cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Damonte Smith /Middle Tennessee

Damonte Smith

NT · Middle Tennessee · Sr · #92

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

33 TACKLES · 3 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Middle Tennessee for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Middle Tennessee for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Nose tackle · Middle Tennessee

Returning around him

  • 99% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 1 Middle Tennessee player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (19 in / 18 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Middle Tennessee · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #110 · 2026 recruiting class #98

NT · MIDDLE TENNESSEE · CONFERENCE USA

Damonte Smith

  • 4
  • #92
  • 6-1 | 301 lb
  • Savannah, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

72

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 89th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#15389

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

Middle Tennessee · NT

2023

Middle Tennessee · NT

2025

Middle Tennessee · NT

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Middle Tennessee
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#8 in market ▼ from #6 · 4 books

+10009.1% implied

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionNT
Class4
Jersey92
Measurements6-1 | 301 lb
HometownSavannah, GA
Primary teamMiddle Tennessee

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#15389Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15555Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Damonte Smith

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Damonte Smith

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
33Tackles
11Tackles for loss
3Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Projected (13g)
39Tackles
13Tackles for loss
3.5Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 33): needs 23.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 33): needs 33.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 3): needs 1.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Damonte Smith is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Middle Tennessee's defense, with 3.0 sacks, 11.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #15389 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 33 21 solo | #1194/4942 (76th pct)
TFL 11.0 Backfield disruption | #74/4972 (99th pct)
Sacks 3.0 Pass-rush finish | #292/4972 (94th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
33 76th
SOLO
21 79th
TFL
11.0 99th
SACK
3.0 94th
QBH
4 85th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 14-34vs Austin Peay532.51.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 2L 10-42@ Wisconsin321.50.010
Wk 3W 14-13@ Nevada111.00.00
Wk 4L 28-42vs Marshall551.01.00
Wk 5L 16-24@ Kennesaw State320.00.00
Wk 7L 20-22vs Missouri State321.00.01
Wk 9L 28-31@ Delaware531.50.00
Wk 11L 30-56vs Florida International210.00.00
Wk 12L 26-42@ Western Kentucky100.50.01
Wk 13W 31-17vs Sam Houston211.00.00
Wk 14W 31-24@ New Mexico State311.01.00
Total332111.03.012
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Middle Tennessee8-5HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2023Middle Tennessee4-8HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2025Middle Tennessee3-9HC: Derek Mason · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Middle Tennessee332111.03.021--
2023Middle Tennessee741.00.0------
2022Middle Tennessee1331.00.01----
Career3 loaded seasons532813.03.031--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 33 #1194/4942 76th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 11.0 #74/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.0 #292/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 21 #959/4584 79th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 7.0 #406/578 30th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 7 #437/578 25th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g3.41.10.40.2
Road6g2.70.90.20.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g2.01.00.30.0
Losses8g3.41.00.20.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.31.20.30.2
Weeks 8+5g2.60.80.20.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the NT cohort

72Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (97th). Strength: sacks (88th).

Tackles for loss#74 / 2975 · 97th pct
11.0defe
Sacks#291 / 2975 · 89th pct
3.0defe
QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Solo tackles#959 / 2975 · 67th pct
21defe
Tackles#1194 / 2975 · 59th pct
33defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · NT · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Damonte SmithMiddle TennesseeJordan CrookArizona State· 80% simRay ConeyTulsa· 80% simTreylin PayneTexas State· 79% sim
Tackles for loss
97
Smith
93
Crook
90
Coney
87
Payne
Sacks
89
Smith
80
Crook
80
Coney
80
Payne
QB hurries
88
Smith
72
Crook
88
Coney
82
Payne
Passes defended
67
Smith
67
Crook
67
Coney
67
Payne
Solo tackles
67
Smith
98
Crook
93
Coney
95
Payne
Tackles
59
Smith
98
Crook
100
Coney
98
Payne
Interceptions
31
Smith
31
Crook

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jerron Cage’s 2021 season.

Jerron Cage

82%match

Ohio State · 2021

#2

Jaxon Player

Tulsa · 2021

All-AAC
81%
#3

Zane Durant

Penn State · 2023

NFL Rd 5
78%
#4

Dom Peterson

Nevada · 2022

All-Mountain West
76%
#5

O'Bryan Goodson

Memphis · 2020

76%

Matches Jerron on

TFL rate
Weight
Sack rate

Differs from Jerron on

Height (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Lawrence Johnson's senior season at Auburn (2023).

Lawrence Johnson

71%match

Auburn · 2023

#2

D'Anta Johnson

East Carolina · 2023

All-AAC
69%
#3

Patrick Jenkins

Tulane · 2023

All-AAC
68%
#4

Deandre Jules

Pittsburgh · 2023

67%
#5

Xavier Ross

Oklahoma State · 2023

67%

Matches Lawrence on

Class year
Sack rate
Weight

Differs from Lawrence on

TFL rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Derek Mason

Pass share

61.3%

495 pass / 313 run

Plays / game

67.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.6%

373 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Rick Stockstill
Middle Tennessee
2023
Rick Stockstill
Middle Tennessee
2025
Derek Mason
Middle Tennessee
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Rick Stockstill → Derek Mason. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSavannah, GA
Height6'1"
Weight301 lb
Class4
PositionNT
Jersey92

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Conference USA

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Conference USA all_conference Conference USA DT

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Middle Tennessee NT4 #15389 #15555 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Middle Tennessee NT4 #12661 #12683 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 Middle Tennessee NT4 #11535 #11528 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 Middle Tennessee NT4 #12492 #12390 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Middle Tennessee Conference USA NT 4 No. 92 | 6-1 | 301 lb | Savannah, GA
2024 Middle Tennessee Conference USA NT 4 No. 92 | 6-1 | 301 lb | Savannah, GA
2023 Middle Tennessee Conference USA NT 4 No. 92 | 6-1 | 301 lb | Savannah, GA
2022 Middle Tennessee Conference USA NT 4 No. 92 | 6-1 | 301 lb | Savannah, GA
2021 Middle Tennessee Conference USA NT 4 No. 92 | 6-1 | 301 lb | Savannah, GA