CFB Zeitgeist Score
17
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 99th percentile.
Connor Moberly
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
0 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 29 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Iowa State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Iowa State
Returning around him
- 58% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 1 Iowa State player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -7 net (48 in / 55 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Iowa State · Last season: 8-4 (AP #22) · Talent rank #71 · 2026 recruiting class #54
QB · IOWA STATE · BIG 12
Connor Moberly
- 1
- #5
- 6-4 | 220 lb
- Altoona, IA
Heisman Heat
#549
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Iowa State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8656 | No. 1056 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8656
#1056 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Connor Moberly
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Connor Moberly
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Connor Moberly's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Iowa State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
ATT
1 7th
Passing Production
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th
Rushing
CAR
4 24th
YDS
29 46th
YPC
7.3 92nd
TD
0 44th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 1 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 5 | W 39-14vs Arizona | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 70.1 | Season-high 0 yds |
| Total | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 70.1 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Iowa State8-4HC: Matt Campbell · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | -- | 1 | 0.0% | -- | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -- | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | -- | 1 | 0.0% | -- | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | 4 | 29 | 7.2 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 4 | 29 | 7.2 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Pass TD | 0 | #285/407 | 30th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 29 | #220/408 | 46th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 7.2% | #302/428 | 30th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 1 | #378/407 | 7th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 13 | #243/391 | 38th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 7.3 | #34/407 | 92nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 4 | #312/408 | 24th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #230/408 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 8.9% | #178/428 | 59th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 8.3% | #325/428 | 24th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.0% | #292/428 | 32nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 8.0% | #282/428 | 34th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 6.7% | #291/428 | 32nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 5.3% | #351/428 | 18th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 4.2% | #356/428 | 17th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 1 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home1g | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-71g | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
17Below cohort
Elite: interceptions (99th). Concern: completion % (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Connor MoberlyIowa StateNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 57% simLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 53% simRyan BrownePurdue· 52% sim
Interceptions
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Yards / att
Completion %
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Matt Campbell
Pass share
42.4%
345 pass / 469 run
Plays / game
67.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
296 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
Played his entire career under Matt Campbell.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownAltoona, IA
Height6'4"
Weight220 lb
Class1
PositionQB
Jersey5
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamIowa State
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Iowa State | QB1 | #549 | #383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | Big 12 | QB | 1 | No. 5 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Altoona, IA |
| 2024 | Iowa State | Big 12 | QB | 1 | No. 5 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Altoona, IA |