cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Duncan Brune /Ohio

Duncan Brune

RB · Ohio · So · #6

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

585 RUSH YDS · 8 RUSH TD · 120 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Ohio for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Ohio for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Ohio

Returning around him

  • 65% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +2 net (18 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Ohio · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #126 · 2026 recruiting class #121

RB · OHIO · MID-AMERICAN

Duncan Brune

  • 2
  • #6
  • 5-11 | 210 lb
  • Cologne

CFB Zeitgeist Score

61

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 84th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1764

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2024–2025
84.02024
5852025

+596%

Up 596% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2229 national
CFB
College
Ohio
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey6
Measurements5-11 | 210 lb
HometownCologne
Primary teamOhio

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2229 recruit
Composite rating 0.8230 HighSchool
Signed with Ohio 2024
Origin Cologne Crocodiles Germany, GERM, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8230 No. 2229 recruit | HighSchool | Ohio

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1764Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2199Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Ohio

Composite

0.8230

#2229 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Duncan Brune

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Duncan Brune

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 13g
585Rush yards
120Carries
8Rush TDs
Per game
45Rush yards
9Carries
1Rush TDs
Final
585Rush yards
120Carries
8Rush TDs

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Duncan Brune's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Ohio, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1764 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 14.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 37 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 642 585 rush | 57 rec | #122/735 (84th pct)
Rush TD 8 120 carries | #51/739 (93rd pct)
Yards/carry 4.9 Per-rush efficiency | #305/735 (59th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
120 85th
YDS
585 84th
YPC
4.9 59th
TD
8 93rd

Receiving

REC
5 43rd
YDS
57 53rd
YPR
11.4 86th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 31-34@ Rutgers6223.708
Wk 2W 17-10vs West Virginia9293.206
Wk 3L 9-37@ Ohio State9192.106
Wk 4W 52-35vs Gardner-Webb16885.53203 rushing TDs
Wk 5W 35-20vs Bowling Green7578.1033
Wk 6L 14-20@ Ball State8263.317
Wk 8W 48-21vs Northern Illinois161267.9266Season-high 126 yds
Wk 9W 28-21@ Eastern Michigan7142.006
Wk 11W 24-20vs Miami (OH)3124.004
Wk 12L 13-17@ Western Michigan5153.004
Wk 13W 42-14vs Massachusetts14846.0229
Wk 14W 31-26@ Buffalo12695.8020
BowlW 17-10vs UNLV8243.005
Total1205854.4866
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Ohio11-3HC: Tim Albin · Run-heavy
2025Ohio9-4HC: Brian Smith · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Ohio1205854.98--
2024Ohio26843.21--
Career2 loaded seasons1466694.69--
SeasonTeam
2025Ohio55711.40--
2024Ohio----------
Career2 loaded seasons55711.40--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 5 57 rec yds | #315/552 (43rd pct)
Usage 14.1% 22.1% rush share | #201/738 (73rd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.10 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #209/362 (43rd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 585 #122/735 84th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 8 #51/739 93rd pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.9 #305/735 59th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 5 #315/552 43rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 57 #257/548 53rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.10 #209/362 43rd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 104 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 14.1% #201/738 73rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 120 #115/739 85th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 66 #77/733 90th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 32 #114/540 79th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 11.4 #80/548 86th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 37 #114/200 44th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 18.5 #100/199 50th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 2 #109/206 48th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 22.1% #228/738 69th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 16.9% #187/738 75th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 16.0% #210/738 72nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 14.1% #206/738 72nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 9.6% #223/738 70th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.2% #227/738 69th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 1.7% #433/738 41st pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g60.05.41.0
Road6g27.53.30.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins9g55.95.10.8
Losses4g20.53.00.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g37.94.10.6
Weeks 8+6g53.34.80.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

61Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (86th). Strength: rush tds (84th). Concern: receptions (17th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct
0fumb
Rush TDs#51 / 349 · 84th pct
8rush
Long run#71 / 349 · 79th pct
66rush
Carries#115 / 349 · 67th pct
120rush
Rush yards#122 / 349 · 65th pct
585rush
Yards / carry#171 / 349 · 49th pct
4.9rush
Rec yards#221 / 338 · 34th pct
57rece
Receptions#269 / 338 · 18th pct
5rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.1Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Duncan BruneOhioQuinton JacksonRice· 87% simBill DavisLouisiana· 86% simCaleb KomolafeNorthwestern· 84% sim
Fumbles lost
87
Brune
87
Komolafe
Rush TDs
84
Brune
72
Jackson
72
Davis
92
Komolafe
Long run
79
Brune
88
Jackson
91
Davis
66
Komolafe
Carries
67
Brune
89
Jackson
83
Davis
91
Komolafe
Rush yards
65
Brune
85
Jackson
80
Davis
87
Komolafe
Yards / carry
49
Brune
49
Jackson
45
Davis
53
Komolafe
Rec yards
34
Brune
42
Jackson
45
Davis
36
Komolafe
Receptions
18
Brune
12
Jackson
39
Davis
45
Komolafe

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Bryson Kuzdzal’s 2025 season.

Bryson Kuzdzal

82%match

Michigan · 2025

#2

Nasjza Bryant

Hawai'i · 2022

76%
#3

Billy Lucas

Liberty · 2023

75%
#4

DK Billingsley

Troy · 2022

74%
#5

Nelson Smith

Navy · 2020

68%

Matches Bryson on

Receiving share
EPA / carry (adj)
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from Bryson on

Class year (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Bryson Kuzdzal's sophomore season at Michigan (2025).

Bryson Kuzdzal

83%match

Michigan · 2025

#2

Makenzie McGill

North Texas · 2025

77%
#3

Scottre Humphrey

New Mexico · 2025

All-Mountain West
75%
#4

Brock Sturges

Texas State · 2021

74%
#5

Daelen Alexander

Rice · 2025

72%

Matches Bryson on

Receiving share
EPA / carry (adj)
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from Bryson on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brian Smith

Pass share

36.6%

311 pass / 539 run

Plays / game

65.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

278 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

2 coaches
2024
Tim Albin
Ohio
2025
Brian Smith
Ohio
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Tim Albin → Brian Smith. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCologne
Height5'11"
Weight210 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Ohio RB2 #1764 #2199 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Ohio Mid-American RB 2 No. 6 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Cologne
2024 Ohio Mid-American RB 2 No. 6 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Cologne