CFB Zeitgeist Score
52
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 80th percentile.
Davon Booth
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
552 RUSH YDS · 7 RUSH TD · 136 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Mississippi State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · Mississippi State
Returning around him
- 42% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- 2 Mississippi State players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -13 net (27 in / 40 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Mississippi State · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #24 · 2026 recruiting class #28
RB · MISSISSIPPI STATE · SEC
Davon Booth
- 4
- #6
- 5-10 | 205 lb
- North Las Vegas, NV
Heisman Heat
#3078
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025-31%
Sharp dropoff (-31%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Utah State -> Mississippi State | 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Davon Booth
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Davon Booth
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Rushing WEPA per carry
+0.160
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries
National rank #29 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 57th
Why it matters
#29 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.160 EPA/carry on 137 carries.
Vs cohort
This player +0.160 (57th)
HIGH · n=137 cohort 66
- Also strong
- Rushing yards (total)#47 / 69
- Yards per carry#62 / 69
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
552Rush yards
136Carries
7Rush TDs
Per game
46Rush yards
11Carries
1Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
598Rush yards
147Carries
8Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 552): needs 198/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 552): needs 448/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 552): needs 948/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 7): needs 3/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 7): needs 8/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 7): needs 13/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Davon Booth's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Mississippi State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
136 88th
YDS
552 81st
YPC
4.1 36th
TD
7 92nd
Receiving
REC
15 75th
YDS
165 85th
YPR
11.0 84th
TD
2 97th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-17@ Southern Miss | 16 | 79 | 4.9 | 1 | 16 | |
| Wk 2 | W 24-20vs Arizona State | 9 | 33 | 3.7 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 3 | W 63-0vs Alcorn State | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 4 | W 38-10vs Northern Illinois | 7 | 22 | 3.1 | 2 | 6 | |
| Wk 5 | L 34-41vs Tennessee | 17 | 58 | 3.4 | 1 | 14 | |
| Wk 6 | L 9-31@ Texas A&M | 8 | 59 | 7.4 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 8 | L 21-23@ Florida | 22 | 105 | 4.8 | 2 | 16 | Season-high 105 yds |
| Wk 9 | L 38-45vs Texas | 24 | 99 | 4.1 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 10 | W 38-35@ Arkansas | 7 | 5 | 0.7 | 1 | 11 | |
| Wk 11 | L 21-41vs Georgia | 11 | 38 | 3.5 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 12 | L 27-49@ Missouri | 10 | 34 | 3.4 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 14 | L 19-38vs Ole Miss | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Total | 136 | 552 | 4.0 | 7 | 22 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Utah State6-7HC: Blake Anderson · Run-leaning
2025Mississippi State5-8HC: Jeff Lebby · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Mississippi State | 136 | 552 | 4.1 | 7 | -- |
| 2023 | Utah State | 120 | 805 | 6.7 | 6 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 256 | 1,357 | 5.3 | 13 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Mississippi State | 15 | 165 | 11.0 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Utah State | 12 | 50 | 4.2 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 27 | 215 | 8.0 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 552 | #140/735 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 7 | #62/739 | 92nd pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.1 | #475/735 | 36th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 15 | #140/552 | 75th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 165 | #82/548 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.16 | #111/362 | 70th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 137 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 14.3% | #194/738 | 74th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 136 | #88/739 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 22 | #375/733 | 49th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 62 | #27/540 | 95th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.0 | #89/548 | 84th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #20/552 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 89 | #64/200 | 68th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 14.8 | #147/199 | 27th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 6 | #49/206 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 23.4% | #206/738 | 72nd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 16.9% | #191/738 | 74th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 16.7% | #194/738 | 74th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 15.7% | #158/738 | 79th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 9.0% | #245/738 | 67th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.0% | #242/738 | 67th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 3.6% | #258/738 | 65th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 38.6 | 3.8 | 0.4 |
| Road5g | 56.4 | 4.2 | 0.8 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 30.6 | 3.9 | 0.8 |
| Losses7g | 57.0 | 4.1 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 44.2 | 4.9 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 47.8 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
52Mid-pack
Concern: long run (14th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.16Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Davon BoothMississippi StateSeth McGowanKentucky· 88% simAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 83% simKendrick RaphaelCalifornia· 79% sim
Rush TDs
Rec yards
Carries
Rush yards
Receptions
Yards / carry
Long run
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ajay Allen’s 2025 season.
Ajay Allen
80%match
#2
Nelson Smith
72%
#3
CJ Beasley
77%
#4
Marcus Carroll
All-Sun Belt
76%
#5
Jevyon Ducker
76%
Matches Ajay on
Yards / carry
Weight
Yards / reception
Differs from Ajay on
Class year (higher)
Height (lower)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Solomon Beebe’s path through UAB.
Solomon Beebe
99%match
#2
Sam Franklin
98%
#3
Ailym Ford
96%
#4
CJ Marable
96%
#5
Reese White
94%
Matches Solomon on
Height
Weight
Yards per carry
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Frank Peasant's junior season at Middle Tennessee (2022).
Frank Peasant
83%match
#2
Christian Turner
81%
#3
Ty Son Lawton
81%
#4
Kaelon Black
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 26
80%
#5
Trevion Cooley
80%
Matches Frank on
Yards / carry
Yards / reception
Height
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jeff Lebby
Pass share
41.8%
390 pass / 543 run
Plays / game
71.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
12.7%
308 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Greg Knox
Mississippi State
2025era →
Jeff Lebby
Mississippi State
Coaching transition mid-career: Greg Knox → Jeff Lebby. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownNorth Las Vegas, NV
Height5'10"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey6
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMississippi State
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Mississippi State | RB4 | #3078 | #3429 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | SEC |
| 2023 | Utah State | RB4 | #591 | #779 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Mississippi State | SEC | RB | 4 | No. 6 | 5-10 | 205 lb | North Las Vegas, NV |
| 2024 | Mississippi State | SEC | RB | 4 | No. 6 | 5-10 | 205 lb | North Las Vegas, NV |
| 2023 | Utah State | Mountain West | RB | 4 | No. 6 | 5-10 | 205 lb | North Las Vegas, NV |