CFB Zeitgeist Score
56
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 79th percentile.
Devin Roche
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
634 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 111 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Old Dominion for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Old Dominion
Returning around him
- 74% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: -7 net (15 in / 22 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Old Dominion · Last season: 10-3 · Talent rank #122 · 2026 recruiting class #102
RB · OLD DOMINION · SUN BELT
Devin Roche
- 2
- #3
- 5-7 | 172 lb
- Baltimore, MD
Heisman Heat
#4042
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025+232%
Up 232% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Old Dominion
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8337 | No. 1804 recruit | HighSchool | Old Dominion |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Old Dominion
Composite
0.8337
#1804 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Devin Roche
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Rivals · n=2
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Devin Roche
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 11g
634Rush yards
111Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
57.6Rush yards
10Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
749.3Rush yards
131Carries
5Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 634): needs 58/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 634): needs 183/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 634): needs 433/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 3/game over remaining 2.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 5.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 8/game over remaining 2.
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Devin Roche is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 634 rushing yards, 5 catches, and 265 return yards for Old Dominion. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
111 82nd
YDS
634 85th
YPC
5.7 79th
TD
4 79th
Receiving
REC
5 43rd
YDS
31 38th
YPR
6.2 41st
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | W 45-26@ Virginia Tech | 4 | 25 | 6.3 | 1 | 15 | |
| Wk 5 | W 21-7vs Liberty | 7 | 32 | 4.6 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 6 | W 47-7vs Coastal Carolina | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 7 | L 24-48@ Marshall | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wk 8 | L 27-63@ James Madison | 7 | 34 | 4.9 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 9 | W 24-21vs App State | 13 | 57 | 4.4 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 10 | W 31-6@ UL Monroe | 12 | 36 | 3.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 12 | W 33-0vs Troy | 16 | 145 | 9.1 | 0 | 67 | Season-high 145 yds |
| Wk 13 | W 45-10@ Georgia Southern | 7 | 51 | 7.3 | 1 | 21 | |
| Wk 14 | W 27-10vs Georgia State | 21 | 137 | 6.5 | 2 | 21 | |
| Bowl | W 24-10@ South Florida | 19 | 100 | 5.3 | 0 | 35 | |
| Total | 111 | 634 | 5.2 | 4 | 67 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Old Dominion6-7HC: Ricky Rahne · Run-leaning
2025Old Dominion10-3HC: Ricky Rahne · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Old Dominion | 111 | 634 | 5.7 | 4 | -- |
| 2023 | Old Dominion | 31 | 191 | 6.2 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 142 | 825 | 5.8 | 4 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Old Dominion | 5 | 31 | 6.2 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Old Dominion | 4 | 19 | 4.8 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 9 | 50 | 5.6 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 634 | #108/735 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #154/739 | 79th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.7 | #152/735 | 79th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 5 | #315/552 | 43rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 31 | #341/548 | 38th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.07 | #263/362 | 28th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 110 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 14.3% | #194/738 | 74th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 111 | #135/739 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 67 | #72/733 | 90th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 14 | #323/540 | 40th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 6.2 | #327/548 | 41st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 265 | #1/27 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt returns | 19 | #2/29 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 13.9 | #10/27 | 67th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 21.6% | #235/738 | 68th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 15.8% | #212/738 | 71st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 15.5% | #221/738 | 70th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 13.3% | #230/738 | 69th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 12.4% | #132/738 | 82nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 10.1% | #198/738 | 73rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 2.3% | #376/738 | 49th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #205/256 | 20th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 77.4 | 6.0 | 0.4 |
| Road6g | 41.2 | 4.5 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 66.6 | 5.8 | 0.4 |
| Losses2g | 17.5 | 2.7 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 34.8 | 4.4 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 76.7 | 5.9 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
56Solid starter
Elite: long run (80th). Concern: fumbles lost (13th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.07Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Devin RocheOld DominionQuinton JacksonRice· 79% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 78% simBill DavisLouisiana· 77% sim
Long run
Yards / carry
Rush yards
Carries
Rush TDs
Rec yards
Receptions
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Joe Ervin’s 2021 season.
Joe Ervin
66%match
#2
Malik Sherrod
66%
#3
Quinton Jackson
64%
#4
Jacquez Stuart
61%
#5
Jayden Brown
55%
Matches Joe on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Yards / carry
Differs from Joe on
Class year (higher)
EPA / carry (adj) (lower)
Height (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Craig Williams's junior season at Baylor (2022).
Craig Williams
65%match
#2
Malik Sherrod
62%
#3
Deuce Vaughn
Consensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 6
62%
#4
Perris Jones
60%
#5
Jacquez Stuart
60%
Matches Craig on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Differs from Craig on
Class year (lower)
EPA / carry (adj) (lower)
Height (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Ricky Rahne
Pass share
38.0%
330 pass / 539 run
Plays / game
66.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.4%
267 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Ricky Rahne
Old Dominion
2025
Ricky Rahne
Old Dominion
Played his entire career under Ricky Rahne.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownBaltimore, MD
Height5'7"
Weight172 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey3
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamOld Dominion
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Old Dominion | RB2 | #4042 | #4234 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | Old Dominion | RB2 | #2332 | #2689 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | RB | 2 | No. 3 | 5-7 | 172 lb | Baltimore, MD |
| 2024 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | RB | 2 | No. 3 | 5-7 | 172 lb | Baltimore, MD |
| 2023 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | RB | 2 | No. 3 | 5-7 | 172 lb | Baltimore, MD |