CFB Zeitgeist Score
72
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 85th percentile.
Devon Dampier
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Devon Dampier ran for 835 yards and threw 24 touchdowns last season, then changed programs anyway.
2,490PASS YDS24PASS TD835RUSH YDS
RUSHING VALUE · WEPA
+0.39
via your WEPA model · 2025 · 132 plays
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Utah for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Utah · editorial
Returning around him
- 14% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 3 Utah players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -3 net (17 in / 20 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Utah · Last season: 11-2 (AP #15) · Talent rank #44 · 2026 recruiting class #40
QB · UTAH · BIG 12
Devon Dampier
- 3
- #4
- 5-11 | 204 lb
- Phoenix, AZ
Heisman Heat
#2244
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
2 seasons on the ladder
2023
New Mexico · QB
—
★
2025
Utah · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2023–2025+374%
Up 374% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#24 in market ▲ from #25 · 6 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8392 | No. 1693 recruit | HighSchool | New Mexico |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | New Mexico -> Utah | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (835).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to New Mexico
Composite
0.8392
#1693 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Devon Dampier
Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window
Belief Meter
58
Quietly Bullish
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=19
- National · n=11
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Devon Dampier
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Combined WEPA per play (pass + rush)
+0.362
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 280 touches
National rank #27 of 57
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 280 touches 54th
Why it matters
#27 of 57 P4 + Notre Dame QBs in combined passing + rushing weighted-EPA per play — +0.362 EPA on 457 touches.
Vs cohort
This player +0.362 (54th)
HIGH · n=457 cohort 57
- Also strong
- WEPA per dropback#28 / 58
- QB rushing weighted-EPA#8 / 46
- TD : INT ratio#8 / 72
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 12g
2,490Pass yards
24Pass TDs
5INT
Per game
207.5Pass yards
2Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
2,698Pass yards
26Pass TDs
5INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 2,490): needs 510/game over remaining 1.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 2,490): needs 1,510/game over remaining 1.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 24): needs 1/game over remaining 1.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 24): needs 6/game over remaining 1.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 24): needs 11/game over remaining 1.
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Devon Dampier's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Utah, he has 2,490 passing yards and 24 touchdown passes, but he also adds 835 rushing yards and 10 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
212 85th
ATT
334 84th
CMP%
63.5% 61st
Y/A
7.5 68th
Passing Production
YDS
2,490 84th
TD
24 94th
INT
5 32nd
Rushing
CAR
146 94th
YDS
835 98th
YPC
5.7 82nd
TD
10 97th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 43-10@ UCLA | 21/25 | 206 | 2 | 0 | 8.2 | 88.8 | Season-high 310 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 63-9vs Cal Poly | 17/23 | 192 | 3 | 0 | 8.3 | 54.6 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | W 31-6@ Wyoming | 27/41 | 230 | 2 | 0 | 5.6 | 71.3 | |
| Wk 4 | L 10-34vs Texas Tech | 25/38 | 162 | 0 | 2 | 4.3 | 50.9 | |
| Wk 5 | W 48-14@ West Virginia | 21/26 | 237 | 4 | 1 | 9.1 | 90.7 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 7 | W 42-10vs Arizona State | 7/12 | 104 | 0 | 0 | 8.7 | 99.9 | |
| Wk 8 | L 21-24@ BYU | 20/36 | 244 | 2 | 1 | 6.8 | 79.0 | |
| Wk 10 | W 45-14vs Cincinnati | 16/31 | 213 | 2 | 1 | 6.9 | 79.4 | |
| Wk 12 | W 55-28@ Baylor | 6/13 | 80 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 | 35.4 | |
| Wk 13 | W 51-47vs Kansas State | 18/33 | 259 | 2 | 0 | 7.8 | 90.0 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 14 | W 31-21@ Kansas | 15/25 | 253 | 3 | 0 | 10.1 | 74.9 | 3 TD passes |
| Bowl | W 44-22vs Nebraska | 19/31 | 310 | 2 | 0 | 10.0 | 96.2 | |
| Total | 212/334 | 2490 | 24 | 5 | 7.7 | 75.9 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023New Mexico4-8HC: Danny Gonzales · Run-leaning
2025Utah11-2HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah | 212 | 334 | 63.5% | 2,490 | 7.5 | 24 | 5 | 146.8 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | New Mexico | 40 | 64 | 62.5% | 525 | 8.2 | 6 | 0 | 162.3 | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 252 | 398 | 63.3% | 3,015 | 7.6 | 30 | 5 | 149.3 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah | 146 | 835 | 5.7 | 10 | -- |
