CFB Zeitgeist Score
21
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 97th percentile.
Cole Ballard
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
108 PASS YDS · 1 PASS TD · 92 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Kansas for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Kansas
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Kansas · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #48 · 2026 recruiting class #72
QB · KANSAS · BIG 12
CFB Zeitgeist Score
21
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 97th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#517
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterStarter. A locked-in starting role.
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2023–2025Sharp dropoff (-62%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 108): needs 482/game over remaining 6.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 108): needs 648.7/game over remaining 6.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 4/game over remaining 6.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 4.8/game over remaining 6.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 5.7/game over remaining 6.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Cole Ballard's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kansas, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
Passing Production
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 7 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 31-7vs Fresno State | — | — | — | — | — | — | Season-high 38 yds |
| Wk 1 | W 46-7vs Wagner | 2/6 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 | 30.3 | Season-high 38 yds |
| Wk 4 | W 41-10vs West Virginia | 1/2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4.0 | 18.1 | |
| Wk 5 | L 34-37vs Cincinnati | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 7 | L 17-42@ Texas Tech | 3/6 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 0.2 | |
| Wk 9 | L 17-42vs Kansas State | 1/2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4.0 | 3.2 | |
| Wk 13 | L 14-38@ Iowa State | 3/6 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 10/22 | 108 | 1 | 1 | 4.7 | 30.4 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 108 | #263/382 | 31st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 1 | #228/407 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 10 | #265/383 | 31st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 45.5% | #349/383 | 9th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 4.9 | #316/382 | 18th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 92 | #141/408 | 66th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 8.7% | #284/428 | 34th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 22 | #247/407 | 40th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 1 | #153/407 | 63rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 15 | #221/408 | 46th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 15 | #218/391 | 45th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 6.1 | #52/407 | 87th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #230/408 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 12.9% | #283/428 | 34th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 11.5% | #294/428 | 32nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 9.0% | #281/428 | 35th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.8% | #310/428 | 28th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 8.7% | #272/428 | 37th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 6.5% | #295/428 | 31st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 6.4% | #238/428 | 45th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 7 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 10.8 | 0.0 | 4.8 | 0.2 |
| Road2g | 27.0 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 15.3 | 0.0 | 5.2 | 0.0 |
| Losses4g | 15.5 | 0.2 | 4.3 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 12.6 | 0.0 | 4.4 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+2g | 22.5 | 0.5 | 5.1 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Elite: interceptions (97th). Concern: pass yards (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Lance Leipold
Pass share
45.1%
344 pass / 419 run
Plays / game
63.6
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.1%
293 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Lance Leipold.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Team, conference, and class by season.