cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Devonte Ross /Penn State

Devonte Ross

WR · Penn State · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

501 REC YDS · 36 REC · 5 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Penn State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Penn State for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Penn State · editorial

Returning around him

  • 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 8 Penn State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -11 net (37 in / 48 out)

2026 Award watch

  • Biletnikoff

Penn State · Last season: 7-6 (AP #7) · Talent rank #10 · 2026 recruiting class #15

WR · PENN STATE · BIG TEN

Devonte Ross

  • 4
  • #5
  • 5-10 | 170 lb
  • Cartersville, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

63

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 78th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#459

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

2 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2024

2024

Troy · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Penn State · WR

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
1,0442024
5012025

-52%

Sharp dropoff (-52%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements5-10 | 170 lb
HometownCartersville, GA
Primary teamPenn State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#459Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#778Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Devonte Ross

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

67

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 9 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 9 mentions · belief +33 · "Penn State opened the 2025 season with a 46–11 win over Nevada, and there was pl"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=9

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Devonte Ross

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

13.9

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #168 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 68th

Why it matters

#168 of 531 All FBS WRs at 13.9 yards per reception (36 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 13.9 (68th)

HIGH · n=36 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#98 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#219 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 7 vs Northwestern — 115 ypr

Result L 21-22

The week the volume broke through — put up 115 yds vs Northwestern.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
501Rec yards
36Receptions
5Rec TDs
Per game
45.5Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
592.1Rec yards
43Receptions
6Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 501): needs 99.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 501): needs 249.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 36): needs 12/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 36): needs 22/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 1.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Devonte Ross already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #459 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 36 5 rec TD | #218/1110 (80th pct)
Receiving yards 501 13.9 per catch | #223/1107 (80th pct)
Scrimmage yards 512 Total offensive yardage | #223/1107 (80th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
36 80th
YDS
501 80th
YPR
13.9 67th
TD
5 91st

Rushing

CAR
2 53rd
YDS
11 50th
YPC
5.5 62nd
TD
0 81st

Returns

PR YDS
54 55th
PR AVG
6.8 41st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 46-11vs Nevada144.004
Wk 2W 34-0vs Florida International36120.3142
Wk 3W 52-6vs Villanova11212.0012
Wk 5L 24-30vs Oregon44812.02352 TD catches
Wk 7L 21-22vs Northwestern711516.4067Season-high 115 yds
Wk 8L 24-25@ Iowa2157.5011
Wk 10L 14-38@ Ohio State5265.209
Wk 12W 28-10@ Michigan State27939.52752 TD catches
Wk 13W 37-10vs Nebraska12828.0028
Wk 14W 40-36@ Rutgers22914.5019
BowlW 22-10@ Clemson88410.5035
Total3650115.4575
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Troy4-8HC: Gerad Parker · Run-leaning
2025Penn State7-6HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Penn State3650113.95--
2024Troy761,04413.711--
Career2 loaded seasons1121,54513.816--
SeasonTeam
2025Penn State211--54--
2024Troy9352141541
Career2 loaded seasons11462142081
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.3% 14.5% pass-game share | #264/1137 (77th pct)
Return yards 54 0 return TD
Touchdowns 5 Across offense and returns | #96/1111 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 36 #218/1110 80th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 501 #223/1107 80th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 5 #96/1111 91st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.9 #368/1106 67th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 54 #102/224 55th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 14.5% #264/1137 77th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 11 #199/397 50th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 7 #212/346 39th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 5.5 #150/393 62nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 2 #194/407 53rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 75 #47/1105 96th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 8 #91/237 62nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 6.8 #131/222 41st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.2% #361/1137 68th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 7.9% #188/1137 84th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 7.8% #403/1137 65th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.3% #334/1137 71st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 5.8% #306/1137 73rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.0% #805/1137 29th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.5% #284/1137 75th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.844.715.50.5
Road5g3.846.615.40.4

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g2.642.418.40.4
Losses4g4.551.010.30.5

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.054.012.50.5
Weeks 8+5g2.435.418.90.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

63Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: long catch (90th).

Long catch#43 / 558 · 91st pct
75rece
Rec TDs#96 / 558 · 78th pct
5rece
Yards / catch#209 / 558 · 62nd pct
13.9rece
Rec yards#223 / 558 · 60th pct
501rece
Receptions#218 / 558 · 60th pct
36rece
Rush yards#151 / 287 · 47th pct
11rush
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Devonte RossPenn StateJordan HudsonSMU· 84% simKyre DuplessisDelaware· 82% simCorey RuckerArkansas State· 79% sim
Long catch
91
Ross
84
Hudson
81
Duplessis
85
Rucker
Rec TDs
78
Ross
87
Hudson
78
Duplessis
68
Rucker
Yards / catch
62
Ross
46
Hudson
59
Duplessis
65
Rucker
Rec yards
60
Ross
86
Hudson
91
Duplessis
97
Rucker
Receptions
60
Ross
90
Hudson
92
Duplessis
98
Rucker
Rush yards
47
Ross
35
Hudson
60
Duplessis
55
Rucker
Rush TDs
39
Ross
39
Hudson
39
Duplessis
39
Rucker
Fumbles lost
36
Ross
36
Hudson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tahj Washington’s 2020 season.

Tahj Washington

83%match

Memphis · 2020

NFL Rd 7
#2

DT Sheffield

Rutgers · 2025

83%
#3

Taylor Morin

Wake Forest · 2021

80%
#4

KeSean Carter

Houston · 2022

79%
#5

Tahj Washington

USC · 2022

NFL Rd 7
78%

Matches Tahj on

Height
Weight
TD rate

Differs from Tahj on

Reception volume (lower)
Class year (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Keith Corbin’s path through Jackson State.

Keith Corbin

100%match

Jackson State · 2021

#2

Tre Walker

San José State · 2020

100%
#3

Malik Murray

East Tennessee State · 2021

98%
#4

Quintin Morris

Bowling Green · 2020

All-MAC
98%
#5

Julius Young

Lafayette · 2022

97%

Matches Keith on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Je'Quan Burton's sophomore season at Florida Atlantic (2022).

Je'Quan Burton

80%match

Florida Atlantic · 2022

#2

Taylor Morin

Wake Forest · 2021

79%
#3

Gary Bryant Jr.

USC · 2021

78%
#4

Mekhi Shaw

San Diego State · 2022

76%
#5

DeMeer Blankumsee

Toledo · 2022

75%

Matches Je'Quan on

Reception volume
Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate

Differs from Je'Quan on

EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Weight (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

James Franklin

Pass share

42.0%

339 pass / 469 run

Plays / game

62.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

230 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
James Franklin
Penn State
2025
James Franklin
Penn State

Played his entire career under James Franklin.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCartersville, GA
Height5'10"
Weight170 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🥈

ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM

All-Conf 1st team (2024)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Sun Belt all_conference Troy | Sun Belt AP
2024 All-Sun Belt all_conference Troy | Sun Belt WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Troy WR4 #459 #778 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2021 Kentucky WR4 #2997 #2747 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Penn State Big Ten WR 4 No. 5 | 5-10 | 170 lb | Cartersville, GA
2024 Troy Sun Belt WR 4 No. 5 | 5-10 | 170 lb | Cartersville, GA
2021 Kentucky SEC WR 4 No. 5 | 5-10 | 170 lb | Cartersville, GA