cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dwayne McDougle /San Diego State

Dwayne McDougle

S · San Diego State · Jr · #26

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

47 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred San Diego State → Nebraska for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Nebraska

2025San Diego State
2026Nebraska

S · SAN DIEGO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Dwayne McDougle

  • 3
  • #26
  • 6-0 | 205 lb
  • Oakland, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

55

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 95th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
San Diego State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class3
Jersey26
Measurements6-0 | 205 lb
HometownOakland, CA
Primary teamSan Diego State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Nebraska 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 7, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 San Diego State -> Nebraska 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate
2025 Idaho -> San Diego State 3-star | 0.8200 | Immediate

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dwayne McDougle

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dwayne McDougle

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
47Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
51Tackles
1.6Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 47): needs 33/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 47): needs 53/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dwayne McDougle is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on San Diego State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.5 tackles for loss, and 4 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 1.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 47 26 solo | #680/4942 (86th pct)
TFL 1.5 Backfield disruption | #1771/4972 (64th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
47 86th
SOLO
26 85th
TFL
1.5 64th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th
INT
4 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 42-0vs Stony Brook100.00.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 2L 13-36@ Washington State430.00.00
Wk 4W 34-0vs California220.00.02
Wk 5W 6-3@ Northern Illinois300.00.00
Wk 6W 45-24vs Colorado State300.00.00
Wk 7W 44-10@ Nevada440.00.010
Wk 9W 23-0@ Fresno State650.00.00
Wk 10W 24-7vs Wyoming541.00.010
Wk 12W 17-7vs Boise State520.50.00
Wk 13W 25-3vs San José State420.00.010
Wk 14L 17-23@ New Mexico320.00.00
BowlL 47-49vs North Texas720.00.011
Total47261.50.043
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025San Diego State9-4HC: Sean Lewis · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025San Diego State47261.50.034--
Career1 loaded season47261.50.034--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 4 0 pick-six TD | #23/869 (97th pct)
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 47 #680/4942 86th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.5 #1771/4972 64th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 4 #23/869 97th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 44 #134/578 77th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 26 #696/4584 85th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 11.0 #336/578 42nd pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Defensive TD 1 #23/200 89th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g3.90.20.00.4
Road5g4.00.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g3.70.20.00.2
Losses3g4.70.00.00.3

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.40.00.00.4
Weeks 8+5g4.60.30.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

55Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (95th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Interceptions#23 / 817 · 95th pct
4inte
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Tackles#680 / 2975 · 77th pct
47defe
Solo tackles#696 / 2975 · 76th pct
26defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles for loss#1711 / 2975 · 39th pct
1.5defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Dwayne McDougleSan Diego StateTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 85% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 81% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 78% sim
Interceptions
95
McDougle
95
Johnson
75
Lafayette
Passes defended
78
McDougle
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
91
Lafayette
Tackles
77
McDougle
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
99
Lafayette
Solo tackles
76
McDougle
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
98
Lafayette
Forced fumbles
47
McDougle
47
Ra-El
47
Johnson
Tackles for loss
39
McDougle
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson
56
Lafayette
Sacks
24
McDougle
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
63
Lafayette
QB hurries
22
McDougle
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson
22
Lafayette

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kobe Hylton’s 2023 season.

Kobe Hylton

88%match

UTEP · 2023

#2

Collin Duncan

Mississippi State · 2021

86%
#3

Henry Blackburn

Colorado State · 2021

84%
#4

Anthony Johnson Jr.

Iowa State · 2021

84%
#5

R.J. Mickens

Clemson · 2023

NFL Rd 6
83%

Matches Kobe on

Tackle volume
Height
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jaden Robinson's junior season at Florida (2025).

Jaden Robinson

86%match

Florida · 2025

#2

Khalil Barnes

Clemson · 2025

85%
#3

Saveon Brown

Buffalo · 2025

84%
#4

Tyson Flowers

Virginia Tech · 2025

83%
#5

Audavion Collins

Penn State · 2025

81%

Matches Jaden on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sean Lewis

Pass share

35.3%

290 pass / 532 run

Plays / game

63.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

224 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Sean Lewis
San Diego State

Played his entire career under Sean Lewis.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOakland, CA
Height6'0"
Weight205 lb
Class3
PositionS
Jersey26

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 San Diego State Mountain West S 3 No. 26 | 6-0 | 205 lb | Oakland, CA