CFB Zeitgeist Score
45
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 72nd percentile.
Daniel Hill
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
284 RUSH YDS · 6 RUSH TD · 75 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Alabama for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Alabama
Returning around him
- 43% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- 10 Alabama players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -7 net (17 in / 24 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Alabama · Last season: 11-4 (AP #11) · Talent rank #2 · 2026 recruiting class #3
RB · ALABAMA · SEC
Daniel Hill
- 2
- #4
- 6-1 | 244 lb
- Meridian, MS
Heisman Heat
#842
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2024–2025+366%
Up 366% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Alabama
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4-star | 0.9348 | No. 150 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama |
| 2023 | 4-star | 0.9287 | No. 181 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Alabama
Composite
0.9348
#150 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Daniel Hill
Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window
Belief Meter
58
Quietly Bullish
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=16
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Daniel Hill
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
284Rush yards
75Carries
6Rush TDs
Per game
23.7Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
307.7Rush yards
81Carries
6Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 284): needs 466/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 284): needs 716/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 284): needs 1,216/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 6): needs 4/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 6): needs 9/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 6): needs 14/game over remaining 1.
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Daniel Hill is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 284 rushing yards, 28 catches, and 0 return yards for Alabama. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
75 70th
YDS
284 63rd
YPC
3.8 27th
TD
6 89th
Receiving
REC
28 93rd
YDS
203 90th
YPR
7.3 56th
TD
1 89th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 17-31@ Florida State | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 2 | W 73-0vs UL Monroe | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 7 | W 27-24@ Missouri | 6 | 16 | 2.7 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 8 | W 37-20vs Tennessee | 7 | 34 | 4.9 | 1 | 13 | |
| Wk 9 | W 29-22@ South Carolina | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 11 | W 20-9vs LSU | 7 | 21 | 3.0 | 1 | 6 | |
| Wk 12 | L 21-23vs Oklahoma | 15 | 60 | 4.0 | 2 | 28 | Season-high 60 yds |
| Wk 13 | W 56-0vs Eastern Illinois | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 1 | 7 | |
| Wk 14 | W 27-20@ Auburn | 11 | 39 | 3.5 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 15 | L 7-28vs Georgia | 4 | 11 | 2.8 | 0 | 5 | |
| Bowl | W 34-24@ Oklahoma | 9 | 43 | 4.8 | 1 | 30 | |
| Bowl | L 3-38@ Indiana | 5 | 13 | 2.6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Total | 75 | 284 | 3.9 | 6 | 30 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Alabama9-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Run-leaning
2025Alabama11-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 284 | #272/735 | 63rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 6 | #83/739 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.8 | #534/735 | 27th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 28 | #39/552 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 203 | #54/548 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.09 | #226/362 | 38th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 70 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 13.0% | #226/738 | 70th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 75 | #223/739 | 70th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 30 | #297/733 | 60th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 41 | #66/540 | 88th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 7.3 | #241/548 | 56th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #60/552 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 20.2% | #258/738 | 65th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 15.6% | #219/738 | 70th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 14.6% | #226/738 | 70th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 12.9% | #241/738 | 67th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.9% | #247/738 | 67th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 8.6% | #263/738 | 64th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 7.6% | #66/738 | 91st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/256 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 25.7 | 4.4 | 0.8 |
| Road6g | 21.7 | 3.3 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 23.9 | 4.2 | 0.5 |
| Losses4g | 23.2 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 19.0 | 3.6 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 27.0 | 4.1 | 0.7 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
45Mid-pack
Elite: receptions (87th). Strength: fumbles lost (86th). Concern: yards / carry (8th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.09Low (p25–p50) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Daniel HillAlabamaSeth McGowanKentucky· 67% simTJ HardenSMU· 66% simTae MeadowsTroy· 62% sim
Receptions
Fumbles lost
Rec yards
Rush TDs
Carries
Long run
Rush yards
Yards / carry
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Power Back
Short-yardage and goal-line specialist. Carries the load, owns the red zone.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jakobi Buchanan’s 2020 season.
Jakobi Buchanan
65%match
#2
Anthony Adkins
64%
#3
Tyson Riley
54%
#4
Carson Smith
52%
#5
Xavier Robinson
54%
Matches Jakobi on
Weight
Yards / carry
Height
Differs from Jakobi on
Class year (lower)
Rush TD rate (higher)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Gerrid Doaks’s path through Cincinnati.
Gerrid Doaks
98%match
All-AACNFL Rd 7
#2
Kemper Hodges
83%
#3
Andrew Body
83%
#4
Kyle Porter
80%
#5
Qualan Jones
80%
Matches Gerrid on
Yards per carry
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Tyson Riley's sophomore season at Army (2021).
Tyson Riley
52%match
#2
Anthony Adkins
60%
#3
Carson Smith
58%
#4
Xavier Robinson
46%
#5
Malachi Singleton
39%
Matches Tyson on
Yards / carry
Weight
Height
Differs from Tyson on
Class year (lower)
Rush TD rate (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kalen DeBoer
Pass share
53.4%
523 pass / 456 run
Plays / game
65.3
15 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
384 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama
2025
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama
Played his entire career under Kalen DeBoer.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMeridian, MS
Height6'1"
Weight244 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey4
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamAlabama
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Alabama | RB2 | #842 | #649 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | SEC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.