cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dallas Afalava /Wake Forest

Dallas Afalava

DL · Wake Forest · Jr · #52

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

33 TACKLES · 3.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Wake Forest for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Wake Forest for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Wake Forest

Returning around him

  • 26% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 2 Wake Forest players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (24 in / 23 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Wake Forest · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #74 · 2026 recruiting class #63

DL · WAKE FOREST · ACC

Dallas Afalava

  • 3
  • #52
  • 6-1 | 291 lb
  • Seattle, WA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

66

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Wake Forest
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class3
Jersey52
Measurements6-1 | 291 lb
HometownSeattle, WA
Primary teamWake Forest

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Wake Forest 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Idaho -> Wake Forest 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dallas Afalava

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dallas Afalava

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
33Tackles
6Tackles for loss
3.5Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Projected (13g)
36Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
3.8Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 33): needs 47/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 33): needs 67/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 3.5): needs 2.5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 3.5): needs 6.5/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dallas Afalava is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Wake Forest's defense, with 3.5 sacks, 6.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 3.5 sacks | 6.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 33 11 solo | #1194/4942 (76th pct)
TFL 6.0 Backfield disruption | #406/4972 (92nd pct)
Sacks 3.5 Pass-rush finish | #233/4972 (95th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
33 76th
SOLO
11 60th
TFL
6.0 92nd
SACK
3.5 95th
QBH
8 98th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 10-9vs Kennesaw State100.00.00
Wk 2W 42-10vs Western Carolina211.50.50
Wk 3L 24-34vs NC State200.50.00
Wk 5L 29-30vs Georgia Tech520.00.00
Wk 6W 30-23@ Virginia Tech310.00.010
Wk 7W 39-14@ Oregon State310.00.00
Wk 9W 13-12vs SMU100.00.01
Wk 11W 16-9@ Virginia611.01.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 12W 28-12vs North Carolina210.00.00
Wk 13W 52-14vs Delaware310.50.50
Wk 14L 32-49@ Duke221.00.00
BowlW 43-29@ Mississippi State311.51.50
Total33116.03.511
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Wake Forest9-4HC: Jake Dickert · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Wake Forest33116.03.511--
Career1 loaded season33116.03.511--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 8 Quarterback hurries | #41/1878 (98th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 33 #1194/4942 76th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 6.0 #406/4972 92nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.5 #233/4972 95th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 8 #41/1878 98th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 11 #1855/4584 60th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 3.0 #493/578 15th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 3 #511/578 12th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.30.40.10.1
Road5g3.40.70.50.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g2.70.50.40.1
Losses3g3.00.50.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.70.50.30.0
Weeks 8+5g2.80.50.30.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

66Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (98th). Strength: sacks (91st).

QB hurries#41 / 2975 · 98th pct
8defe
Sacks#233 / 2975 · 91st pct
3.5defe
Tackles for loss#406 / 2975 · 85th pct
6.0defe
Tackles#1194 / 2975 · 59th pct
33defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Solo tackles#1855 / 2975 · 35th pct
11defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Dallas AfalavaWake ForestMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 70% simTrey FieldsNorth Texas· 70% simRay ConeyTulsa· 69% sim
QB hurries
98
Afalava
88
Parker
95
Fields
88
Coney
Sacks
91
Afalava
80
Parker
63
Fields
80
Coney
Tackles for loss
85
Afalava
87
Parker
87
Fields
90
Coney
Tackles
59
Afalava
98
Parker
98
Fields
100
Coney
Passes defended
48
Afalava
18
Parker
67
Fields
67
Coney
Solo tackles
35
Afalava
96
Parker
96
Fields
93
Coney
Interceptions
31
Afalava
31
Parker
31
Fields

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jacques Bristol’s 2023 season.

Jacques Bristol

92%match

Central Michigan · 2023

All-MAC
#2

Aeneas Peebles

Duke · 2023

All-ACCNFL Rd 6
89%
#3

Dezmond Tell

Louisville · 2022

87%
#4

Thomas Gore

Georgia State · 2022

All-Sun Belt
87%
#5

Hale Motu'apuaka

Utah State · 2023

86%

Matches Jacques on

Weight
TFL rate
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jer'Zhan Newton's junior season at Illinois (2022).

Jer'Zhan Newton

79%match

Illinois · 2022

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 4
#2

Kemari Copeland

Virginia Tech · 2025

All-ACC
78%
#3

Levi Bell

Texas State · 2022

All-Sun Belt
76%
#4

Jamond Gordon

Ole Miss · 2023

75%
#5

Voi Tunuufi

Washington · 2023

75%

Matches Jer'Zhan on

Class year
Weight
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jake Dickert

Pass share

48.0%

405 pass / 439 run

Plays / game

64.9

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.1%

293 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Jake Dickert
Wake Forest

Played his entire career under Jake Dickert.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSeattle, WA
Height6'1"
Weight291 lb
Class3
PositionDL
Jersey52

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Wake Forest ACC DL 3 No. 52 | 6-1 | 291 lb | Seattle, WA