cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Devin Kargman /Kent State

Devin Kargman

QB · Kent State · Jr · #15

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

74 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · -20 RUSH YDS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Kent State → Maryland for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Maryland

2025Kent State
2026Maryland

QB · KENT STATE · MID-AMERICAN

Devin Kargman

  • 3
  • #15
  • 6-3 | 225 lb
  • Camden, NJ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

19

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 97th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2529

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2022–2025
3482022
3072023
74.02025

-79%

Sharp dropoff (-79%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#866 national
CFB
College
Kent State
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey15
Measurements6-3 | 225 lb
HometownCamden, NJ
Primary teamKent State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 866 recruit
Composite rating 0.8659 HighSchool
Signed with Kent State 2022
Origin Eastside Camden, NJ, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8659 No. 866 recruit | HighSchool | Kent State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Maryland 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Feb 4, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Kent State -> Maryland 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate
2025 Kent State -> -- 3-star | Withdrawn

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2529Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3120Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Kent State

Composite

0.8659

#866 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Devin Kargman

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Former Kent State QB Devin Kargman Joining Maryland Football as Walk-On &nbsp;&n"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Devin Kargman

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
74Pass yards
0Pass TDs
1INT
Per game
37Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
481Pass yards
0Pass TDs
6INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 74): needs 266/game over remaining 11.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 74): needs 356.9/game over remaining 11.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.3/game over remaining 11.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.2/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Devin Kargman's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kent State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2529 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 34.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 74 0 TD | 1 INT | #288/382 (25th pct)
Completion rate 47.1% 8/17 completions | #346/383 (10th pct)
Yards/attempt 4.4 Explosiveness through the air | #333/382 (13th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Pocket-leaning

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
8 28th
ATT
17 35th
CMP%
47.1% 10th
Y/A
4.4 13th

Passing Production

YDS
74 25th
TD
0 30th
INT
1 63rd

Rushing

CAR
3 20th
YDS
-20 8th
YPC
-6.7 1st
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 6L 0-44@ Oklahoma8/1674014.615.3Season-high 74 yds
Wk 8L 10-45@ Toledo0/10000.00.1
Total8/1774012.37.7
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Kent State5-7HC: Sean Lewis · Run-leaning
2023Kent State1-11HC: Kenni Burns · Run-leaning
2025Kent State5-7HC: Mark Carney · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Kent State81747.1%744.40171.9----
2023Kent State214151.2%3077.520130.2----
2022Kent State297041.4%3485.03388.8----
Career3 loaded seasons5812845.3%7295.75499.8----
SeasonTeam
2025Kent State3-20-6.70--
2023Kent State5-29-5.80--
2022Kent State7-27-3.90--
Career3 loaded seasons15-76-5.10--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact -20 0 rush TD | #378/408 (8th pct)
Usage 34.6% 78.3% pass share | 0.0% rush share | #163/428 (62nd pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 74 #288/382 25th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 0 #285/407 30th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 8 #276/383 28th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 47.1% #346/383 10th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 4.4 #333/382 13th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards -20 #378/408 8th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 34.6% #163/428 62nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 17 #265/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 1 #153/407 63rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 3 #327/408 20th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry -6.7 #405/407 1st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 78.3% #120/428 72nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 46.2% #155/428 64th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 36.0% #191/428 56th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 33.3% #146/428 66th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 31.6% #156/428 64th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 23.5% #202/428 53rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/428 9th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #69/258 74th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Road2g37.00.02.30.5

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Losses2g37.00.02.30.5

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-71g74.00.04.61.0
Weeks 8+1g0.00.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

19Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (97th). Concern: pass tds (0th).

Interceptions#4 / 183 · 97th pct
1pass
Fumbles lost#32 / 174 · 66th pct
1fumb
Rush yards#159 / 183 · 14th pct
-20rush
Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct
0rush
Completion %#181 / 183 · 2nd pct
47.1%pass
Yards / att#181 / 183 · 1st pct
4.4pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
74pass
Pass TDs#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Devin KargmanKent StateNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 60% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 54% simLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 54% sim
Interceptions
97
Kargman
44
Vattiato
56
Lindsey
5
Fife
Fumbles lost
66
Kargman
66
Vattiato
91
Lindsey
18
Fife
Rush yards
14
Kargman
27
Vattiato
1
Lindsey
20
Fife
Rush TDs
9
Kargman
39
Vattiato
59
Lindsey
26
Fife
Completion %
2
Kargman
41
Vattiato
56
Lindsey
13
Fife
Yards / att
1
Kargman
13
Vattiato
16
Lindsey
19
Fife
Pass yards
0
Kargman
57
Vattiato
61
Lindsey
58
Fife
Pass TDs
0
Kargman
64
Vattiato
72
Lindsey
45
Fife

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mark Carney

Pass share

42.8%

292 pass / 390 run

Plays / game

56.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.5%

242 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Sean Lewis
Kent State
2023
Kenni Burns
Kent State
era →
2025
Mark Carney
Kent State
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Sean Lewis, Kenni Burns, and Mark Carney. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCamden, NJ
Height6'3"
Weight225 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey15

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kent State QB3 #2529 #3120 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Kent State QB3 #1575 #2155 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Kent State QB3 #1789 #2109 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kent State Mid-American QB 3 No. 15 | 6-3 | 225 lb | Camden, NJ
2024 Kent State Mid-American QB 3 No. 15 | 6-3 | 225 lb | Camden, NJ
2023 Kent State Mid-American QB 3 No. 15 | 6-3 | 225 lb | Camden, NJ
2022 Kent State Mid-American QB 3 No. 15 | 6-3 | 225 lb | Camden, NJ