cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Denver Warren /UAB

Denver Warren

DL · UAB · Sr · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

34 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UAB for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UAB for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · UAB

Returning around him

  • 73% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +5 net (38 in / 33 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UAB · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #103 · 2026 recruiting class #125

DL · UAB · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Denver Warren

  • 4
  • #9
  • 6-2 | 300 lb
  • Chicago, IL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

43

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 69th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11082

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#624 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey9
Measurements6-2 | 300 lb
HometownChicago, IL
Primary teamUAB

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 624 recruit
Composite rating 0.8730 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin Brother Rice Oak Lawn, IL, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8730 No. 624 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination UAB 2025
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 10, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Sam Houston -> UAB Immediate
2024 New Mexico State -> Sam Houston Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11082Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10909Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8730

#624 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Denver Warren

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Denver Warren

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
34Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
40Tackles
4.1Tackles for loss
0.6Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 34): needs 23/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 34): needs 33/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 2.8/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 4.8/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Denver Warren is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on UAB's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11082 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 34 10 solo | #1138/4942 (77th pct)
TFL 3.5 Backfield disruption | #869/4972 (83rd pct)
Sacks 0.5 Pass-rush finish | #1501/4972 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
34 77th
SOLO
10 56th
TFL
3.5 83rd
SACK
0.5 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 2L 24-38@ Navy521.00.00
Wk 3W 31-28vs Akron200.50.50
Wk 4L 24-56@ Tennessee300.00.00
Wk 6L 13-31vs Army210.00.00
Wk 7L 33-53@ Florida Atlantic210.00.00
Wk 8W 31-24vs Memphis300.00.00
Wk 10L 19-38@ UConn110.00.00
Wk 11L 17-24@ Rice100.00.00
Wk 12L 24-53vs North Texas610.00.00
Wk 13L 18-48vs South Florida210.00.00
Wk 14W 31-24@ Tulsa732.00.00Season-high 7 tackles
Total34103.50.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023New Mexico State10-5HC: Jerry Kill · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025UAB4-8HC: Trent Dilfer · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UAB34103.50.5------
2023New Mexico State431.51.0------
Career2 loaded seasons38135.01.5------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 34 #1138/4942 77th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.5 #869/4972 83rd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.5 #1501/4972 70th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 10 #1996/4584 56th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g3.00.10.10.0
Road6g3.20.50.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g4.00.80.20.0
Losses8g2.80.10.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.80.30.10.0
Weeks 8+6g3.30.30.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

43Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: passes defended (17th).

Tackles for loss#866 / 2975 · 69th pct
3.5defe
Tackles#1138 / 2975 · 61st pct
34defe
Sacks#1367 / 2975 · 51st pct
0.5defe
Solo tackles#1996 / 2975 · 31st pct
10defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Denver WarrenUABJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 66% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 64% simMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 63% sim
Tackles for loss
69
Warren
85
Vaughns
63
Martin
85
Montgomery
Tackles
61
Warren
99
Vaughns
98
Martin
99
Montgomery
Sacks
51
Warren
63
Vaughns
24
Martin
89
Montgomery
Solo tackles
31
Warren
96
Vaughns
87
Martin
82
Montgomery
QB hurries
22
Warren
22
Vaughns
22
Martin
22
Montgomery
Passes defended
18
Warren
48
Vaughns
67
Martin
67
Montgomery

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Sitiveni Kaufusi’s 2024 season.

Sitiveni Kaufusi

91%match

UCLA · 2024

#2

Tyler Davis

Clemson · 2023

91%
#3

Damian Ilalio

Kansas State · 2025

90%
#4

Rodas Johnson

Wisconsin · 2023

90%
#5

Khris Banks

Boston College · 2022

90%

Matches Sitiveni on

TFL rate
Weight
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Rodas Johnson's junior season at Wisconsin (2023).

Rodas Johnson

94%match

Wisconsin · 2023

#2

Khris Banks

Boston College · 2022

92%
#3

Sitiveni Kaufusi

UCLA · 2024

92%
#4

Darius Richardson

Army · 2022

90%
#5

Carlos Allen

Houston · 2025

89%

Matches Rodas on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Trent Dilfer

Pass share

53.0%

438 pass / 389 run

Plays / game

68.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.5%

352 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Trent Dilfer
UAB
2025
Trent Dilfer
UAB

Played his entire career under Trent Dilfer.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownChicago, IL
Height6'2"
Weight300 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Sam Houston DL4 #11082 #10909 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 New Mexico State DL4 #12026 #11991 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 Bowling Green DL4 #13003 #12890 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UAB American Athletic DL 4 No. 9 | 6-2 | 300 lb | Chicago, IL
2024 Sam Houston Conference USA DL 4 No. 9 | 6-2 | 300 lb | Chicago, IL
2023 New Mexico State Conference USA DL 4 No. 9 | 6-2 | 300 lb | Chicago, IL
2021 Bowling Green Mid-American DL 4 No. 9 | 6-2 | 300 lb | Chicago, IL