cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Devin Dye /Kansas

Devin Dye

S · Kansas · Sr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

26 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Kansas)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Kansas
DestinationTBD

S · KANSAS · BIG 12

Devin Dye

  • 4
  • #11
  • 6-0 | 192 lb
  • San Diego, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

44

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 86th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11647

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2819 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class4
Jersey11
Measurements6-0 | 192 lb
HometownSan Diego, CA
Primary teamKansas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2819 recruit
Composite rating 0.8000 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin Cathedral Catholic San Diego, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8000 No. 2819 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 8, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Kansas -> -- Immediate
2024 Utah State -> Kansas 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11647Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12044Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8000

#2819 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Devin Dye

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Devin Dye

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
26Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
34Tackles
0.7Tackles for loss
0.7Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 26): needs 18/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 26): needs 24.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 1.8/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 3.2/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Devin Dye is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Kansas's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 0.5 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11647 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 26 18 solo | #1609/4942 (67th pct)
TFL 0.5 Backfield disruption | #2658/4972 (47th pct)
Sacks 0.5 Pass-rush finish | #1501/4972 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
26 67th
SOLO
18 74th
TFL
0.5 47th
SACK
0.5 70th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 31-7vs Fresno State210.50.511Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 1W 46-7vs Wagner430.00.01Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 2L 31-42@ Missouri110.00.00
Wk 4W 41-10vs West Virginia310.00.01
Wk 5L 34-37vs Cincinnati210.00.00
Wk 6W 27-20@ UCF210.00.01
Wk 10W 38-21vs Oklahoma State220.00.00
Wk 11L 20-24@ Arizona330.00.00
Wk 13L 14-38@ Iowa State320.00.00
Wk 14L 21-31vs Utah430.00.00
Total26180.50.514
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Utah State6-7HC: Blake Anderson · Run-leaning
2024Kansas5-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning
2025Kansas5-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Kansas26180.50.541--
2024Kansas1390.00.0--1--
2023Utah State82381.50.072--
Career3 loaded seasons121652.00.5114--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 26 #1609/4942 67th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.5 #2658/4972 47th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.5 #1501/4972 70th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 18 #1178/4584 74th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.80.10.10.5
Road4g2.20.00.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g2.60.10.10.8
Losses5g2.60.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.30.10.10.7
Weeks 8+4g3.00.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

44Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (85th). Concern: tackles for loss (18th).

Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Solo tackles#1178 / 2975 · 59th pct
18defe
Sacks#1367 / 2975 · 51st pct
0.5defe
Tackles#1609 / 2975 · 45th pct
26defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Tackles for loss#2332 / 2975 · 18th pct
0.5defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Devin DyeKansasBrevin HamblinUtah State· 69% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 69% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 67% sim
Passes defended
86
Dye
98
Hamblin
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
Solo tackles
59
Dye
99
Hamblin
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
Sacks
51
Dye
74
Hamblin
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
Tackles
45
Dye
99
Hamblin
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
Interceptions
31
Dye
31
Hamblin
31
Martin
QB hurries
22
Dye
22
Hamblin
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
Tackles for loss
18
Dye
56
Hamblin
63
Martin
56
Ra-El

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ceyair Wright’s 2025 season.

Ceyair Wright

88%match

Nebraska · 2025

#2

Michal Antoine Jr.

Florida Atlantic · 2022

88%
#3

Ryan Wilson

Fresno State · 2025

86%
#4

Kamo'i Latu

Wisconsin · 2023

84%
#5

Ajani Kerr

Tulane · 2021

84%

Matches Ceyair on

Class year
Height
Tackle volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Ryan Wilson's junior season at Fresno State (2025).

Ryan Wilson

95%match

Fresno State · 2025

#2

Korie Black

Oklahoma State · 2022

NFL Rd 7
92%
#3

Lorando Johnson

Arkansas · 2023

90%
#4

Chester Kimbrough

Michigan State · 2022

89%
#5

Keonte Glinton

Wyoming · 2022

88%

Matches Ryan on

Class year
Height
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Lance Leipold

Pass share

45.1%

344 pass / 419 run

Plays / game

63.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.1%

293 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Lance Leipold
Kansas
2024
Lance Leipold
Kansas
2025
Lance Leipold
Kansas

Played his entire career under Lance Leipold.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSan Diego, CA
Height6'0"
Weight192 lb
Class4
PositionS
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kansas S4 #11647 #12044 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Utah State S4 #10382 #10738 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kansas Big 12 S 4 No. 11 | 6-0 | 192 lb | San Diego, CA
2024 Kansas Big 12 S 4 No. 11 | 6-0 | 192 lb | San Diego, CA
2023 Utah State Mountain West S 4 No. 11 | 6-0 | 192 lb | San Diego, CA