cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Drayden Dickmann /Rice

Drayden Dickmann

WR · Rice · So · #6

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

323 REC YDS · 37 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Rice → Wake Forest for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Wake Forest

2025Rice
2026Wake Forest

WR · RICE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Drayden Dickmann

  • 2
  • #6
  • 5-11 | 181 lb
  • Georgetown, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

40

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 57th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3208

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
-1.02023
80.02024
3232025

-32400%

Sharp dropoff (-32400%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1390 national
CFB
College
Rice
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey6
Measurements5-11 | 181 lb
HometownGeorgetown, TX
Primary teamRice

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1390 recruit
Composite rating 0.8503 HighSchool
Signed with Rice 2023
Origin Georgetown Georgetown, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8503 No. 1390 recruit | HighSchool | Rice

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Wake Forest 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 10, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Rice -> Wake Forest 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3208Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3878Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Rice

Composite

0.8503

#1390 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Drayden Dickmann

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Drayden Dickmann

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

3

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #222 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 58th

Why it matters

#222 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 3 TDs on 37 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 3 (58th)

HIGH · n=37 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#367 / 531
  • Yards per reception#479 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 4 at Charlotte — 1 receiving_tds

Result W 28-17

The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at Charlotte.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
323Rec yards
37Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
26.9Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
349.9Rec yards
40Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 323): needs 377/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 323): needs 677/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 37): needs 23/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 37): needs 43/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Drayden Dickmann's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Rice, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3208 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 37 3 rec TD | #212/1110 (81st pct)
Receiving yards 323 8.7 per catch | #336/1107 (70th pct)
Scrimmage yards 321 Total offensive yardage | #336/1107 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
37 81st
YDS
323 70th
YPR
8.7 22nd
TD
3 82nd

Rushing

CAR
14 94th
YDS
-2 15th
YPC
-0.1 18th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 14-12@ Louisiana34414.7023
Wk 2L 9-35vs Houston482.005
Wk 3W 38-17vs Prairie View A&M4328.0011
Wk 4W 28-17@ Charlotte4399.8112
Wk 5L 13-21@ Navy34515.0136
Wk 6L 21-27vs Florida Atlantic46115.3146Season-high 61 yds
Wk 7L 13-61@ UTSA23316.5033
Wk 9W 37-34vs UConn4307.5011
Wk 10L 14-38vs Memphis4133.309
Wk 11W 24-17vs UAB1-3-3.000
Wk 13L 24-56vs North Texas3175.7010
Wk 14L 3-52@ South Florida144.004
Total373238.2346
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Rice6-7HC: Mike Bloomgren · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Rice4-8HC: Mike Bloomgren · Pass-leaning
2025Rice5-8HC: Scott Abell · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Rice373238.73--
2024Rice10808.01--
2023Rice1-1-1.00--
Career3 loaded seasons484028.44--
SeasonTeam
2025Rice14-2------
2024Rice14------
2023Rice------15--
Career3 loaded seasons152--15--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.9% 25.7% pass-game share | #22/1137 (98th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 37 #212/1110 81st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 323 #336/1107 70th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 8.7 #868/1106 22nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 25.7% #22/1137 98th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 16 #93/346 73rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 14 #24/407 94th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry -0.1 #325/393 18th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards -2 #340/397 15th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 46 #325/1105 71st pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 10.3% #220/1137 81st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 9.6% #105/1137 91st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.0% #296/1137 74th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.9% #149/1137 87th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 8.2% #136/1137 88th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.7% #243/1137 79th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 2.8% #64/1137 94th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g3.422.65.50.1
Road5g2.633.012.00.4

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g3.228.47.40.2
Losses7g3.025.98.80.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.437.411.60.4
Weeks 8+5g2.612.23.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

40Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: yards / catch (6th).

Receptions#212 / 558 · 62nd pct
37rece
Rec TDs#205 / 558 · 57th pct
3rece
Long catch#285 / 558 · 48th pct
46rece
Rec yards#336 / 558 · 40th pct
323rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Rush yards#249 / 287 · 12th pct
-2rush
Yards / catch#518 / 558 · 7th pct
8.7rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Drayden DickmannRiceAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 77% simMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 76% simChauncy CobbArkansas State· 73% sim
Receptions
62
Dickmann
96
Waseem
92
III
98
Cobb
Rec TDs
57
Dickmann
78
Waseem
24
III
24
Cobb
Long catch
48
Dickmann
42
Waseem
16
III
58
Cobb
Rec yards
40
Dickmann
84
Waseem
70
III
87
Cobb
Rush TDs
39
Dickmann
39
Waseem
39
III
39
Cobb
Rush yards
12
Dickmann
4
Waseem
6
III
12
Cobb
Yards / catch
7
Dickmann
21
Waseem
9
III
25
Cobb

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Donny Navarro’s 2022 season.

Donny Navarro

77%match

Northwestern · 2022

#2

Jaylen Bonelli

Arkansas State · 2025

77%
#3

Glynn Johnson Jr

New Mexico State · 2021

69%
#4

Brian Casteel

Arizona · 2021

68%
#5

Jamaal Bell

Nevada · 2023

74%

Matches Donny on

Yards / reception
TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Donny on

Class year (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (lower)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Briley Moore’s path through Kansas State.

Briley Moore

100%match

Kansas State · 2020

#2

Daniel Crawford

Northern Illinois · 2020

All-MAC
98%
#3

Donny Navarro

Northwestern · 2022

97%
#4

Cee Jay Powell

Louisiana Tech · 2020

95%
#5

Tama Uiliata

Hawai'i · 2025

92%

Matches Briley on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Creed Whittemore's junior season at Utah (2025).

Creed Whittemore

74%match

Utah · 2025

#2

Jaylen Bonelli

Arkansas State · 2025

74%
#3

Anthony Woods

UCLA · 2025

73%
#4

Charles Kellom

Akron · 2024

70%
#5

Kenny Odom

UTEP · 2025

All-Conference USA
69%

Matches Creed on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Creed on

Reception volume (higher)
Recruiting rating (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Abell

Pass share

26.0%

224 pass / 636 run

Plays / game

66.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.6%

147 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2024
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2025
Scott Abell
Rice
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mike Bloomgren → Scott Abell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGeorgetown, TX
Height5'11"
Weight181 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Rice WR2 #3208 #3878 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Rice WR2 #4886 #4910 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Rice American Athletic WR 2 No. 6 | 5-11 | 181 lb | Georgetown, TX
2024 Rice American Athletic WR 2 No. 6 | 5-11 | 181 lb | Georgetown, TX
2023 Rice American Athletic WR 2 No. 6 | 5-11 | 181 lb | Georgetown, TX