CFB Zeitgeist Score
55
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 65th percentile.
D'Andre Rogers
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
319 REC YDS · 34 REC · 2 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to TCU for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · TCU
Returning around him
- 61% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 3 TCU players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -2 net (12 in / 14 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
TCU · Last season: 9-4 (AP #24) · Talent rank #32 · 2026 recruiting class #24
TE · TCU · BIG 12
D'Andre Rogers
- 4
- 6-4 | 250 lb
- Sammamish, WA
Heisman Heat
#874
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025+309%
Up 309% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
TCU
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (319).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on D'Andre Rogers
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
- National · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about D'Andre Rogers
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving TDs
2
count
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #302 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 43rd
Why it matters
#302 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 2 TDs on 34 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 2 (43th)
HIGH · n=34 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#373 / 531
- Yards per reception#449 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 1 at North Carolina — 1 receiving_tds
Result W 48-14
The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at North Carolina.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 12g
319Rec yards
34Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
26.6Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
345.6Rec yards
37Receptions
2Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 319): needs 381/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 319): needs 681/game over remaining 1.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 34): needs 26/game over remaining 1.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 34): needs 46/game over remaining 1.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 6/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
D'Andre Rogers's story is about how role and output meet each other. For TCU, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
34 92nd
YDS
319 87th
YPR
9.4 46th
TD
2 84th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 48-14@ North Carolina | 5 | 43 | 8.6 | 1 | 14 | |
| Wk 3 | W 42-21vs Abilene Christian | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 4 | W 35-24vs SMU | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 5 | L 24-27@ Arizona State | 4 | 60 | 15.0 | 0 | 39 | Season-high 60 yds |
| Wk 6 | W 35-21vs Colorado | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 7 | L 28-41@ Kansas State | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 8 | W 42-36vs Baylor | 4 | 30 | 7.5 | 1 | 13 | |
| Wk 9 | W 23-17@ West Virginia | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 11 | L 17-20vs Iowa State | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 13 | W 17-14@ Houston | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 14 | W 45-23vs Cincinnati | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 0 | 12 | |
| Bowl | W 30-27vs USC | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 13 | |
| Total | 34 | 319 | 9.2 | 2 | 39 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021SMU5-7HC: Gary Patterson · Run-heavy
2023TCU5-7HC: Sonny Dykes · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
2024TCU9-4HC: Sonny Dykes · Pass-leaning
2025TCU9-4HC: Sonny Dykes · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 34 | #37/475 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 319 | #62/475 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #79/475 | 84th pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 9.4 | #257/475 | 46th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 9.1% | #111/468 | 76th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 39 | #77/475 | 84th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 9.3% | #32/468 | 93rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.0% | #72/468 | 85th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 4.8% | #93/468 | 80th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 4.4% | #159/468 | 66th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 3.8% | #139/468 | 71st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 3.1% | #212/468 | 55th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 2.4 | 22.7 | 9.6 | 0.1 |
| Road5g | 3.4 | 32.0 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 2.7 | 22.2 | 8.5 | 0.2 |
| Losses3g | 3.3 | 39.7 | 11.6 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 3.0 | 30.7 | 9.9 | 0.1 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 2.6 | 20.8 | 8.3 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
55Mid-pack
Concern: yards / catch (28th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
D'Andre RogersTCUHouston ThomasUTSA· 89% simJett CarpenterNevada· 88% simHunter TiptonMiddle Tennessee· 88% sim
Receptions
Rec yards
Long catch
Rec TDs
Yards / catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Complete TE
Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.
TE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to David Martin-Robinson’s 2022 season.
David Martin-Robinson
89%match
#2
Reed Tyler
83%
#3
Jake Roberts
82%
#4
Neal Johnson
81%
#5
Peyton Hendershot
All-Big Ten
77%
Matches David on
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
EPA / play (adj)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Joshua Simon's senior season at South Carolina (2023).
Joshua Simon
82%match
All-Conference USA
#2
Jack Velling
All-Big Ten
82%
#3
R.J. Maryland
80%
#4
Trey Knox
All-SEC
80%
#5
Jake Roberts
80%
Matches Joshua on
TD rate
Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sonny Dykes
Pass share
51.9%
460 pass / 426 run
Plays / game
68.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.6%
340 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Gary Patterson
TCU
2023era →
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2024
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2025
Sonny Dykes
TCU
Coaching transition mid-career: Gary Patterson → Sonny Dykes. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSammamish, WA
Height6'4"
Weight250 lb
Class4
PositionTE
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTCU
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc6 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | TCU | TE4 | #874 | #1033 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | TCU | TE4 | #2202 | #2393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2022 | TCU | TE4 | #2128 | #1556 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2021 | TCU | TE4 | #3594 | #3573 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TCU | Big 12 | TE | 4 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Sammamish, WA |
| 2024 | TCU | Big 12 | TE | 4 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Sammamish, WA |
| 2023 | TCU | Big 12 | TE | 4 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Sammamish, WA |
| 2022 | TCU | Big 12 | TE | 4 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Sammamish, WA |
| 2021 | TCU | Big 12 | TE | 4 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Sammamish, WA |
| 2021 | SMU | American Athletic | TE | 4 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Sammamish, WA |