CFB Zeitgeist TE Score
Awaiting
Dez Melton
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
TE · SAN DIEGO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Dez Melton
- 4
- #88
- 6-3 | 240 lb
- Glendale, AZ
Heisman Heat
#4994
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 0 · Not on teamR01 · Scout team / redshirt
Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2022-90%
Sharp dropoff (-90%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Louisville
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 3-star | 0.8322 | No. 1672 recruit | HighSchool | Louisville |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Louisville
Composite
0.8322
#1672 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Dez Melton
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Dez Melton
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Dez Melton's story is about how role and output meet each other. For San Diego State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2022 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2022 season snapshot | final
2022 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2022 Season · Final
2022 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
1 15th
YDS
8 12th
YPR
8.0 31st
TD
0 46th
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Louisville6-6HC: Scott Satterfield · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022Louisville8-5HC: Scott Satterfield · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Louisville | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | Louisville | 3 | 80 | 26.7 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 4 | 88 | 22.0 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 1 | #406/475 | 15th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 8 | #420/475 | 12th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #257/475 | 46th pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 8.0 | #328/475 | 31st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 5.7% | #249/468 | 47th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 8 | #398/475 | 16th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 3.0% | #224/468 | 52nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 3.0% | #213/468 | 55th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 2.4% | #309/468 | 34th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 2.3% | #306/468 | 35th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 0.0% | #339/468 | 28th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 0.0% | #382/468 | 19th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2023
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sean Lewis
Pass share
35.3%
290 pass / 532 run
Plays / game
63.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.6%
224 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2022
1 coach2021
Brady Hoke
San Diego State
2022
Brady Hoke
San Diego State
Played his entire career under Brady Hoke.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownGlendale, AZ
Height6'3"
Weight240 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey88
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamSan Diego State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2023
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | San Diego State | TE4 | #4994 | #5247 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | Louisville | TE4 | #2608 | #2435 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
| 2021 | Louisville | TE4 | #1787 | #1858 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | San Diego State | Mountain West | TE | 4 | No. 88 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Glendale, AZ |
| 2022 | Louisville | ACC | TE | 4 | No. 88 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Glendale, AZ |
| 2021 | Louisville | ACC | TE | 4 | No. 88 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Glendale, AZ |