| 2023 | New Mexico | 59 | 333 | 5.6 | 4 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 205 | 1,168 | 5.7 | 14 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 2,490 | #62/382 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 24 | #24/407 | 94th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 212 | #57/383 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 63.5% | #152/383 | 61st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.5 | #125/382 | 68th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 835 | #11/408 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.35 | #42/200 | 80th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 325 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 53.1% | #55/428 | 87th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 334 | #65/407 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 5 | #276/407 | 32nd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 146 | #24/408 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 59 | #24/391 | 94th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 10 | #14/408 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.7 | #73/407 | 82nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 93.1% | #42/428 | 90th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 75.3% | #14/428 | 97th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 66.9% | #53/428 | 88th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 56.6% | #35/428 | 92nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 45.4% | #66/428 | 85th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 44.7% | #70/428 | 84th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 25.2% | #36/428 | 92nd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.39 | #12/140 | 92nd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 132 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 207 | 1.5 | 7.7 | 0.5 |
| Road6g | 208 | 2.5 | 7.7 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins10g | 208 | 2.2 | 8.1 | 0.2 |
| Losses2g | 203 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 1.5 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 206 | 1.9 | 7.7 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 210 | 2.2 | 7.6 | 0.4 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
72Solid starter
Elite: rush yards (94th). Strength: rush tds (90th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds57%of completions
72 comp5.4 yds avg5 TD
Middle
10–19 yds31%of completions
39 comp12.5 yds avg4 TD
Deep
20+ yds13%of completions
16 comp31.8 yds avg2 TD
Overall 65.1% completion on 195 attempts · 16 deep completions averaging 31.8 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.35Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.39High (p75–p90) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Devon DampierUtahAvery JohnsonKansas State· 86% simJC FrenchGeorgia Southern· 84% simArch ManningTexas· 83% sim
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Pass TDs
Interceptions
Pass yards
Fumbles lost
Yards / att
Completion %
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Scrambler
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Diego Pavia’s 2023 season.
Diego Pavia
73%match
All-Conference USA
#2
Diego Pavia
71%
#3
Frank Harris
All-Conference USA
69%
#4
Dillon Gabriel
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 30
68%
#5
Anthony Colandrea
All-Mountain West
63%
Matches Diego on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Yards / attempt
Completion %
Differs from Diego on
INT rate (lower)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Caden Creel’s path through Jacksonville State.
Caden Creel
85%match
#2
Tucker Kilcrease
84%
#3
Keyone Jenkins
83%
#4
Alonza Barnett
All-Sun Belt
79%
#5
Gevani McCoy
79%
Matches Caden on
Yards per attempt
Completion %
Height
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Diego Pavia's junior season at Vanderbilt (2024).
Diego Pavia
65%match
Unitas Golden ArmAll-Conference USA
#2
Anthony Colandrea
All-Mountain West
65%
#3
Dillon Gabriel
All-Big TenNFL Rd 3 · Pk 30
62%
#4
John Rhys Plumlee
60%
#5
JC French
54%
Matches Diego on
Height
Differs from Diego on
Class year (lower)
Rush usage (lower)
Completion % (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kyle Whittingham
Pass share
39.8%
371 pass / 562 run
Plays / game
71.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.2%
289 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Kyle Whittingham
Utah
2025
Kyle Whittingham
Utah
Played his entire career under Kyle Whittingham.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownPhoenix, AZ
Height5'11"
Weight204 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey4
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUtah
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Big 12
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
2 all-conference honors
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Big 12 | all_conference | Utah | Big 12 | QB |
| 2024 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | New Mexico | Mountain West | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | New Mexico | QB3 | #2244 | #2783 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | New Mexico | QB3 | #296 | #490 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah | Big 12 | QB | 3 | No. 4 | 5-11 | 204 lb | Phoenix, AZ |
| 2024 | New Mexico | Mountain West | QB | 3 | No. 4 | 5-11 | 204 lb | Phoenix, AZ |
| 2023 | New Mexico | Mountain West | QB | 3 | No. 4 | 5-11 | 204 lb | Phoenix, AZ |