CFB Zeitgeist Score
57
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 68th percentile.
David Wells Jr.
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
466 REC YDS · 44 REC · 4 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Tulsa
2025Oregon State
2026Tulsa
WR · OREGON STATE · PAC-12
David Wells Jr.
- 2
- #1
- 6-1 | 183 lb
- Lakewood, WA
Heisman Heat
#3299
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025+7667%
Up 7667% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Oregon State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Oregon State -> Tulsa | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on David Wells Jr.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about David Wells Jr.
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving TDs
4
count
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #161 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 70th
Why it matters
#161 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 4 TDs on 44 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 4 (70th)
HIGH · n=44 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#243 / 531
- Yards per reception#384 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 6 at App State — 1 receiving_tds
Result L 23-27
The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at App State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 11g
466Rec yards
44Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
42.4Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
550.7Rec yards
52Receptions
5Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 466): needs 117/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 466): needs 267/game over remaining 2.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 44): needs 8/game over remaining 2.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 44): needs 18/game over remaining 2.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 2/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 3/game over remaining 2.
Why the profile pops beyond receiving
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The most interesting thing about David Wells Jr. is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
44 86th
YDS
466 78th
YPR
10.6 38th
TD
4 86th
Rushing
CAR
4 74th
YDS
37 80th
YPC
9.3 85th
TD
1 96th
Returns
KR YDS
215 78th
KR AVG
19.5 53rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 15-34vs California | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 2 | L 27-36vs Fresno State | 2 | 32 | 16.0 | 1 | 34 | |
| Wk 3 | L 14-45@ Texas Tech | 6 | 103 | 17.2 | 0 | 56 | |
| Wk 4 | L 7-41@ Oregon | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 5 | L 24-27vs Houston | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 6 | L 23-27@ App State | 4 | 36 | 9.0 | 1 | 16 | |
| Wk 7 | L 14-39vs Wake Forest | 6 | 58 | 9.7 | 1 | 19 | |
| Wk 8 | W 45-13vs Lafayette | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 10 | W 10-7vs Washington State | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | L 17-21vs Sam Houston | 9 | 112 | 12.4 | 0 | 28 | Season-high 112 yds |
| Wk 12 | L 14-31@ Tulsa | 7 | 61 | 8.7 | 1 | 16 | |
| Total | 44 | 466 | 9.2 | 4 | 56 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Oregon State8-5HC: Jonathan Smith · Run-leaning
2025Oregon State2-10HC: Trent Bray · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oregon State | 44 | 466 | 10.6 | 4 | -- |
| 2023 | Oregon State | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 45 | 472 | 10.5 | 4 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oregon State | 4 | 37 | 215 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Oregon State | -- | -- | -- | 11 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 4 | 37 | 215 | 11 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 44 | #153/1110 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 466 | #245/1107 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 4 | #152/1111 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 10.6 | #691/1106 | 38th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 215 | #53/238 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 17.1% | #164/1137 | 86th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 37 | #82/397 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 30 | #37/346 | 90th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 9.3 | #61/393 | 85th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 4 | #108/407 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #19/411 | 96th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 56 | #205/1105 | 82nd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 19.5 | #112/236 | 53rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 11 | #50/243 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 13.0% | #97/1137 | 92nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 11.9% | #135/1137 | 88th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 10.6% | #93/1137 | 92nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 9.5% | #120/1137 | 90th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 8.0% | #184/1137 | 84th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 7.8% | #164/1137 | 86th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 1.1% | #179/1137 | 84th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #274/302 | 10th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 3.6 | 35.3 | 8.1 | 0.3 |
| Road4g | 4.8 | 54.8 | 11.1 | 0.5 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 2.0 | 11.5 | 3.9 | 0.0 |
| Losses9g | 4.4 | 49.2 | 10.4 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 3.4 | 38.6 | 10.3 | 0.4 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 5.0 | 49.0 | 7.2 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
57Solid starter
Elite: rush tds (85th). Concern: fumbles lost (5th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
David Wells Jr.Oregon StateK.D. HutchinsonWestern Kentucky· 83% simEaston MesserFlorida Atlantic· 81% simRyan DavisUtah· 81% sim
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Receptions
Rec TDs
Long catch
Rec yards
Yards / catch
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to DJ Epps’s 2025 season.
DJ Epps
89%match
#2
Chris Hunter
82%
#3
Danny Gray
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 41
78%
#4
Trey Palmer
NFL Rd 6
82%
#5
Keontra Smith
77%
Matches DJ on
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Weight
Differs from DJ on
Class year (lower)
Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Elijah Steward’s path through Lafayette.
Elijah Steward
99%match
#2
Derick Eugene
99%
#3
Jalen Walthall
95%
#4
Austin Upshaw
93%
#5
DJ Epps
92%
Matches Elijah on
Yards per reception
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to David Amador II's junior season at UTSA (2025).
David Amador II
78%match
#2
Bryson Graves
74%
#3
Robby Washington
71%
#4
Aidan Mizell
70%
#5
Chris Johnson Jr.
70%
Matches David on
Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
Height
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Trent Bray
Pass share
51.7%
431 pass / 403 run
Plays / game
69.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.0%
369 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Jonathan Smith
Oregon State
2025era →
Trent Bray
Oregon State
Coaching transition mid-career: Jonathan Smith → Trent Bray. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLakewood, WA
Height6'1"
Weight183 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey1
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamOregon State
ConferencePac-12
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Oregon State | WR2 | #3299 | #3237 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2023 | Oregon State | WR2 | #2914 | #2590 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | WR | 2 | No. 1 | 6-1 | 183 lb | Lakewood, WA |
| 2024 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | WR | 2 | No. 1 | 6-1 | 183 lb | Lakewood, WA |
| 2023 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | WR | 2 | No. 1 | 6-1 | 183 lb | Lakewood, WA |