cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Deonte Anderson /Mississippi State

Deonte Anderson

DL · Mississippi State · Sr · #6

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

16 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Mississippi State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Mississippi State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Mississippi State

Returning around him

  • 42% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 2 Mississippi State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (27 in / 40 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Mississippi State · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #24 · 2026 recruiting class #28

DL · MISSISSIPPI STATE · SEC

Deonte Anderson

  • 4
  • #6
  • 6-3 | 280 lb
  • Fort Meade, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

34

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14394

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#435 national
CFB
College
Mississippi State
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey6
Measurements6-3 | 280 lb
HometownFort Meade, FL
Primary teamMississippi State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 435 recruit
Composite rating 0.8872 HighSchool
Signed with Mississippi State 2021
Origin Fort Meade Fort Meade, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8872 No. 435 recruit | HighSchool | Mississippi State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14394Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14530Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Mississippi State

Composite

0.8872

#435 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Deonte Anderson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Deonte Anderson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
16Tackles
1Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
21Tackles
1.3Tackles for loss
1.3Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 16): needs 21.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 16): needs 28/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 1.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Deonte Anderson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Mississippi State's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14394 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 1.0 sacks | 1.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 16 2 solo | #2295/4942 (54th pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
16 54th
SOLO
2 22nd
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
1.0 82nd

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-17@ Southern Miss200.00.00
Wk 2W 24-20vs Arizona State311.01.00Season-high 3 tackles
Wk 4W 38-10vs Northern Illinois200.00.00
Wk 6L 9-31@ Texas A&M100.00.00
Wk 8L 21-23@ Florida110.00.00
Wk 9L 38-45vs Texas100.00.01
Wk 11L 21-41vs Georgia200.00.00
Wk 12L 27-49@ Missouri100.00.00
Wk 14L 19-38vs Ole Miss200.00.00
BowlL 29-43vs Wake Forest100.00.00
Total1621.01.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Mississippi State9-4HC: Mike Leach · Pass-heavy
2023Mississippi State5-7HC: Greg Knox · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Mississippi State5-8HC: Jeff Lebby · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Mississippi State1621.01.01----
2023Mississippi State38103.00.54----
2022Mississippi State2--0.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons56124.01.55----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 16 #2295/4942 54th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 2 #3597/4584 22nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g1.80.20.20.2
Road4g1.20.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g2.30.30.30.0
Losses7g1.30.00.00.1

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g1.80.20.20.0
Weeks 8+5g1.40.00.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

34Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: solo tackles (0th).

Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Tackles#2295 / 2975 · 21st pct
16defe
Solo tackles#2951 / 2975 · 1st pct
2defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Deonte AndersonMississippi StateTyler MartinMassachusetts· 48% simMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 47% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 45% sim
Sacks
63
Anderson
24
Martin
89
Montgomery
63
Johnson
Passes defended
48
Anderson
67
Martin
67
Montgomery
96
Johnson
Tackles for loss
28
Anderson
63
Martin
85
Montgomery
47
Johnson
QB hurries
22
Anderson
22
Martin
22
Montgomery
22
Johnson
Tackles
21
Anderson
98
Martin
99
Montgomery
98
Johnson
Solo tackles
1
Anderson
87
Martin
82
Montgomery
97
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Parker Devine’s 2022 season.

Parker Devine

89%match

Georgia Southern · 2022

#2

Philip Blidi

Auburn · 2024

89%
#3

Darrion Dalton

Washington State · 2025

88%
#4

Cooper Lanz

Baylor · 2024

88%
#5

Gavin Meyer

USC · 2024

87%

Matches Parker on

TFL rate
Height
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Matthew Alexander's senior season at Georgia Tech (2025).

Matthew Alexander

88%match

Georgia Tech · 2025

#2

Charles Coleman III

South Alabama · 2023

87%
#3

Tyrone Taleni

USC · 2023

85%
#4

Jared Harrison-Hunte

Miami · 2023

85%
#5

Najee Story

Northwestern · 2025

84%

Matches Matthew on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Lebby

Pass share

41.8%

390 pass / 543 run

Plays / game

71.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

12.7%

308 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Mike Leach
Mississippi State
2023
Greg Knox
Mississippi State
era →
2025
Jeff Lebby
Mississippi State
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Mike Leach, Greg Knox, and Jeff Lebby. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFort Meade, FL
Height6'3"
Weight280 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Mississippi State DL4 #14394 #14530 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Mississippi State DL4 #10604 #10854 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Mississippi State DL4 #9815 #9408 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Mississippi State SEC DL 4 No. 6 | 6-3 | 280 lb | Fort Meade, FL
2024 Mississippi State SEC DL 4 No. 6 | 6-3 | 280 lb | Fort Meade, FL
2023 Mississippi State SEC DL 4 No. 6 | 6-3 | 280 lb | Fort Meade, FL
2022 Mississippi State SEC DL 4 No. 6 | 6-3 | 280 lb | Fort Meade, FL