CFB Zeitgeist Score
53
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 82nd percentile.
Conner Harrell
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
737 PASS YDS · 4 PASS TD · 67 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Charlotte for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Charlotte
Returning around him
- 24% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: -8 net (19 in / 27 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Charlotte · Last season: 1-11 · Talent rank #108 · 2026 recruiting class #135
QB · CHARLOTTE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
Conner Harrell
- 3
- #15
- 6-2 | 210 lb
- Alabaster, AL
Heisman Heat
#950
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2023–2025+173%
Up 173% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8685 | No. 796 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | North Carolina -> Charlotte | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8685
#796 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Conner Harrell
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Conner Harrell
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 4g
737Pass yards
4Pass TDs
2INT
Per game
184.2Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
2,395Pass yards
13Pass TDs
6INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 737): needs 251.4/game over remaining 9.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 737): needs 362.6/game over remaining 9.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 2.3/game over remaining 9.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 2.9/game over remaining 9.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 4): needs 3.4/game over remaining 9.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Conner Harrell's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Charlotte, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
64 58th
ATT
96 59th
CMP%
66.7% 75th
Y/A
7.7 71st
Passing Production
YDS
737 59th
TD
4 61st
INT
2 52nd
Rushing
CAR
28 55th
YDS
67 58th
YPC
2.4 45th
TD
2 73rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 4 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 11-34vs App State | 13/24 | 142 | 1 | 1 | 5.9 | 21.5 | |
| Wk 2 | L 3-20vs North Carolina | 17/29 | 140 | 0 | 0 | 4.8 | 23.9 | |
| Wk 3 | W 42-35vs Monmouth | 26/30 | 382 | 3 | 1 | 12.7 | 55.2 | Season-high 382 yds |
| Wk 4 | L 17-28vs Rice | 8/13 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 | 71.8 | |
| Total | 64/96 | 737 | 4 | 2 | 7.2 | 43.1 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023North Carolina8-5HC: Mack Brown · Balanced
2025Charlotte1-11HC: Tim Albin · Balanced, slow tempo
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Charlotte | 64 | 96 | 66.7% | 737 | 7.7 | 4 | 2 | 140.7 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | North Carolina | 22 | 33 | 66.7% | 270 | 8.2 | 2 | 2 | 143.3 | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 86 | 129 | 66.7% | 1,007 | 7.8 | 6 | 4 | 141.4 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Charlotte | 28 | 67 | 2.4 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | North Carolina | 22 | 75 | 3.4 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 50 | 142 | 2.8 | 3 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 737 | #156/382 | 59th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 4 | #159/407 | 61st pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 64 | #161/383 | 58th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 66.7% | #98/383 | 75th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.7 | #111/382 | 71st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 67 | #171/408 | 58th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.22 | #130/200 | 36th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 67 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 44.2% | #124/428 | 71st pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 96 | #167/407 | 59th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 2 | #195/407 | 52nd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 28 | #185/408 | 55th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 19 | #186/391 | 53rd pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 2.4 | #226/407 | 45th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #113/408 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 64.9% | #154/428 | 64th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 56.7% | #118/428 | 73rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 55.1% | #131/428 | 70th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 45.3% | #116/428 | 73rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 38.3% | #116/428 | 73rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 37.9% | #119/428 | 72nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 19.8% | #65/428 | 85th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 4 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 184 | 1.0 | 7.2 | 0.5 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 382 | 3.0 | 12.7 | 1.0 |
| Losses3g | 118 | 0.3 | 5.4 | 0.3 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 184 | 1.0 | 7.2 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
53Mid-pack
Elite: interceptions (92nd). Strength: completion % (81st). Concern: pass tds (12th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds45%of completions
25 comp5.4 yds avg2 TD
Middle
10–19 yds39%of completions
22 comp13.9 yds avg
Deep
20+ yds16%of completions
9 comp39.1 yds avg1 TD
Overall 63.6% completion on 88 attempts · 9 deep completions averaging 39.1 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Concerns: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.22Below (<p25) (n=94)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Conner HarrellCharlotteCade KlubnikClemson· 68% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 62% simLuke AltmyerIllinois· 61% sim
Interceptions
Completion %
Yards / att
Fumbles lost
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ben Gulbranson’s 2022 season.
Ben Gulbranson
76%match
#2
Bishop Davenport
76%
#3
Maverick McIvor
75%
#4
Sean Clifford
NFL Rd 5
73%
#5
Jack Layne
72%
Matches Ben on
INT rate
Completion %
Height
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Alessio Milivojevic’s path through Michigan State.
Alessio Milivojevic
93%match
#2
Zac Thomas
All-Sun Belt
90%
#3
Mason Heintschel
All-ACC
87%
#4
Jarret Doege
86%
#5
Ryder Burton
86%
Matches Alessio on
Height
Yards per attempt
Recruiting rating
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Bishop Davenport's junior season at South Alabama (2025).
Bishop Davenport
74%match
#2
Jack Layne
72%
#3
Sam Leavitt
All-Big 12
67%
#4
JC French
66%
#5
Emory Jones
66%
Matches Bishop on
Completion %
Yards / attempt
Rush usage
Differs from Bishop on
EPA / dropback (adj) (higher)
Recruiting rating (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tim Albin
Pass share
51.4%
379 pass / 358 run
Plays / game
61.4
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.9%
302 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Biff Poggi
Charlotte
2025era →
Tim Albin
Charlotte
Coaching transition mid-career: Biff Poggi → Tim Albin. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownAlabaster, AL
Height6'2"
Weight210 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey15
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamCharlotte
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | North Carolina | QB3 | #950 | #917 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | North Carolina | QB3 | #354 | #342 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
| 2022 | North Carolina | QB3 | #1090 | #860 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Charlotte | American Athletic | QB | 3 | No. 15 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Alabaster, AL |
| 2024 | North Carolina | ACC | QB | 3 | No. 15 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Alabaster, AL |
| 2023 | North Carolina | ACC | QB | 3 | No. 15 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Alabaster, AL |
| 2022 | North Carolina | ACC | QB | 3 | No. 15 | 6-2 | 210 lb | Alabaster, AL |