CFB Zeitgeist Score
38
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 100th percentile.
Durell Robinson
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
57 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 3 CARRIES
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Colorado State
2025Auburn
2026Colorado State
RB · AUBURN · SEC
Durell Robinson
- 2
- #21
- 6-0 | 207 lb
- Seat Pleasant, MD
Heisman Heat
#97
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025-66%
Sharp dropoff (-66%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8769 | No. 673 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Auburn -> Colorado State | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
| 2025 | UConn -> Auburn | 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Charlotte -> UConn | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8769
#673 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Durell Robinson
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
58
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=18
- Rivals · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Durell Robinson
Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 2g
57Rush yards
3Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
28.5Rush yards
2Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
370.5Rush yards
20Carries
6Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 57): needs 63/game over remaining 11.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 57): needs 85.7/game over remaining 11.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 57): needs 131.2/game over remaining 11.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 0.8/game over remaining 11.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.3/game over remaining 11.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.7/game over remaining 11.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Durell Robinson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Auburn, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
3 14th
YDS
57 32nd
YPC
19.0 100th
TD
1 56th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 38-24@ Baylor | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 2 | W 42-3vs Ball State | 2 | 54 | 27.0 | 1 | 54 | Season-high 54 yds |
| Total | 3 | 57 | 15.0 | 1 | 54 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Charlotte3-9HC: Biff Poggi · Run-leaning
2024UConn9-4HC: Jim Mora · Run-leaning
2025Auburn5-7HC: Hugh Freeze · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 57 | #503/735 | 32nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 19.0 | #1/735 | 100th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.35 | #3/362 | 99th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 102 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 2.2% | #680/738 | 8th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 54 | #136/733 | 82nd pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 3 | #640/739 | 14th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 3.6% | #674/738 | 9th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 3.0% | #646/738 | 13th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 2.8% | #649/738 | 12th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 2.1% | #672/738 | 9th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 0.0% | #622/738 | 16th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 0.0% | #564/738 | 24th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 0.0% | #648/738 | 12th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 2 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home1g | 54.0 | 27.0 | 1.0 |
| Road1g | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 28.5 | 15.0 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 28.5 | 15.0 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
38Mid-pack
Elite: yards / carry (100th). Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Durell RobinsonAuburnDontae McMillanEastern Michigan· 41% simJevon JacksonUAB· 40% simDaylan SmothersNC State· 39% sim
Yards / carry
Long run
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Hugh Freeze
Pass share
44.7%
360 pass / 445 run
Plays / game
67.1
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
13.3%
308 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Hugh Freeze
Auburn
2024
Hugh Freeze
Auburn
2025
Hugh Freeze
Auburn
Played his entire career under Hugh Freeze.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSeat Pleasant, MD
Height6'0"
Weight207 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey21
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamAuburn
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.