CFB Zeitgeist Score
77
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 97th percentile.
Corey Rucker
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,029 REC YDS · 73 REC · 4 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Arkansas State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Wide receiver · Arkansas State
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Arkansas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #88 · 2026 recruiting class #75
WR · ARKANSAS STATE · SUN BELT
CFB Zeitgeist Score
77
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 97th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#4689
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
5 seasons on the ladder
2020
Arkansas State · WR
—
2021
Arkansas State · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2022
South Carolina · WR
—
2023
Arkansas State · WR
—
2025
Arkansas State · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2020–2025Up 129% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8417 | No. 1467 recruit | HighSchool | Arkansas State |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | South Carolina -> Arkansas State | 3-star | Immediate |
| 2022 | Arkansas State -> South Carolina | 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Arkansas State
Composite
0.8417
#1467 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
14.1
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
Why it matters
#153 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.1 yards per reception (73 catches).
Vs cohort
HIGH · n=73 cohort 531
Signature Moment
Week 1 vs Missouri State — 166 ypr
Result W 34-28
The week the volume broke through — put up 166 yds vs Missouri State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 1,029.
✓ Hit 1,000-yard receiver · finished with 1,029.
✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 73.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Corey Rucker already has 3 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 42-24vs Southeast Missouri State | 2 | 59 | 29.5 | 1 | 50 | Season-high 166 yds |
| Wk 2 | L 14-56@ Arkansas | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 3 | L 16-24vs Iowa State | 1 | 26 | 26.0 | 0 | 26 | |
| Wk 4 | L 21-28@ Kennesaw State | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 5 | L 16-28@ UL Monroe | 9 | 120 | 13.3 | 0 | 30 | |
| Wk 6 | W 31-30vs Texas State | 8 | 102 | 12.8 | 0 | 27 | |
| Wk 8 | W 15-14@ South Alabama | 8 | 58 | 7.3 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 9 | W 34-24vs Georgia Southern | 5 | 77 | 15.4 | 0 | 31 | |
| Wk 10 | W 23-10@ Troy | 4 | 64 | 16.0 | 0 | 27 | |
| Wk 11 | L 21-27vs Southern Miss | 7 | 123 | 17.6 | 0 | 55 | |
| Wk 13 | L 30-34vs Louisiana | 8 | 120 | 15.0 | 0 | 28 | |
| Wk 14 | W 30-29@ App State | 10 | 90 | 9.0 | 2 | 34 | 2 TD catches |
| Bowl | W 34-28vs Missouri State | 6 | 166 | 27.7 | 1 | 71 | |
| Total | 73 | 1029 | 15.3 | 4 | 71 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas State | 73 | 1,029 | 14.1 | 4 | -- |
| 2023 | Arkansas State | 36 | 705 | 19.6 | 2 | -- |
| 2022 | South Carolina | 1 | 52 | 52.0 | 1 | -- |
| 2021 | Arkansas State | 59 | 816 | 13.8 | 9 | -- |
| 2020 | Arkansas State | 15 | 450 | 30.0 | 5 | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 184 | 3,052 | 16.6 | 21 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas State | 4 | 16 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Arkansas State | 1 | 6 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | South Carolina | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Arkansas State | 2 | 20 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2020 | Arkansas State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 7 | 42 | -- | -- | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 73 | #13/1110 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 1,029 | #16/1107 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 4 | #152/1111 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 14.1 | #340/1106 | 69th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 23.9% | #32/1137 | 97th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 16 | #160/397 | 60th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 4 | #108/407 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 4 | #279/346 | 20th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.0 | #211/393 | 47th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 71 | #89/1105 | 92nd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 18.1% | #19/1137 | 98th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 17.3% | #18/1137 | 99th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 13.9% | #17/1137 | 99th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 13.7% | #23/1137 | 98th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 12.0% | #59/1137 | 95th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 12.0% | #25/1137 | 98th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 1.1% | #179/1137 | 84th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 5.3 | 96.1 | 20.6 | 0.3 |
| Road6g | 6.0 | 59.3 | 9.0 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 6.1 | 88.0 | 16.8 | 0.6 |
| Losses6g | 5.0 | 68.8 | 13.4 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 4.4 | 71.0 | 16.9 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 7.0 | 88.7 | 13.4 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
Elite: receptions (97th). Strength: rec yards (97th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Keagan Johnson’s 2025 season.
Keagan Johnson
Javon Baker
Velus Jones Jr.
Corey Rucker
Kawaan Baker
Matches Keagan on
Differs from Keagan on
Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jamarien Wheeler’s path through Eastern Michigan.
Jamarien Wheeler
Joshua Derry
Damon Ward Jr.
Reggie Roberson Jr.
Dillon Stoner
Matches Jamarien on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Butch Jones
Pass share
53.7%
506 pass / 437 run
Plays / game
72.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.6%
367 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2020–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Blake Anderson → Butch Jones. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Sun Belt
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | WR |
| 2024 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | WR |
| 2021 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | WR |
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Arkansas State | WR4 | #4689 | #5041 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | Arkansas State | WR4 | #1098 | #1365 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2022 | South Carolina | WR4 | #1416 | #1319 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
| 2021 | Arkansas State | WR4 | #863 | #1303 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2020 | Arkansas State | WR4 | #106 | #152 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 7 | 6-0 | 213 lb | Yazoo City, MS |
| 2024 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 7 | 6-0 | 213 lb | Yazoo City, MS |
| 2023 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 7 | 6-0 | 213 lb | Yazoo City, MS |
| 2022 | South Carolina | SEC | WR | 4 | No. 7 | 6-0 | 213 lb | Yazoo City, MS |
| 2021 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 7 | 6-0 | 213 lb | Yazoo City, MS |
| 2020 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 7 | 6-0 | 213 lb | Yazoo City, MS |