cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Demarco Ward /Memphis

Demarco Ward

LB · Memphis · So · #31

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

50 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Memphis → Pittsburgh for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Pittsburgh

2025Memphis
2026Pittsburgh

LB · MEMPHIS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Demarco Ward

  • 2
  • #31
  • 6-2 | 215 lb
  • Duluth, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

54

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 75th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13916

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1213 national
CFB
College
Memphis
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class2
Jersey31
Measurements6-2 | 215 lb
HometownDuluth, GA
Primary teamMemphis

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1213 recruit
Composite rating 0.8567 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin Duluth Duluth, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8567 No. 1213 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Pittsburgh 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 10, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Memphis -> Pittsburgh 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2025 Florida State -> Memphis 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13916Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14062Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8567

#1213 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Demarco Ward

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Demarco Ward

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
50Tackles
3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
65Tackles
3.9Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 50): needs 10/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 50): needs 16.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Demarco Ward is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Memphis's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13916 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 50 33 solo | #600/4942 (88th pct)
TFL 3.0 Backfield disruption | #1006/4972 (80th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
50 88th
SOLO
33 91st
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 45-10vs Chattanooga430.00.010
Wk 2W 38-16@ Georgia State650.00.010
Wk 3W 28-7@ Troy420.00.00
Wk 4W 32-31vs Arkansas321.00.00
Wk 5W 55-26@ Florida Atlantic961.00.00Season-high 9 tackles
Wk 6W 45-7vs Tulsa630.00.00
Wk 8L 24-31@ UAB640.00.00
Wk 12L 27-31@ East Carolina430.00.00
Wk 14L 17-28vs Navy641.00.00
BowlL 7-31@ NC State210.00.00
Total50333.00.020
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Memphis8-5HC: Ryan Silverfield · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Memphis50333.00.0--2--
Career1 loaded season50333.00.0--2--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 2 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 50 #600/4942 88th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.0 #1006/4972 80th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 58 #85/578 85th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 33 #417/4584 91st pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 29.0 #105/578 82nd pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Defensive TD 2 #4/200 98th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Defense Pick-six TD 2 #1/119 100th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home4g4.80.50.00.0
Road6g5.20.20.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g5.30.30.00.0
Losses4g4.50.20.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g4.90.30.00.0
Weeks 8+3g5.30.30.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

54Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (85th). Concern: passes defended (17th).

Solo tackles#417 / 2975 · 85th pct
33defe
Tackles#600 / 2975 · 79th pct
50defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Tackles for loss#1001 / 2975 · 63rd pct
3.0defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Demarco WardMemphisMicah DaveyUTEP· 75% simTy BenefieldBoise State· 73% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 73% sim
Solo tackles
85
Ward
99
Davey
100
Benefield
96
Vaughns
Tackles
79
Ward
99
Davey
99
Benefield
99
Vaughns
Interceptions
75
Ward
75
Benefield
Tackles for loss
63
Ward
91
Davey
94
Benefield
85
Vaughns
QB hurries
55
Ward
82
Davey
55
Benefield
22
Vaughns
Sacks
24
Ward
63
Davey
24
Benefield
63
Vaughns
Passes defended
18
Ward
18
Davey
78
Benefield
48
Vaughns

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ayden Jones’s 2025 season.

Ayden Jones

80%match

Texas State · 2025

#2

Whit Weeks

LSU · 2023

80%
#3

Eric Stuart

Temple · 2025

80%
#4

Ethan Powell

San José State · 2025

78%
#5

Payton Pierce

Ohio State · 2025

78%

Matches Ayden on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Rashad Henry's sophomore season at Massachusetts (2025).

Rashad Henry

90%match

Massachusetts · 2025

#2

T.J. Capers

Louisville · 2025

89%
#3

Payton Pierce

Ohio State · 2025

85%
#4

Ayden Jones

Texas State · 2025

84%
#5

Kyland Reed

Baylor · 2025

83%

Matches Rashad on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Silverfield

Pass share

46.9%

412 pass / 466 run

Plays / game

67.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.2%

285 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis

Played his entire career under Ryan Silverfield.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDuluth, GA
Height6'2"
Weight215 lb
Class2
PositionLB
Jersey31

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Florida State LB2 #13916 #14062 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Florida State LB2 #4713 #4212 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Memphis American Athletic LB 2 No. 31 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Duluth, GA
2024 Florida State ACC LB 2 No. 31 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Duluth, GA
2023 Florida State ACC LB 2 No. 31 | 6-2 | 215 lb | Duluth, GA