cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Davis Dalton /Southern Miss

Davis Dalton

WR · Southern Miss · Jr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

82 REC YDS · 4 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Southern Miss for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Southern Miss for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Southern Miss

Returning around him

  • 52% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +9 net (37 in / 28 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Southern Miss · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #83 · 2026 recruiting class #105

WR · SOUTHERN MISS · SUN BELT

Davis Dalton

  • 3
  • #11
  • 6-3 | 210 lb
  • Madison, MS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

28

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#5335

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
27.02022
75.02023
82.02025

+204%

Up 204% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1733 national
CFB
College
Southern Miss
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey11
Measurements6-3 | 210 lb
HometownMadison, MS
Primary teamSouthern Miss

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1733 recruit
Composite rating 0.8293 HighSchool
Signed with Southern Miss 2022
Origin Madison-Ridgeland Academy Madison, MS, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8293 No. 1733 recruit | HighSchool | Southern Miss

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5335Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#6029Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Southern Miss

Composite

0.8293

#1733 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Davis Dalton

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Davis Dalton

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 3g
82Rec yards
4Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
27.3Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
355.3Rec yards
17Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 82): needs 61.8/game over remaining 10.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 82): needs 91.8/game over remaining 10.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 4): needs 5.6/game over remaining 10.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 4): needs 7.6/game over remaining 10.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 0.7/game over remaining 10.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 0.9/game over remaining 10.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Davis Dalton's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Southern Miss, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #5335 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 2.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 4 1 rec TD | #767/1110 (31st pct)
Receiving yards 82 20.5 per catch | #687/1107 (38th pct)
Scrimmage yards 82 Total offensive yardage | #687/1107 (38th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
4 31st
YDS
82 38th
YPR
20.5 94th
TD
1 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 3 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 4L 20-30@ Louisiana Tech24120.5134Season-high 41 yds
Wk 12L 14-41vs Texas State11010.0010
Wk 13L 35-42@ South Alabama13131.0031
Total48220.5134
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Southern Miss7-6HC: Will Hall · Run-leaning
2023Southern Miss3-9HC: Will Hall · Run-leaning
2025Southern Miss7-6HC: Charles Huff · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Southern Miss48220.51--
2023Southern Miss67512.50--
2022Southern Miss12727.00--
Career3 loaded seasons1118416.71--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 2.6% 4.1% pass-game share | #949/1137 (17th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 4 #767/1110 31st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 82 #687/1107 38th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 20.5 #66/1106 94th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 4.1% #949/1137 17th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 34 #548/1105 50th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.2% #713/1137 37th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 2.9% #739/1137 35th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.8% #713/1137 37th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 2.6% #855/1137 25th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 2.2% #961/1137 16th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 1.3% #967/1137 15th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 3 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home1g1.010.010.00.0
Road2g1.536.025.80.5

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Losses3g1.327.320.50.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g2.041.020.51.0
Weeks 8+2g1.020.520.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

28Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (98th). Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#12 / 558 · 98th pct
20.5rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Long catch#447 / 558 · 19th pct
34rece
Rec yards#556 / 558 · 1st pct
82rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
4rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Davis DaltonSouthern MissNik McMillanBuffalo· 36% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 35% simMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 35% sim
Yards / catch
98
Dalton
84
McMillan
40
Walker
9
III
Rec TDs
24
Dalton
57
McMillan
42
Walker
24
III
Long catch
19
Dalton
65
McMillan
39
Walker
16
III
Rec yards
1
Dalton
96
McMillan
89
Walker
70
III
Receptions
0
Dalton
90
McMillan
95
Walker
92
III

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Charles Huff

Pass share

49.9%

454 pass / 456 run

Plays / game

70.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.3%

315 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Will Hall
Southern Miss
2023
Will Hall
Southern Miss
2025
Charles Huff
Southern Miss
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Will Hall → Charles Huff. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMadison, MS
Height6'3"
Weight210 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Southern Miss WR3 #5335 #6029 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Southern Miss WR3 #4137 #4765 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Southern Miss WR3 #3265 #3420 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Southern Miss Sun Belt WR 3 No. 11 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Madison, MS
2024 Southern Miss Sun Belt WR 3 No. 11 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Madison, MS
2023 Southern Miss Sun Belt WR 3 No. 11 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Madison, MS
2022 Southern Miss Sun Belt WR 3 No. 11 | 6-3 | 210 lb | Madison, MS