cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Devin Moore /Florida

Devin Moore

DB · Florida · Sr · #28

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

35 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Dallas — Rd 4, Pick 14, #114 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Dallas2026 NFL rookie season

#114Rd 4 · Pick 14
Dallas2026 NFL rookie season

DB · FLORIDA · SEC

Devin Moore

  • 4
  • #28
  • 6-3 | 198 lb
  • Naples, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

60

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 75th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9815

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#251 national
CFB
College
Florida
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R4 &middot; #114
Dallas &middot; 2026

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#3 in market ▲ from #5 · 4 books

+90010.0% implied▲ tightened from +1200

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class4
Jersey28
Measurements6-3 | 198 lb
HometownNaples, FL
Primary teamFlorida

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 251 recruit
Composite rating 0.9103 HighSchool
Signed with Florida 2022
Origin Naples Naples, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9103 No. 251 recruit | HighSchool | Florida

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9815Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10219Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Florida

Composite

0.9103

#251 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 4, Pick 14

#114 overall · Dallas

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Devin Moore

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Devin Moore

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
35Tackles
2Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
41Tackles
2.4Tackles for loss
1.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 35): needs 22.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 35): needs 32.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 4.5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Devin Moore is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Florida's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9815 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 251 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 35 23 solo | #1098/4942 (78th pct)
TFL 2.0 Backfield disruption | #1443/4972 (71st pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
35 78th
SOLO
23 82nd
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
1.0 82nd

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 55-0vs Long Island University210.00.00
Wk 2L 16-18vs South Florida320.00.02
Wk 3L 10-20@ LSU100.00.00
Wk 4L 7-26@ Miami640.00.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 6W 29-21vs Texas431.01.010
Wk 7L 17-34@ Texas A&M420.00.00
Wk 8W 23-21vs Mississippi State000.00.01
Wk 10L 20-24vs Georgia210.00.010
Wk 11L 7-38@ Kentucky651.00.00
Wk 12L 24-34@ Ole Miss430.00.00
Wk 13L 11-31vs Tennessee320.00.00
Total35232.01.023
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Florida6-7HC: Billy Napier · Run-leaning
2023Florida5-7HC: Billy Napier · Balanced
2024Florida8-5HC: Billy Napier · Run-leaning
2025Florida4-8HC: Billy Napier · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Florida35232.01.032--
2024Florida1780.00.022--
2023Florida650.00.031--
2022Florida640.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons64402.01.085--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 35 #1098/4942 78th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.0 #1443/4972 71st pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 23 #839/4584 82nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 7 #437/578 25th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 3.5 #487/578 16th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.30.20.20.5
Road5g4.20.20.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g2.00.30.30.3
Losses8g3.60.10.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.30.20.20.3
Weeks 8+5g3.00.20.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

60Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Solo tackles#839 / 2975 · 71st pct
23defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Tackles#1098 / 2975 · 62nd pct
35defe
Tackles for loss#1424 / 2975 · 47th pct
2.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Devin MooreFloridaDevin LafayetteTroy· 82% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 80% simMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 77% sim
Passes defended
78
Moore
91
Lafayette
96
Johnson
67
Montgomery
Interceptions
75
Moore
75
Lafayette
95
Johnson
75
Montgomery
Solo tackles
71
Moore
98
Lafayette
97
Johnson
82
Montgomery
Sacks
63
Moore
63
Lafayette
63
Johnson
89
Montgomery
Tackles
62
Moore
99
Lafayette
98
Johnson
99
Montgomery
Tackles for loss
47
Moore
56
Lafayette
47
Johnson
85
Montgomery
QB hurries
22
Moore
22
Lafayette
22
Johnson
22
Montgomery

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Derrick Langford’s 2021 season.

Derrick Langford

88%match

Washington State · 2021

#2

Abraham Temoney III

Coastal Carolina · 2023

82%
#3

Cameron Broussard

Washington · 2024

80%
#4

Dom Jones

Colorado State · 2023

81%
#5

Jarvis Ware

UCF · 2022

79%

Matches Derrick on

Height
Weight
PD rate

Differs from Derrick on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Ryan Watts's senior season at Texas (2023).

Ryan Watts

90%match

Texas · 2023

NFL Rd 6
#2

Cameron Broussard

Washington · 2024

90%
#3

John Humphrey

UCLA · 2023

86%
#4

Devin Grant

Syracuse · 2025

82%
#5

Jacobe Covington

USC · 2024

82%

Matches Ryan on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Billy Napier

Pass share

49.4%

372 pass / 381 run

Plays / game

62.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.1%

311 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Billy Napier
Florida
2023
Billy Napier
Florida
2024
Billy Napier
Florida
2025
Billy Napier
Florida

Played his entire career under Billy Napier.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownNaples, FL
Height6'3"
Weight198 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey28

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Florida DB4 #9815 #10219 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Florida DB4 #11970 #12084 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Florida DB4 #12779 #12683 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Florida SEC DB 4 No. 28 | 6-3 | 198 lb | Naples, FL
2024 Florida SEC DB 4 No. 28 | 6-3 | 198 lb | Naples, FL
2023 Florida SEC DB 4 No. 28 | 6-3 | 198 lb | Naples, FL
2022 Florida SEC DB 4 No. 28 | 6-3 | 198 lb | Naples, FL