston68013.3024
Wk 12L 9-48@ Texas Tech6457.5112
Wk 13W 17-14vs Oklahoma State414536.3283Season-high 145 yds
Wk 14L 21-41@ BYU4317.8117
Total4352311.6583
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Maryland8-5HC: Mike Locksley · Pass-leaning
2024Maryland4-8HC: Mike Locksley · Pass-leaning
2025UCF5-7HC: Scott Frost · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UCF4352312.25--
2024Maryland2937412.92--
2023Maryland4215.22--
Career3 loaded seasons7691812.19--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.1% 15.4% pass-game share | #19/468 (96th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 5 Across offense and returns | #14/475 (97th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 43 #13/475 97th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 523 #12/475 98th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 5 #14/475 97th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 12.2 #114/475 76th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 15.4% #19/468 96th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 83 #1/475 100th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 9.2% #17/468 97th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 8.2% #10/468 98th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 8.2% #11/468 98th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Role share 8.1% #13/468 97th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 7.9% #51/468 89th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.5% #129/468 73rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g3.859.713.80.5
Road4g5.041.28.30.5

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g4.069.817.60.8
Losses6g4.540.77.60.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g3.838.88.20.2
Weeks 8+6g4.761.313.80.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

89All-Conference
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: long catch (99th). Strength: rec yards (93rd).

Long catch#1 / 175 · 100th pct
83rece
Rec yards#12 / 175 · 93rd pct
523rece
Receptions#13 / 175 · 93rd pct
43rece
Rec TDs#14 / 175 · 89th pct
5rece
Yards / catch#44 / 175 · 74th pct
12.2rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Dylan WadeUCFEli StowersVanderbilt· 94% simJeremiah HasleyDuke· 92% simTerrance CarterTexas Tech· 90% sim
Long catch
100
Wade
94
Stowers
88
Hasley
81
Carter
Rec yards
93
Wade
100
Stowers
88
Hasley
97
Carter
Receptions
93
Wade
99
Stowers
91
Hasley
98
Carter
Rec TDs
89
Wade
80
Stowers
95
Hasley
89
Carter
Yards / catch
74
Wade
77
Stowers
63
Hasley
62
Carter

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Lance Mason’s 2025 season.

Lance Mason

76%match

Wisconsin · 2025

All-Big Ten
#2

Var'Keyes Gumms

North Texas · 2022

All-Conference USA
71%
#3

Dylan Wade

Maryland · 2024

66%
#4

Brant Kuithe

Utah · 2022

65%
#5

Luke Hasz

Arkansas · 2024

64%

Matches Lance on

TD rate
Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Lance on

Reception volume (higher)
Class year (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Desirrio Riles's junior season at East Carolina (2025).

Desirrio Riles

74%match

East Carolina · 2025

#2

Brock Rechsteiner

Jacksonville State · 2025

72%
#3

Luke Lindenmeyer

Nebraska · 2025

71%
#4

Kaden Feagin

Illinois · 2025

70%
#5

Jaheim Bell

South Carolina · 2022

All-ACCNFL Rd 7
70%

Matches Desirrio on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Height

Differs from Desirrio on

Reception volume (higher)
TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Frost

Pass share

51.7%

403 pass / 377 run

Plays / game

65.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

324 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2024
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2025
Scott Frost
UCF
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Gus Malzahn → Scott Frost. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOrlando, FL
Height6'2"
Weight240 lb
Class3
PositionTE

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Maryland TE3 #581 #652 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Maryland TE3 #1979 #2007 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UCF Big 12 TE 3 6-2 | 240 lb | Orlando, FL
2024 Maryland Big Ten TE 3 6-2 | 240 lb | Orlando, FL
2023 Maryland Big Ten TE 3 6-2 | 240 lb | Orlando, FL