cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Devean Deal /TCU

Devean Deal

EDGE · TCU · Sr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

53 TACKLES · 3.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to TCU for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to TCU for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Edge · TCU

Returning around him

  • 61% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 3 TCU players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (12 in / 14 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

TCU · Last season: 9-4 (AP #24) · Talent rank #32 · 2026 recruiting class #24

EDGE · TCU · BIG 12

Devean Deal

  • 4
  • #11
  • 6-4 | 250 lb
  • Garland, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

84

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#7970

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1405 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionEDGE
Class4
Jersey11
Measurements6-4 | 250 lb
HometownGarland, TX
Primary teamTCU

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 132 recruit
Composite rating 0.9417 HighSchool
Signed with TCU 2023
Origin Naaman Forest Garland, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.9417 No. 132 recruit | HighSchool | TCU
2021 3-star | 0.8422 No. 1405 recruit | HighSchool | Tulane

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination TCU 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 8, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 Tulane -> TCU 3-star | 0.8900 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#7970Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#8579Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to TCU

Composite

0.9417

#132 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Devean Deal

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Devean Deal

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
53Tackles
8.5Tackles for loss
3.5Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.7Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Final
53Tackles
8.5Tackles for loss
3.5Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Devean Deal is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on TCU's defense, with 3.5 sacks, 8.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #7970 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 132 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 53 27 solo | #525/4942 (89th pct)
TFL 8.5 Backfield disruption | #175/4972 (97th pct)
Sacks 3.5 Pass-rush finish | #233/4972 (95th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
53 89th
SOLO
27 86th
TFL
8.5 97th
SACK
3.5 95th
QBH
9 99th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 48-14@ North Carolina300.50.00
Wk 3W 42-21vs Abilene Christian740.50.00
Wk 4W 35-24vs SMU220.00.00
Wk 5L 24-27@ Arizona State851.01.01Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 6W 35-21vs Colorado210.00.00
Wk 7L 28-41@ Kansas State111.01.00
Wk 8W 42-36vs Baylor200.50.51
Wk 9W 23-17@ West Virginia630.00.01
Wk 11L 17-20vs Iowa State531.50.01
Wk 12L 13-44@ BYU422.00.00
Wk 13W 17-14@ Houston640.50.00
Wk 14W 45-23vs Cincinnati421.01.00
BowlW 30-27vs USC300.00.00
Total53278.53.54
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Tulane2-10HC: Willie Fritz · Run-leaning
2022Tulane12-2HC: Willie Fritz · Run-leaning
2023Tulane11-3HC: Slade Nagle · Run-leaning
2024TCU9-4HC: Sonny Dykes · Pass-leaning
2025TCU9-4HC: Sonny Dykes · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025TCU53278.53.54----
2024TCU46299.55.51----
2023Tulane432513.04.021--
2022Tulane28183.50.02----
2021Tulane321.01.0------
Career5 loaded seasons17310135.514.091--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 9 Quarterback hurries | #27/1878 (99th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 53 #525/4942 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 8.5 #175/4972 97th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.5 #233/4972 95th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 9 #27/1878 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 27 #649/4584 86th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Defensive TD 1 #23/200 89th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g3.60.50.20.3
Road6g4.70.80.30.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g3.90.30.20.2
Losses4g4.51.40.50.5

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.70.40.30.1
Weeks 8+6g4.50.90.20.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the EDGE cohort

84All-Conference
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (98th). Strength: tackles for loss (93rd).

QB hurries#27 / 2975 · 99th pct
9defe
Tackles for loss#175 / 2975 · 94th pct
8.5defe
Sacks#233 / 2975 · 91st pct
3.5defe
Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Tackles#525 / 2975 · 82nd pct
53defe
Solo tackles#649 / 2975 · 77th pct
27defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · EDGE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Devean DealTCURasheem BilesPittsburgh· 90% simJohn MillerUtah State· 90% simSammy BrownClemson· 89% sim
QB hurries
99
Deal
88
Biles
98
Miller
95
Brown
Tackles for loss
94
Deal
100
Biles
96
Miller
99
Brown
Sacks
91
Deal
95
Biles
99
Miller
97
Brown
Passes defended
86
Deal
86
Biles
78
Miller
91
Brown
Tackles
82
Deal
98
Biles
99
Miller
99
Brown
Solo tackles
77
Deal
91
Biles
92
Miller
98
Brown
Forced fumbles
47
Deal
47
Biles
47
Brown

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Versatile End

Holds up against run and pass without a single dominant trait.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Bradyn Swinson’s 2023 season.

Bradyn Swinson

90%match

LSU · 2023

NFL Rd 5
#2

Chris Jones

Florida Atlantic · 2023

89%
#3

Chisom Ifeanyi

Wyoming · 2025

88%
#4

Jalil Clemons

Memphis · 2020

87%
#5

Tre Moore

Georgia State · 2021

87%

Matches Bradyn on

TFL rate
Weight
Sack rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Jestin Jacobs's graduate season at Oregon (2024).

Jestin Jacobs

83%match

Oregon · 2024

#2

Quashon Fuller

Maryland · 2024

79%
#3

Trey Moore

Texas · 2025

All-AACNFL Rd 4
79%
#4

Edward Vesterinen

West Virginia · 2025

76%
#5

Deshawn Holt

Toledo · 2024

76%

Matches Jestin on

Class year
Height
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sonny Dykes

Pass share

51.9%

460 pass / 426 run

Plays / game

68.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.6%

340 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Gary Patterson
TCU
2022
Sonny Dykes
TCU
era →
2023
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2024
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2025
Sonny Dykes
TCU

Coaching transition mid-career: Gary Patterson → Sonny Dykes. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGarland, TX
Height6'4"
Weight250 lb
Class4
PositionEDGE
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 TCU EDGE4 #7970 #8579 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Tulane EDGE4 #6177 #6916 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Tulane EDGE4 #6926 #6994 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic
2021 Tulane EDGE4 #12282 #12479 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 TCU Big 12 EDGE 4 No. 11 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Garland, TX
2024 TCU Big 12 EDGE 4 No. 11 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Garland, TX
2023 Tulane American Athletic EDGE 4 No. 11 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Garland, TX
2022 Tulane American Athletic EDGE 4 No. 11 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Garland, TX
2021 Tulane American Athletic EDGE 4 No. 11 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Garland, TX