cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Cole Pennington /Marshall

Cole Pennington

QB · Marshall · Jr · #12

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

CAREER COMPLETEMarshall 2024 — college career complete

QB · MARSHALL · SUN BELT

Cole Pennington

  • 3
  • #12
  • 6-4 | 220 lb
  • Versailles, KY

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#782

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2023–2024
6952023
57.02024

-92%

Sharp dropoff (-92%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1405 national
CFB
College
Marshall
2023–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey12
Measurements6-4 | 220 lb
HometownVersailles, KY
Primary teamMarshall

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1405 recruit
Composite rating 0.8448 HighSchool
Signed with Marshall 2022
Origin Sayre School Lexington, KY, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8448 No. 1405 recruit | HighSchool | Marshall

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#782Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#930Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Marshall

Composite

0.8448

#1405 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Cole Pennington

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Cole Pennington

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
164Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
82Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
1,066Pass yards
6Pass TDs
0INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 164): needs 257.8/game over remaining 11.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 164): needs 348.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.2/game over remaining 11.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.6/game over remaining 11.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.1/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Cole Pennington's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Marshall, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #782 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 57 1 TD | 0 INT | #306/382 (20th pct)
Completion rate 71.4% 5/7 completions | #57/383 (85th pct)
Yards/attempt 8.1 Explosiveness through the air | #86/382 (78th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Highly efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Highly efficientPocket-leaning

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
5 22nd
ATT
7 24th
CMP%
71.4% 85th
Y/A
8.1 78th

Passing Production

YDS
57 20th
TD
1 44th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
2 14th
YDS
10 31st
YPC
5.0 77th
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 2L 12-59@ Georgia Tech14/21164107.8--Season-high 164 yds
Wk 4L 35-52@ Ohio0/20000.0--
Total14/23164103.9
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Marshall6-7HC: Charles Huff · Balanced
2024Marshall10-3HC: Charles Huff · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2024Marshall5771.4%578.110187.0----
2023Marshall6411257.1%6956.20698.6----
Career2 loaded seasons6911958.0%7526.316103.8----
SeasonTeam
2024Marshall2105.00--
2023Marshall15-69-4.60--
Career2 loaded seasons17-59-3.50--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 10 0 rush TD | #284/408 (31st pct)
Usage 4.4% 8.1% pass share | 1.7% rush share | #352/428 (18th pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 57 #306/382 20th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 1 #228/407 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 5 #298/383 22nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 71.4% #57/383 85th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 8.1 #86/382 78th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 10 #284/408 31st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 4.4% #352/428 18th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 7 #309/407 24th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 6 #345/391 12th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.0 #93/407 77th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 2 #350/408 14th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 8.1% #318/428 26th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.3% #316/428 26th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 4.8% #337/428 21st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 4.4% #328/428 24th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 3.6% #372/428 13th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.3% #396/428 8th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 1.7% #377/428 12th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Road2g82.00.53.90.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Losses2g82.00.53.90.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-72g82.00.53.90.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Gibson

Pass share

40.4%

335 pass / 495 run

Plays / game

69.2

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

244 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2024

1 coach
2023
Charles Huff
Marshall
2024
Charles Huff
Marshall

Played his entire career under Charles Huff.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownVersailles, KY
Height6'4"
Weight220 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Marshall QB3 #782 #930 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Marshall QB3 #2105 #2366 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Marshall QB3 #974 #719 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Marshall Sun Belt QB 3 No. 12 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Versailles, KY
2023 Marshall Sun Belt QB 3 No. 12 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Versailles, KY
2022 Marshall Sun Belt QB 3 No. 12 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Versailles, KY