cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Cole Schnettgoecke /New Mexico State

Cole Schnettgoecke

DL · New Mexico State · Sr · #96

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

29 TACKLES · 1.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to New Mexico State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to New Mexico State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · New Mexico State

Returning around him

  • 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (25 in / 24 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

New Mexico State · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #130 · 2026 recruiting class #126

DL · NEW MEXICO STATE · CONFERENCE USA

Cole Schnettgoecke

  • 4
  • #96
  • 6-2 | 300 lb
  • Webster Groves, MO

CFB Zeitgeist Score

61

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 74th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#15240

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
New Mexico State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey96
Measurements6-2 | 300 lb
HometownWebster Groves, MO
Primary teamNew Mexico State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#15240Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15391Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Cole Schnettgoecke

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Cole Schnettgoecke

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
29Tackles
2Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
34Tackles
2.4Tackles for loss
1.8Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 29): needs 25.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 29): needs 35.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1.5): needs 2.2/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1.5): needs 4.2/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Cole Schnettgoecke is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on New Mexico State's defense, with 1.5 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #15240 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 1.5 sacks | 2.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 29 14 solo | #1415/4942 (71st pct)
TFL 2.0 Backfield disruption | #1443/4972 (71st pct)
Sacks 1.5 Pass-rush finish | #724/4972 (85th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
29 71st
SOLO
14 67th
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
1.5 85th
QBH
4 85th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 19-3vs Bryant440.00.00
Wk 3L 14-49@ Louisiana Tech210.00.00
Wk 5L 20-38@ New Mexico100.00.01
Wk 6W 37-10vs Sam Houston220.00.00
Wk 8L 27-30@ Liberty320.00.00
Wk 9L 17-24vs Missouri State100.50.50
Wk 10L 16-35@ Western Kentucky211.01.00
Wk 11L 21-24vs Kennesaw State200.00.00
Wk 12L 9-42@ Tennessee410.00.00
Wk 13W 34-31@ UTEP630.00.01Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 14L 24-31vs Middle Tennessee200.50.00
Total29142.01.52
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025New Mexico State4-8HC: Tony Sanchez · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025New Mexico State29142.01.52----
Career1 loaded season29142.01.52----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 29 #1415/4942 71st pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.0 #1443/4972 71st pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.5 #724/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 14 #1520/4584 67th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.20.20.10.0
Road6g3.00.20.20.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins3g4.00.00.00.3
Losses8g2.10.20.20.1

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-74g2.20.00.00.2
Weeks 8+7g2.90.30.20.1

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

61Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (87th).

QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Sacks#707 / 2975 · 74th pct
1.5defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Tackles#1415 / 2975 · 52nd pct
29defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles for loss#1424 / 2975 · 47th pct
2.0defe
Solo tackles#1520 / 2975 · 47th pct
14defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Cole SchnettgoeckeNew Mexico StateJordan PollardSan José State· 70% simTrey FieldsNorth Texas· 70% simMarsel McDuffieUNLV· 69% sim
QB hurries
88
Schnettgoecke
88
Pollard
95
Fields
72
McDuffie
Sacks
74
Schnettgoecke
85
Pollard
63
Fields
80
McDuffie
Passes defended
67
Schnettgoecke
86
Pollard
67
Fields
78
McDuffie
Tackles
52
Schnettgoecke
99
Pollard
98
Fields
99
McDuffie
Forced fumbles
47
Schnettgoecke
47
Pollard
47
Fields
47
McDuffie
Tackles for loss
47
Schnettgoecke
77
Pollard
87
Fields
83
McDuffie
Solo tackles
47
Schnettgoecke
99
Pollard
96
Fields
99
McDuffie

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Mason Narcisse’s 2021 season.

Mason Narcisse

93%match

Louisiana · 2021

#2

Jaxson Moi

Stanford · 2023

90%
#3

Jackson Cravens

Boise State · 2021

90%
#4

Jahmeer Carter

Virginia · 2024

89%
#5

Keyon Ware-Hudson

Oregon · 2023

88%

Matches Mason on

Weight
Sack rate
TFL rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Mason Narcisse's sophomore season at Louisiana (2021).

Mason Narcisse

94%match

Louisiana · 2021

#2

Jaxson Moi

Stanford · 2023

91%
#3

Jowon Briggs

Cincinnati · 2021

All-AACNFL Rd 7
91%
#4

Brodarius Lewis

Southern Miss · 2023

All-Sun Belt
90%
#5

Jackson Cravens

Boise State · 2021

90%

Matches Mason on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Sanchez

Pass share

57.4%

472 pass / 350 run

Plays / game

68.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.7%

359 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Tony Sanchez
New Mexico State

Played his entire career under Tony Sanchez.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWebster Groves, MO
Height6'2"
Weight300 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey96

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 New Mexico State DL4 #15240 #15391 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 New Mexico State Conference USA DL 4 No. 96 | 6-2 | 300 lb | Webster Groves, MO
2024 New Mexico State Conference USA DL 4 No. 96 | 6-2 | 300 lb | Webster Groves, MO