cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dacari Collins /Louisville

Dacari Collins

WR · Louisville · Sr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

219 REC YDS · 13 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Louisville for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Louisville for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Louisville

Returning around him

  • 46% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 Louisville player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (33 in / 39 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Louisville · Last season: 9-4 (AP #19) · Talent rank #50 · 2026 recruiting class #68

WR · LOUISVILLE · ACC

Dacari Collins

  • 4
  • #3
  • 6-4 | 215 lb
  • Atlanta, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

33

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 90th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3390

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
2212021
8.02022
2102023
2192025

-1%

Down 1% — context-dependent (injury / role change?).

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#182 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey3
Measurements6-4 | 215 lb
HometownAtlanta, GA
Primary teamLouisville

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 182 recruit
Composite rating 0.9248 HighSchool
Signed with Clemson 2021
Origin Westlake Atlanta, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9248 No. 182 recruit | HighSchool | Clemson

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Louisville 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 19, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 NC State -> Louisville 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate
2023 Clemson -> NC State 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3390Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3491Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Clemson

Composite

0.9248

#182 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dacari Collins

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Hi Knight Nation, When looking for a transfer portal tracker for UCF, I found th"Rivals
  • Rivals · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dacari Collins

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 6g
219Rec yards
13Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
36.5Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
474.5Rec yards
28Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 219): needs 68.7/game over remaining 7.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 219): needs 111.6/game over remaining 7.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 13): needs 6.7/game over remaining 7.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 13): needs 9.6/game over remaining 7.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 7.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.3/game over remaining 7.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dacari Collins's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Louisville, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3390 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 182 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 13 1 rec TD | #510/1110 (54th pct)
Receiving yards 219 16.8 per catch | #442/1107 (60th pct)
Scrimmage yards 219 Total offensive yardage | #442/1107 (60th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
13 54th
YDS
219 60th
YPR
16.8 86th
TD
1 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 6 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 51-17vs Eastern Kentucky22110.5016
Wk 4W 40-17vs Bowling Green48421.0036Season-high 84 yds
Wk 8W 24-21@ Miami22110.5014
Wk 11L 26-29vs California22512.5021
Wk 13L 6-38@ SMU12828.0028
Wk 14W 41-0vs Kentucky24020.0129
Total1321917.1136
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Clemson9-3HC: Dabo Swinney · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
2022Clemson11-3HC: Dabo Swinney · Run-leaning
2023NC State9-4HC: Dave Doeren · Run-leaning
2025Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Louisville1321916.81--
2023NC State1421015.02--
2022Clemson188.00--
2021Clemson1622113.80--
Career4 loaded seasons4465815.03--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.3% 11.0% pass-game share | #443/1137 (61st pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 13 #510/1110 54th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 219 #442/1107 60th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 16.8 #160/1106 86th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 11.0% #443/1137 61st pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 36 #512/1105 54th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 10.4% #213/1137 81st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.2% #384/1137 66th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.3% #452/1137 60th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.2% #625/1137 45th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.9% #435/1137 62nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 3.5% #604/1137 47th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 6 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g2.542.516.00.2
Road2g1.524.519.20.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g2.541.515.50.2
Losses2g1.526.520.20.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-72g3.052.515.80.0
Weeks 8+4g1.828.517.80.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

33Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (89th). Concern: receptions (6th).

Yards / catch#57 / 558 · 90th pct
16.8rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Long catch#425 / 558 · 23rd pct
36rece
Rec yards#441 / 558 · 21st pct
219rece
Receptions#510 / 558 · 7th pct
13rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Dacari CollinsLouisvilleNik McMillanBuffalo· 44% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 44% simMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 43% sim
Yards / catch
90
Collins
84
McMillan
40
Walker
9
III
Rec TDs
24
Collins
57
McMillan
42
Walker
24
III
Long catch
23
Collins
65
McMillan
39
Walker
16
III
Rec yards
21
Collins
96
McMillan
89
Walker
70
III
Receptions
7
Collins
90
McMillan
95
Walker
92
III

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dont'E Thornton’s 2023 season.

Dont'E Thornton

78%match

Tennessee · 2023

#2

Javian Hester

Oklahoma · 2024

75%
#3

Chris Marshall

Boise State · 2025

67%
#4

Traeshon Holden

Alabama · 2021

67%
#5

Caleb Chapman

Texas A&M · 2021

66%

Matches Dont'E on

Total EPA (college ability)
Height
Yards / reception

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jalen Coker’s path through Holy Cross.

Jalen Coker

97%match

Holy Cross · 2023

#2

Cary Angeline

NC State · 2020

96%
#3

Hayden Eligon II

Northwestern · 2025

95%
#4

Seth Williams

Auburn · 2020

95%
#5

Jeff Caldwell

Cincinnati · 2025

90%

Matches Jalen on

Yards per reception

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to J.Michael Sturdivant's graduate season at Florida (2025).

J.Michael Sturdivant

46%match

Florida · 2025

#2

Jerand Bradley

Kansas State · 2025

All-Big 12
46%
#3

Malik McClain

Arizona State · 2025

45%
#4

Malachi Fields

Notre Dame · 2025

All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 10
45%
#5

Jake Roberts

Oklahoma · 2024

44%

Matches J.Michael on

Height
TD rate

Differs from J.Michael on

Yards / reception (higher)
Reception volume (lower)
Total EPA (college ability) (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Brohm

Pass share

50.2%

414 pass / 410 run

Plays / game

63.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

314 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Scott Satterfield
Louisville
2022
Scott Satterfield
Louisville
2023
Jeff Brohm
Louisville
era →
2025
Jeff Brohm
Louisville

Coaching transition mid-career: Scott Satterfield → Jeff Brohm. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAtlanta, GA
Height6'4"
Weight215 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 NC State WR4 #3390 #3491 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 NC State WR4 #750 #687 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Clemson WR4 #1902 #1409 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Clemson WR4 #1140 #1079 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Louisville ACC WR 4 No. 3 | 6-4 | 215 lb | Atlanta, GA
2024 NC State ACC WR 4 No. 3 | 6-4 | 215 lb | Atlanta, GA
2023 NC State ACC WR 4 No. 3 | 6-4 | 215 lb | Atlanta, GA
2022 Clemson ACC WR 4 No. 3 | 6-4 | 215 lb | Atlanta, GA
2021 Clemson ACC WR 4 No. 3 | 6-4 | 215 lb | Atlanta, GA