cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Darrion Dalton /Washington State

Darrion Dalton

DT · Washington State · Sr · #92

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

22 TACKLES · 1.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Washington State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Washington State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive tackle · Washington State

Returning around him

  • 25% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (28 in / 41 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Washington State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #95 · 2026 recruiting class #71

DT · WASHINGTON STATE · PAC-12

Darrion Dalton

  • 4
  • #92
  • 6-3 | 280 lb
  • Apple Valley, MN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

45

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 74th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14625

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2104 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDT
Class4
Jersey92
Measurements6-3 | 280 lb
HometownApple Valley, MN
Primary teamWashington State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2104 recruit
Composite rating 0.8163 HighSchool
Signed with San Diego State 2021
Origin Saguaro Scottsdale, AZ, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8163 No. 2104 recruit | HighSchool | San Diego State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14625Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14712Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to San Diego State

Composite

0.8163

#2104 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Darrion Dalton

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Darrion Dalton

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
22Tackles
2Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
26Tackles
2.4Tackles for loss
1.8Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 22): needs 29/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 22): needs 39/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1.5): needs 2.2/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1.5): needs 4.2/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Darrion Dalton is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Washington State's defense, with 1.5 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14625 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 22 7 solo | #1869/4942 (62nd pct)
TFL 2.0 Backfield disruption | #1443/4972 (71st pct)
Sacks 1.5 Pass-rush finish | #724/4972 (85th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
22 62nd
SOLO
7 48th
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
1.5 85th
QBH
1 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 13-10vs Idaho100.00.00
Wk 2W 36-13vs San Diego State430.50.00Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 3L 10-59@ North Texas100.00.00
Wk 5W 20-3@ Colorado State200.00.00
Wk 7L 21-24@ Ole Miss221.01.00
Wk 8L 20-22@ Virginia300.00.00
Wk 9W 28-7vs Toledo310.00.00
Wk 10L 7-10@ Oregon State100.00.00
Wk 12W 28-3vs Louisiana Tech210.00.00
Wk 13L 20-24@ James Madison100.00.00
Wk 14W 32-8vs Oregon State200.50.50
Total2272.01.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023San Diego State4-8HC: Brady Hoke · Run-leaning
2025Washington State7-6HC: Jimmy Rogers · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Washington State2272.01.5------
2023San Diego State930.00.01----
Career2 loaded seasons31102.01.51----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 22 #1869/4942 62nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.0 #1443/4972 71st pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.5 #724/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 7 #2403/4584 48th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.40.20.10.0
Road6g1.70.20.20.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g2.30.20.10.0
Losses5g1.60.20.20.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.00.30.20.0
Weeks 8+6g2.00.10.10.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DT cohort

45Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: solo tackles (16th).

Sacks#707 / 2975 · 74th pct
1.5defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Tackles for loss#1424 / 2975 · 47th pct
2.0defe
Tackles#1869 / 2975 · 36th pct
22defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Solo tackles#2397 / 2975 · 17th pct
7defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DT · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Darrion DaltonWashington StateMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 54% simMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 53% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 53% sim
Sacks
74
Dalton
80
Parker
89
Montgomery
63
Davey
QB hurries
55
Dalton
88
Parker
22
Montgomery
82
Davey
Tackles for loss
47
Dalton
87
Parker
85
Montgomery
91
Davey
Tackles
36
Dalton
98
Parker
99
Montgomery
99
Davey
Passes defended
18
Dalton
18
Parker
67
Montgomery
18
Davey
Solo tackles
17
Dalton
96
Parker
82
Montgomery
99
Davey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Deonte Anderson’s 2025 season.

Deonte Anderson

88%match

Mississippi State · 2025

#2

Akial Byers

Missouri · 2021

88%
#3

Jackson Luttrell

Jacksonville State · 2023

88%
#4

Peyton Price

Eastern Michigan · 2023

87%
#5

Parker Devine

Georgia Southern · 2022

87%

Matches Deonte on

Class year
Height
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Parker Devine's junior season at Georgia Southern (2022).

Parker Devine

93%match

Georgia Southern · 2022

#2

Peyton Price

Eastern Michigan · 2023

90%
#3

Esean Carter

Toledo · 2025

All-MAC
87%
#4

Ali Saad

Bowling Green · 2023

86%
#5

Drew Hughes

Ball State · 2025

85%

Matches Parker on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jimmy Rogers

Pass share

48.7%

407 pass / 429 run

Plays / game

64.3

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.1%

327 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Jake Dickert
Washington State
2025
Jimmy Rogers
Washington State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jake Dickert → Jimmy Rogers. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownApple Valley, MN
Height6'3"
Weight280 lb
Class4
PositionDT
Jersey92

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 San Diego State DT4 #14625 #14712 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 San Diego State DT4 #14439 #14461 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 San Diego State DT4 #11596 #11389 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Washington State Pac-12 DT 4 No. 92 | 6-3 | 280 lb | Apple Valley, MN
2024 San Diego State Mountain West DT 4 No. 92 | 6-3 | 280 lb | Apple Valley, MN
2023 San Diego State Mountain West DT 4 No. 92 | 6-3 | 280 lb | Apple Valley, MN
2022 San Diego State Mountain West DT 4 No. 92 | 6-3 | 280 lb | Apple Valley, MN